Araştırma Makalesi

IMPROVING TURKEY'S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH

Cilt: 21 Sayı: 3 14 Ekim 2023
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IMPROVING TURKEY'S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH

Öz

As the world population and consequently energy demand is rapidly increasing, primary energy sources are needed for sustainable development. One fifth of the world's energy needs are provided by natural gas, due to it being the cleanest burning fossil fuel. However, as a fossil fuel, natural gas is a limited resource and requires efficient use. Therefore, planning for natural gas consumption is of great importance. The most critical input for this planning is natural gas demand forecasts. Due to the increasing importance of the subject, numerous studies on natural gas demand forecasting have been conducted in the literature. However, the scientific studies carried out in Turkey are quite limited. In this article, the current demand forecast situation in Turkey is revealed, and a data analytics approach based on big data is developed and proposed.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. Aras, H., Aras, N. 2004 “Forecasting Residential Natural Gas Demand”, Energy Sources, 26(5), 463-472.
  2. Aydin, G. 2015 “The Modeling and Projection of Primary Energy Consumption by The Sources”, Energy Sources A, 10(1), 67-74.
  3. Azadeh, A., Zarrin, M., Beik, H.R. and Bioki, T.A. 2015 “A Neuro-Fuzzy Algorithm for Improved Gas Consumption Forecasting with Economic, Environmental And IT/IS Indicators”, Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering, 133, 716-739.
  4. Balestra, P. and Nerlove, M. 1966 “Pooling Cross Section and Time Series Data in The Estimation of a Dynamic Model: The Demand for Natural Gas”, Econometrica (pre-1986), 34(3): 585.
  5. Baltagi, B. H., Bresson, G.and Pirotte, A. 2002 “Comparison of Forecast Performance for Homogeneous, Heterogeneous and Shrinkage Estimators: Some Empirical Evidence from US Electricity and Natural-Gas Consumption”, Economics Letters, 76(3): 375-382.
  6. Beccali M, Cellura, M., Brano, V. L. and Marvuglia, A. 2004 “Forecasting Daily Urban Electric Load Profiles Using Artificial Neural Networks”, Energy Conversion And Management, 45(18-19): 2879-2900.
  7. Berndt, E. R. and Watkins, G. C. 1977 “Demand for Natural Gas: Residential and Commercial Markets in Ontario and British Columbia”, Canadian Journal of Economics, 97-111.
  8. Demirel, Ö. F., Zaim, S., Çalişkan, A. and Özuyar, P. 2012 “Forecasting Natural Gas Consumption in Istanbul Using Neural Networks and Multivariate Time Series Methods”, Turkish Journal of Electrical Engineering & Computer Sciences, 20(5): 695-711.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Politika ve Yönetim (Diğer)

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Erken Görünüm Tarihi

17 Ekim 2023

Yayımlanma Tarihi

14 Ekim 2023

Gönderilme Tarihi

6 Temmuz 2023

Kabul Tarihi

11 Eylül 2023

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2023 Cilt: 21 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA
Avcı, E. (2023). IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH. Journal of Management and Economics Research, 21(3), 312-332. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1323635
AMA
1.Avcı E. IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH. Journal of Management and Economics Research. 2023;21(3):312-332. doi:10.11611/yead.1323635
Chicago
Avcı, Ezgi. 2023. “IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH”. Journal of Management and Economics Research 21 (3): 312-32. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1323635.
EndNote
Avcı E (01 Ekim 2023) IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH. Journal of Management and Economics Research 21 3 312–332.
IEEE
[1]E. Avcı, “IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH”, Journal of Management and Economics Research, c. 21, sy 3, ss. 312–332, Eki. 2023, doi: 10.11611/yead.1323635.
ISNAD
Avcı, Ezgi. “IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH”. Journal of Management and Economics Research 21/3 (01 Ekim 2023): 312-332. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1323635.
JAMA
1.Avcı E. IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH. Journal of Management and Economics Research. 2023;21:312–332.
MLA
Avcı, Ezgi. “IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH”. Journal of Management and Economics Research, c. 21, sy 3, Ekim 2023, ss. 312-3, doi:10.11611/yead.1323635.
Vancouver
1.Ezgi Avcı. IMPROVING TURKEY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND FORECASTS: A DATA ANALYTICS APPROACH. Journal of Management and Economics Research. 01 Ekim 2023;21(3):312-3. doi:10.11611/yead.1323635