Yıl 2016, Cilt 21 , Sayı 1, Sayfalar 217 - 226 2016-04-13

Evaluation of Applicability of Global Solar Radiation Prediction Models for Kocaeli
KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ

Nurullah ARSLANOĞLU [1]


Design and analyses of solar energy systems needs value of global solar radiation falling on the surface of the earth. In this study,  thirty relative sunshine duration based regression models in the literature for determining the monthly average daily global solar radiation on a horizontal surface for Kocaeli were investigated. To indicate the performance of the models, the following statistical test methods are used: mean absolute bias error (MABE), mean bias error (MBE), mean absolute percent error (MAPE), mean percent error (MPE), root mean square error (RMSE). According to the statistical performance, Lewis model (Model 23), Model-18 (Jin et al.) and Model 8 (Bahel et al.) showed the best estimation of the global solar radiation on a horizontal surface for Kocaeli.

Güneş enerjisi ile çalışan sistemlerin tasarımını ve analizini yaparken, sistemin kurulacağı bölgenin güneş ışınım değerlerinin bilinmesi gerekir. Bu çalışmada, izafi güneşlenme süresine bağlı olarak geliştirilmiş literatürde mevcut 30 regresyon modelinin Kocaeli ilinde yatay düzleme gelen aylık ortalama günlük global (toplam) güneş ışınımının tahmini için kullanılabilirliği araştırılmıştır. Eşitliklerin performans değerlendirmesi için ortalama mutlak sapma hatası (MABE), ortalama sapma hatası (MBE), ortalama mutlak hata yüzdesi (MAPE), ortalama hata yüzdesi(MPE) Karekök hatası (RMSE) kullanılmıştır. 

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Birincil Dil tr
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Yazar: Nurullah ARSLANOĞLU

Tarihler

Başvuru Tarihi : 8 Şubat 2016
Kabul Tarihi : 5 Aralık 2019
Yayımlanma Tarihi : 13 Nisan 2016

Bibtex @ { uumfd281365, journal = {Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering}, issn = {2148-4147}, eissn = {2148-4155}, address = {}, publisher = {Bursa Uludağ Üniversitesi}, year = {2016}, volume = {21}, pages = {217 - 226}, doi = {10.17482/uujfe.60277}, title = {KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ}, key = {cite}, author = {ARSLANOĞLU, Nurullah} }
APA ARSLANOĞLU, N . (2016). KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ. Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering , 21 (1) , 217-226 . Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/uumfd/issue/26727/281365
MLA ARSLANOĞLU, N . "KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ". Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering 21 (2016 ): 217-226 <https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/uumfd/issue/26727/281365>
Chicago ARSLANOĞLU, N . "KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ". Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering 21 (2016 ): 217-226
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ AU - Nurullah ARSLANOĞLU Y1 - 2016 PY - 2016 N1 - DO - T2 - Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 217 EP - 226 VL - 21 IS - 1 SN - 2148-4147-2148-4155 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2019 ER -
EndNote %0 Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ %A Nurullah ARSLANOĞLU %T KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ %D 2016 %J Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering %P 2148-4147-2148-4155 %V 21 %N 1 %R %U
ISNAD ARSLANOĞLU, Nurullah . "KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ". Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering 21 / 1 (Nisan 2016): 217-226 .
AMA ARSLANOĞLU N . KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ. JFE. 2016; 21(1): 217-226.
Vancouver ARSLANOĞLU N . KOCAELİ İÇİN MEVCUT GLOBAL GÜNEŞ IŞINIMI TAHMİN MODELLERİNİN UYGULANABİLİRLİĞİNİN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ. Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering. 2016; 21(1): 226-217.