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The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 23 Sayı: 2, 70 - 89, 07.07.2025
https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1675761

Öz

This study analyses the relationship between Neither in Education nor in Employment (NEET) rates, Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) scores and economic growth in OECD countries. The model, constructed using the two-stage generalised method of moments (2AGMM) inspired by Okun's law, analyses the dynamic relationship between NEET rates and SDG scores and economic growth. The results show that both economic growth and improvements in SDG indicators reduce NEET rates. Socially equitable and inclusive planning of economic growth increases the integration of the youth population into the labour market. Factors such as education and gender equality have a decreasing effect on NEET rates. The persistence of NEET rates points to the need for structural reforms. In conclusion, it is emphasised that policies to reduce NEET rates should be based on strategies in line with inclusive growth, structural reforms and the SDGs.

Kaynakça

  • Aceleanu, M.I.; Serban, A.C.; Burghelea, C. (2015) “Greening” the Youth Employment—A Chance for Sustainable Development. Sustainability, (7), 2623–2643.
  • Arellano, M., and Bond, S. (1991) “Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and An Application to Employment Equations”, The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968.
  • Arshad, Z. (2007) “The Validity of Okun’s Law in the Swedish Economy”, Stockholm: Stockholm University.
  • Ball, L., Furceri, D., Leigh, D., and Loungani, P. (2016) “Does One Law Fit All? Cross-Country Evidence on Okun’s Law”, http://unassumingeconomist.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/cross-country-evidence on-okun-sep-2016-paris-workshop-draft-with-tables-and-charts.pdf.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2014) “Panel Data and Difference-in-Differences Estimation”, Encyclopedia of health economics, 425-433. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-375678-7.00720-3.
  • Berigel, M., Boztaş, G. D., Rocca, A., and Neagu, G. (2024) “Using Machine Learning for Neets and Sustainability Studies: Determining Best Machine Learning Algorithms”, Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 94, 101921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2024.101921
  • Bostancı, F. C., Çolak, K., and Koç, S. (2024) “Causality Relationship between Youth Unemployment and Neet Rates by Gender: A Comparison of Baltic and Mediterranean Countries”, Scientific Journal of Finance and Financial Law Studies, 4(2), 129-147.
  • Carmichael-Murphy P, Demkowicz O and Humphrey N (2022) “At Risk” Adolescent Boys’ Engagement with an Employability Intervention: A Qualitative Exploration”, Front. Educ. 7:924456. doi: 10.3389/feduc.2022.924456.
  • Castillo, C., Da Silva, J., and Monsueto, S. (2020) “Objectives of Sustainable Development and Youth Employment in Colombia”, Sustainability, 12(3), 991, https://doi.org/10.3390/su12030991.
  • Cieslik, K., Barford, A., and Vira, B. (2021) “Young people not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) in Sub-Saharan Africa: Sustainable Development Target 8.6 Missed and Reset”, Journal of Youth Studies, 25(8), 1126–1147. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676261.2021.1939287.
  • Cole, M. A. (2004) “Trade, the Pollution Haven Hypothesis and the Environmental Kuznets Curve: Examining the Linkages”, Ecological economics, 48(1), 71-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2003.09.007.
  • Colak, K., Guvenc, D., and Koc, S. (2024) “İşgücü Piyasasında Bir Niş Jenerasyon NEET’lerin Y, Z Ve Alfa Kuşakları Açısından Bir Değerlendirmesi”, International Journal of Innovative Approaches in Social Sciences, 8(4), 165-182. https://doi.org/10.29329/ijiasos.2024.1091.3.
  • Çolak, K., and Koç, S. (2023) “Bibliometric Analysis and Mapping with Vosviewer in Neet-Head Research in Social Sciences”, Journal of Ekonomi, 5(2), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.58251/ekonomi.1380379.
  • Çolak K., and Koç S. (2024) "Impact of Economic Growth on NEET Rate in Developed and Developing Countries", 47th EBES Conference - Berlin, 18 - 21 Nisan 2024, (2), 1136-1148
  • De Souza Paulino, D.and Bendassolli, P.F. (2018) “Meaning of Work and Job Searching for Young NEETS. Av. Psicol”, Latinoamer, (36), 373–388.
  • Erdogan, E., Flynn, P., Nasya, B., Paabort, H., and Lendzhova, V. (2021 “NEET Rural–Urban Ecosystems: The Role of Urban Social Innovation Diffusion in Supporting Sustainable Rural Pathways to Education, Employment, and Training”, Sustainability, 13(21), 12053. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132112053.
  • Ertürk, S., and Koç, S. (2025) “Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis”, Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 26(1), 156-166. https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.1560382.
  • Ertürk, S., and Koç, S. (2023) “The Transition of Fertility Rates in the World: Regime Switching Model”, Karamanoğlu Mehmetbey Üniversitesi Sosyal ve Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 25(45), 1324-1335.
  • Eurostat. (2023) “Young People Neither in Employment nor in Education and Training (NEET)”. Fabris MA and Longobardi C (2023) “Editorial: Towards 2030: Sustainable Development Goal 16: Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions. An Educational Perspective”, Front. Educ. 7:1130832. doi: 10.3389/feduc.2022.1130832.
  • Hansen, L. P. (1982) “Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators”, Econometrica, 50(4), 1029-1054.
  • Hayashi, F. (2000) “Econometrics”, Princeton University Press.
  • Ingutia, R. (2022) “Has the Sustainable Development Goal of Reducing the Proportion of Youths Not in Education, Employment or Training By 2020 Been Met in Africa?”, Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies, 18(2), 298–308. https://doi.org/10.1080/17450128.2022.2141406.
  • Kim Chang-Jin (2010) "Dealing with Endogeneity in Regression Models with Dynamic Coefficients", Foundations and Trends® in Econometrics”, (3)3, 165-266. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/0800000010.
  • Köken, M., and Koç, S. (2022) “Türkiye’de Bölgesel NEET Verilerinin Mekansal Panel Veri Analizi”, Journal of International Management Educational and Economics Perspectives, 10(2), 113-129.
  • Kreinin, H., and Aigner, E. (2022) “From “Decent Work and Economic Growth” To “Sustainable Work and Economic Degrowth”: A New Framework for SDG 8”, Empirica, 49(2), 281-311.
  • Kuznets, S. (1973) “Modern Economic Growth: Findings and Reflections”, The American Economic Review, 63(3), 247–258. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1914358.
  • Maguire, S. (2015) “NEET, Unemployed, Inactive or Unknown – Why Does It Matter? Educational Research,” 57(2), 121–132. https://doi.org/10.1080/00131881.2015.1030850.
  • Mankiw, N. G. (2010) “Makroekonomi”, Ö. F. Çolak (ed.). Ankara: Efil Yayınevi.
  • OECD. (2023) NEET rates (indicator), doi: 10.1787/72d1033a-en (Erişim Tarihi: 22 Mart 2025).
  • Okun, A. M. (1962) “Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance”, Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association, 98-104.
  • Önal, A., and Yenihan, B. (2024) “NEET ve Bireysel Boyutları: Dünya Ölçeğinden Türkiye Özeline Bir Karşilaştirma”, Ekonomi Gündemi: Analizler ve İncelemeler 2, 58.
  • Piketty, T. (2014) “Capital in the Twenty-First Century”, Harvard University Press.
  • Quintano, C., Mazzocchi, P. and Rocca, A. (2018) “The Determinants of Italian Neets and the Effects of the Economic Crisis”, Genus 74, 5, https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-018-0031-0.
  • Rauniyar, G., and Kanbur, R. (2010) “Inclusive Growth and Inclusive Development: A Review and Synthesis of Asian Development Bank Literature”, Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 15(4), 455–469. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2010.517680.
  • Redmond, P., and McFadden, C. (2023) “Young People Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET): Concepts, Consequences and Policy Approaches”, The Economic and Social Review, 54(4, Winter), 285-327.
  • Ruesga-Benito, S. M., González-Laxe, F., and Picatoste, X. (2018) “Sustainable Development, Poverty, and Risk of Exclusion for Young People in the European Union: The Case of NEETs”, Sustainability, 10(12), 4708. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10124708.
  • Sen, A. (1999) “Development as Freedom”, New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Tarı, R., Koç, S., and Abasız, T. (2019) “Ekonometri”, 14. Baskı, Kocaeli: Umuttepe Yayınları.
  • United Nations. (2015) “Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, New York: United Nations.
  • Vancea, M.; Utzet, M. (2018) “School-to-Work Transition: The case of Spanish NEETs”, J. Youth Stud., (21), 869–887
  • Wilson, W. J. (2012) “The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, the Underclass, and Public Policy”, University of Chicago Press.
  • Zudina, A. (2021) “What Makes Youth Become NEET? Evidence from Russia”, Journal of Youth Studies, 25(5), 636–649. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676261.2021.1923673.

Seçilmiş OECD Ülkelerinde SKA Skorlarının NEET Oranlarına Etkisi: İki Aşamalı GMM Yaklaşımı

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 23 Sayı: 2, 70 - 89, 07.07.2025
https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1675761

Öz

Bu çalışma, Eğitimde Olmayan ve İstihdamda Olmayan (NEET) oranları, Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları (SKA) puanları ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi OECD ülkelerinde analiz etmektedir. Okun yasasından ilham alınarak oluşturulan iki aşamalı genelleştirilmiş momentler metodu (2AGMM) modeli, NEET oranları ile SKA puanları ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki dinamik ilişkiyi incelemektedir. Sonuçlar, hem ekonomik büyümenin hem de SKA göstergelerindeki iyileşmelerin NEET oranlarını azalttığını göstermektedir. Sosyal olarak eşitlikçi ve kapsayıcı bir ekonomik büyüme planlaması, genç nüfusun işgücü piyasasına entegrasyonunu artırmaktadır. Eğitim ve toplumsal cinsiyet eşitliği gibi faktörler NEET oranlarını azaltıcı etkide bulunmaktadır. NEET oranlarının kalıcılığı, yapısal reform ihtiyacını işaret etmektedir. Sonuç olarak, NEET oranlarını azaltmaya yönelik politikaların kapsayıcı büyüme, yapısal reformlar ve SKA'lara uygun stratejilere dayalı olması gerektiği vurgulanmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Aceleanu, M.I.; Serban, A.C.; Burghelea, C. (2015) “Greening” the Youth Employment—A Chance for Sustainable Development. Sustainability, (7), 2623–2643.
  • Arellano, M., and Bond, S. (1991) “Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and An Application to Employment Equations”, The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968.
  • Arshad, Z. (2007) “The Validity of Okun’s Law in the Swedish Economy”, Stockholm: Stockholm University.
  • Ball, L., Furceri, D., Leigh, D., and Loungani, P. (2016) “Does One Law Fit All? Cross-Country Evidence on Okun’s Law”, http://unassumingeconomist.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/cross-country-evidence on-okun-sep-2016-paris-workshop-draft-with-tables-and-charts.pdf.
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2014) “Panel Data and Difference-in-Differences Estimation”, Encyclopedia of health economics, 425-433. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-375678-7.00720-3.
  • Berigel, M., Boztaş, G. D., Rocca, A., and Neagu, G. (2024) “Using Machine Learning for Neets and Sustainability Studies: Determining Best Machine Learning Algorithms”, Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 94, 101921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2024.101921
  • Bostancı, F. C., Çolak, K., and Koç, S. (2024) “Causality Relationship between Youth Unemployment and Neet Rates by Gender: A Comparison of Baltic and Mediterranean Countries”, Scientific Journal of Finance and Financial Law Studies, 4(2), 129-147.
  • Carmichael-Murphy P, Demkowicz O and Humphrey N (2022) “At Risk” Adolescent Boys’ Engagement with an Employability Intervention: A Qualitative Exploration”, Front. Educ. 7:924456. doi: 10.3389/feduc.2022.924456.
  • Castillo, C., Da Silva, J., and Monsueto, S. (2020) “Objectives of Sustainable Development and Youth Employment in Colombia”, Sustainability, 12(3), 991, https://doi.org/10.3390/su12030991.
  • Cieslik, K., Barford, A., and Vira, B. (2021) “Young people not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) in Sub-Saharan Africa: Sustainable Development Target 8.6 Missed and Reset”, Journal of Youth Studies, 25(8), 1126–1147. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676261.2021.1939287.
  • Cole, M. A. (2004) “Trade, the Pollution Haven Hypothesis and the Environmental Kuznets Curve: Examining the Linkages”, Ecological economics, 48(1), 71-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2003.09.007.
  • Colak, K., Guvenc, D., and Koc, S. (2024) “İşgücü Piyasasında Bir Niş Jenerasyon NEET’lerin Y, Z Ve Alfa Kuşakları Açısından Bir Değerlendirmesi”, International Journal of Innovative Approaches in Social Sciences, 8(4), 165-182. https://doi.org/10.29329/ijiasos.2024.1091.3.
  • Çolak, K., and Koç, S. (2023) “Bibliometric Analysis and Mapping with Vosviewer in Neet-Head Research in Social Sciences”, Journal of Ekonomi, 5(2), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.58251/ekonomi.1380379.
  • Çolak K., and Koç S. (2024) "Impact of Economic Growth on NEET Rate in Developed and Developing Countries", 47th EBES Conference - Berlin, 18 - 21 Nisan 2024, (2), 1136-1148
  • De Souza Paulino, D.and Bendassolli, P.F. (2018) “Meaning of Work and Job Searching for Young NEETS. Av. Psicol”, Latinoamer, (36), 373–388.
  • Erdogan, E., Flynn, P., Nasya, B., Paabort, H., and Lendzhova, V. (2021 “NEET Rural–Urban Ecosystems: The Role of Urban Social Innovation Diffusion in Supporting Sustainable Rural Pathways to Education, Employment, and Training”, Sustainability, 13(21), 12053. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132112053.
  • Ertürk, S., and Koç, S. (2025) “Does Türkiye Have a Demographic Dividend? NUTS 2 Analysis”, Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 26(1), 156-166. https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.1560382.
  • Ertürk, S., and Koç, S. (2023) “The Transition of Fertility Rates in the World: Regime Switching Model”, Karamanoğlu Mehmetbey Üniversitesi Sosyal ve Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 25(45), 1324-1335.
  • Eurostat. (2023) “Young People Neither in Employment nor in Education and Training (NEET)”. Fabris MA and Longobardi C (2023) “Editorial: Towards 2030: Sustainable Development Goal 16: Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions. An Educational Perspective”, Front. Educ. 7:1130832. doi: 10.3389/feduc.2022.1130832.
  • Hansen, L. P. (1982) “Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators”, Econometrica, 50(4), 1029-1054.
  • Hayashi, F. (2000) “Econometrics”, Princeton University Press.
  • Ingutia, R. (2022) “Has the Sustainable Development Goal of Reducing the Proportion of Youths Not in Education, Employment or Training By 2020 Been Met in Africa?”, Vulnerable Children and Youth Studies, 18(2), 298–308. https://doi.org/10.1080/17450128.2022.2141406.
  • Kim Chang-Jin (2010) "Dealing with Endogeneity in Regression Models with Dynamic Coefficients", Foundations and Trends® in Econometrics”, (3)3, 165-266. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/0800000010.
  • Köken, M., and Koç, S. (2022) “Türkiye’de Bölgesel NEET Verilerinin Mekansal Panel Veri Analizi”, Journal of International Management Educational and Economics Perspectives, 10(2), 113-129.
  • Kreinin, H., and Aigner, E. (2022) “From “Decent Work and Economic Growth” To “Sustainable Work and Economic Degrowth”: A New Framework for SDG 8”, Empirica, 49(2), 281-311.
  • Kuznets, S. (1973) “Modern Economic Growth: Findings and Reflections”, The American Economic Review, 63(3), 247–258. http://www.jstor.org/stable/1914358.
  • Maguire, S. (2015) “NEET, Unemployed, Inactive or Unknown – Why Does It Matter? Educational Research,” 57(2), 121–132. https://doi.org/10.1080/00131881.2015.1030850.
  • Mankiw, N. G. (2010) “Makroekonomi”, Ö. F. Çolak (ed.). Ankara: Efil Yayınevi.
  • OECD. (2023) NEET rates (indicator), doi: 10.1787/72d1033a-en (Erişim Tarihi: 22 Mart 2025).
  • Okun, A. M. (1962) “Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance”, Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association, 98-104.
  • Önal, A., and Yenihan, B. (2024) “NEET ve Bireysel Boyutları: Dünya Ölçeğinden Türkiye Özeline Bir Karşilaştirma”, Ekonomi Gündemi: Analizler ve İncelemeler 2, 58.
  • Piketty, T. (2014) “Capital in the Twenty-First Century”, Harvard University Press.
  • Quintano, C., Mazzocchi, P. and Rocca, A. (2018) “The Determinants of Italian Neets and the Effects of the Economic Crisis”, Genus 74, 5, https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-018-0031-0.
  • Rauniyar, G., and Kanbur, R. (2010) “Inclusive Growth and Inclusive Development: A Review and Synthesis of Asian Development Bank Literature”, Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 15(4), 455–469. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2010.517680.
  • Redmond, P., and McFadden, C. (2023) “Young People Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET): Concepts, Consequences and Policy Approaches”, The Economic and Social Review, 54(4, Winter), 285-327.
  • Ruesga-Benito, S. M., González-Laxe, F., and Picatoste, X. (2018) “Sustainable Development, Poverty, and Risk of Exclusion for Young People in the European Union: The Case of NEETs”, Sustainability, 10(12), 4708. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10124708.
  • Sen, A. (1999) “Development as Freedom”, New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Tarı, R., Koç, S., and Abasız, T. (2019) “Ekonometri”, 14. Baskı, Kocaeli: Umuttepe Yayınları.
  • United Nations. (2015) “Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”, New York: United Nations.
  • Vancea, M.; Utzet, M. (2018) “School-to-Work Transition: The case of Spanish NEETs”, J. Youth Stud., (21), 869–887
  • Wilson, W. J. (2012) “The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, the Underclass, and Public Policy”, University of Chicago Press.
  • Zudina, A. (2021) “What Makes Youth Become NEET? Evidence from Russia”, Journal of Youth Studies, 25(5), 636–649. https://doi.org/10.1080/13676261.2021.1923673.
Toplam 42 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Politika ve Yönetim (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Kerem Çolak 0000-0003-3357-3457

Gönderilme Tarihi 14 Nisan 2025
Kabul Tarihi 26 Mayıs 2025
Erken Görünüm Tarihi 7 Temmuz 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 7 Temmuz 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 23 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Çolak, K. (2025). The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, 23(2), 70-89. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1675761
AMA Çolak K. The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi. Temmuz 2025;23(2):70-89. doi:10.11611/yead.1675761
Chicago Çolak, Kerem. “The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach”. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi 23, sy. 2 (Temmuz 2025): 70-89. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1675761.
EndNote Çolak K (01 Temmuz 2025) The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi 23 2 70–89.
IEEE K. Çolak, “The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach”, Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, c. 23, sy. 2, ss. 70–89, 2025, doi: 10.11611/yead.1675761.
ISNAD Çolak, Kerem. “The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach”. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi 23/2 (Temmuz2025), 70-89. https://doi.org/10.11611/yead.1675761.
JAMA Çolak K. The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi. 2025;23:70–89.
MLA Çolak, Kerem. “The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach”. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, c. 23, sy. 2, 2025, ss. 70-89, doi:10.11611/yead.1675761.
Vancouver Çolak K. The Impact of SDG Scores On NEET Rates in Selected OECD Countries: A Two-Step GMM Approach. Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi. 2025;23(2):70-89.