TÜRKİYE VE BİRLEŞİK KRALLIK’TA GREVDE KAYBOLAN İŞGÜNÜ SAYISININ ÜCRET ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ

Öz

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye ve Birleşik Krallık için ücret üzerinde enflasyon ve ekonomik büyümenin yanı sıra grevde kaybolan işgünü sayısının uzun ve kısa dönem etkileri 1963-2015 dönemlerini kapsayan yıllık zaman serisi verileri kullanılarak Engle-Granger Eşbütünleşme Analizi ve Hata Düzeltme Modeli çerçevesinde incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, her iki ülkede de enflasyonun hem kısa hem de uzun dönemde, ekonomik büyümenin ise sadece kısa dönemde ücretin belirleyicisi olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca grevde kaybolan işgünü sayısının ücreti uzun dönemde pozitif yönde etkilediği buna karşın kısa dönemde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkisinin olmadığı bulunmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Eşbütünleşme,Hata Düzeltme,Girdi-Çıktı Analizi,Ücret Uzlaşması,Grevler,Matematiksel Temelli Sosyal Anlaşma

THE IMPACT OF LOST WORKING DAYS ON WAGE IN TURKEY AND UNITED KINGDOM DURING STRIKES

Abstract

In this research, the long- and short-term impacts of workdays lost to strikes, inflation and real GDP growth on wages have been analyzed in Turkey and the United Kingdom, using the Engle-Granger Cointegration Test and Error Correction Model on annual data collected for the years 1963-2015. The results revealed that wage levels in these two countries are determined by real GDP growth only in the short-term, but are influenced by inflation in both the short- and long-terms. In addition, it was found that wage levels are positively affected by workdays lost to strikes in the long-term, whereas the impact of workdays lost to strikes on wages is not statistically significant in the short-term.

Keywords

• Cointegration,Error Correction,Input-Output Analysis,Wage Setting,Strikes,Mathematical Base Social Contract

Kaynakça

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