Demokrasi ve Yolsuzluğun Yeniden Dağıtıma Etkileri: Türkiye İçin Ampirik Bir Analiz
Year 2026,
Issue: 89
,
1
-
12
,
30.04.2026
Güray Akalin
,
İlyas Okumuş
,
Uğur Korkut Pata
,
Sinan Erdoğan
Abstract
Demokrasi ve yolsuzluğun gelir eşitsizliğine etkisi çok sayıda ampirik çalışma tarafından incelenmişken, yeniden dağıtımı nasıl etkiledikleri ise sınırlı sayıda çalışma tarafından incelenmiştir. Literatürdeki bu boşluktan hareketle gerçekleştirilen bu çalışmanın amacı; Türkiye’de 2002-2023 yılları arasında demokrasi ve yolsuzluğun birlikte yeniden dağıtımı nasıl etkilediğini ortaya koymaktır. ARDL yöntemi, KPSS durağanlık testi ve PP birim kök testi ile ulaşılan bulgular şöyle sıralanabilir. i) Değişkenlerin durağanlık özellikleri ampirik modelin ARDL ile tahminine uygundur. ii) Bağımsız değişkenler bağımlı değişkeni uzun dönemde istikrarlı bir şekilde açıklayabilmektedir. iii) Demokrasi endeksindeki ve işsizlik oranlarındaki artış yeniden dağıtımı azaltmaktadır. iv) Yolsuzluğun azaldığı anlamına gelen yolsuzluk endeksindeki artış ise yeniden dağıtımın artmasına yol açmaktadır. Dolayısıyla yeniden dağıtımı arttırmak ve böylece gelir eşitsizliğini düşürmek için Türkiye’de yolsuzluk ile etkin bir mücadele başlatılmalıdır.
References
-
Acaravcı, A., Akalin, G. ve Erdoğan, S. (2019). Araştırma-geliştirme harcamalarının Türkiye ihracatına etkileri. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 37(1), 1-16.
-
Acemoglu, D. ve Robinson, J. A. (2005). Economic origins of dictatorship and democracy. Cambridge university press.
-
Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Restrepo, P. ve Robinson, J. A. (2015). Democracy, redistribution, and inequality. In Handbook of income distribution (Vol. 2, pp. 1885-1966). Elsevier.
-
Aidt, T. S. ve Jensen, P. S. (2009). Tax structure, size of government, and the extension of the voting franchise in Western Europe, 1860–1938. International Tax and Public Finance, 16, 362-394.
-
Ajaz, T. ve Ahmad, E. (2010). The effect of corruption and governance on tax revenues. The Pakistan development review, 405-417.
-
Bagdigen, M. ve Tunçer, M. (2004). Yolsuzluğun kamu gelirleri üzerine etkisi: Belediye gelirleri üzerine ampirik bir çalışma. Vergi Dünyası, 272, 168-174.
-
Bagdigen, M. ve Dokmen, G. (2006). Yolsuzluklarla kamu harcamaları arasındaki ilişkinin ampirik bir analizi: Türkiye örneği (An empirical analysis of relationship between corruptions and public expenditures: The Turkish case). ZKÜ Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2(4), 23-38
-
Balafoutas, L. (2011). How much income redistribution? An explanation based on vote-buying and corruption. Public Choice, 146, 185-203.
-
Becker, G. S. (1983). A theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 98(3), 371–400.
-
Benabou, R. (2000). Unequal societies: Income distribution and the social contract. American Economic Review, 91(1), 96-129.
-
Benabou, R. (2002). Tax and education policy in a heterogeneous‐agent economy: What levels of redistribution maximize growth and efficiency?. Econometrica, 70(2), 481-517.
-
Berg, A., Ostry, J. D., & Zettelmeyer, J. (2012). What makes growth sustained?. Journal of Development Economics, 98(2), 149-166.
-
Berg, A. G. ve Ostry, J. D. (2017). Inequality and unsustainable growth: two sides of the same coin?. IMF Economic Review, 65, 792-815.
-
Bleaney, M., Gemmell, N. ve Kneller, R. (2001). Testing the endogenous growth model: public expenditure, taxation, and growth over the long run. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 34(1), 36-57.
-
Chancel, L. ve Piketty, T. (2021). Global income inequality, 1820-2020: The persistence and mutation of extreme inequality.
-
Conceicao, P. (2024). Human Development Report 2023/24. Breaking the Gridlock: Reimagining Cooperation in a Polarized World.
-
Congleton, R. D. ve Bose, F. (2010). The rise of the modern welfare state, ideology, institutions and income security: analysis and evidence. Public Choice, 144, 535-555.
-
Easterly, W. (2007). Inequality does cause underdevelopment: Insights from a new instrument. Journal of development economics, 84(2), 755-776.
-
Enami, A. ve Lustig, N. (2025). Income Redistribution Around the Globe: Determinants and Mechanisms (No. 680).
-
Feld, L. P. ve Frey, B. S. (2002). Trust breeds trust: How taxpayers are treated. Economics of governance, 3, 87-99.
-
Feld, L. P., Fischer, J. A. ve Kirchgässner, G. (2010). The effect of direct democracy on income redistribution: Evidence for Switzerland. Economic Inquiry, 48(4), 817-840.
-
Frey, B. S. ve Torgler, B. (2007). Tax morale and conditional cooperation. Journal of comparative economics, 35(1), 136-159.
-
Gupta, A. S. (2007). Determinants of tax revenue efforts in developing countries (No. 2007/184). International Monetary Fund.
-
Hessami, Z., Thum, C. ve Uebelmesser, S. (2012). A Political Economy Explanation for In-kind Redistribution: The Interplay of Corruption and Democracy.
-
Hicks, A. M. ve Swank, D. H. (1992). Politics, institutions, and welfare spending in industrialized democracies, 1960–82. American Political Science Review, 86(3), 658-674.
-
Imam, P. A. ve Jacobs, D. (2014). Effect of corruption on tax revenues in the Middle East. Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, 10(1), 1-24.
-
Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C., Schmidt, P. ve Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root. Journal of Econometrics, 54(1-3), 159-178.
-
Meltzer, A. H. ve Richard, S. F. (1981). A rational theory of the size of government. Journal of political Economy, 89(5), 914-927.
-
Mulligan, C. B., Gil, R. ve Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Do democracies have different public policies than nondemocracies?. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(1), 51-74.
-
Mutascu, M. (2011). Taxation and democracy. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 14(4), 343-348.
-
Pani, M. (2011). Hold your nose and vote: corruption and public decisions in a representative democracy. Public Choice, 148, 163-196.
-
Parsons, B. ve Naghshpour, S. (2025). Political regime and income (re) distribution—Panel data analysis in 126 countries. Economics & Politics, 37(1), 341-375.
-
Persson, T. ve Tabellini, G. (1991). Is inequality harmful for growth? Theory and evidence.
-
Pesaran, M. H., ve Shin, Y. (1995). An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis (Vol. 9514). Cambridge, UK: Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge
-
Pesaran, H., ve Shin, Y. (1999). “An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration “chapter 11. In Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium. Cambridge University Press Cambridge.
-
Pesaran M.H., Shin, Y. ve R.J. Smith ( 2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 289–326.
-
Phillips, P. C. B. ve Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika.
-
Prichard, W., Salardi, P., ve Segal, P. (2018). Taxation, non-tax revenue and democracy: New evidence using new cross-country data. World Development, 109, 295-312.
-
Profeta, P., Puglisi, R., ve Scabrosetti, S. (2013). Does democracy affect taxation and government spending? Evidence from developing countries. Journal of Comparative Economics, 41(3), 684-718.
-
Rajan, R. G. (2011). Fault lines: How hidden fractures still threaten the world economy. Princeton University press.
-
Rodrik, D. (1998). Why do more open economies have bigger governments?. Journal of political economy, 106(5), 997-1032.
-
Sánchez, A. ve Goda, T. (2018). Corruption and the ‘Paradox of redistribution’. Social Indicators Research, 140, 675-693.
-
Solt, Frederick. "The standardized world income inequality database, versions 8-9." (No Title) (2019). https://fsolt.org/swiid/ (Erişim Tarihi: 19.01.2025).
-
Stiglitz, J. E. (2012). The price of inequality: How today's divided society endangers our future. WW Norton & Company.
-
World Bank (2025). World Development Indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators# (Erişim Tarihi: 19.01.2025).
-
World Bank (2025). World Governance Indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/worldwide-governance-indicators (Erişim Tarihi: 19.01.2025).
The Impacts of Democracy and Corruption on Redistribution: An Empirical Analysis for Türkiye
Year 2026,
Issue: 89
,
1
-
12
,
30.04.2026
Güray Akalin
,
İlyas Okumuş
,
Uğur Korkut Pata
,
Sinan Erdoğan
Abstract
While numerous empirical studies have examined the effects of democracy and corruption on income inequality, few studies have examined how they affect redistribution. This study, which was carried out based on this gap in the literature, aims to reveal how democracy and corruption affected redistribution in Türkiye between 2002 and 2023. The findings obtained by the ARDL method, KPSS stationarity test, and PP unit root test are as follows: i) The variables' stationarity properties are suitable for estimating the empirical model with the ARDL. ii) A stable long-run relationship exists between the independent and dependent variables. iii) An increase in the democracy index and unemployment rates reduces redistribution. iv) An increase in the corruption index (indicating lower corruption), leads to increased redistribution. Therefore, an effective fight against corruption should be launched in Türkiye to increase redistribution and thus reduce income inequality.
References
-
Acaravcı, A., Akalin, G. ve Erdoğan, S. (2019). Araştırma-geliştirme harcamalarının Türkiye ihracatına etkileri. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 37(1), 1-16.
-
Acemoglu, D. ve Robinson, J. A. (2005). Economic origins of dictatorship and democracy. Cambridge university press.
-
Acemoglu, D., Naidu, S., Restrepo, P. ve Robinson, J. A. (2015). Democracy, redistribution, and inequality. In Handbook of income distribution (Vol. 2, pp. 1885-1966). Elsevier.
-
Aidt, T. S. ve Jensen, P. S. (2009). Tax structure, size of government, and the extension of the voting franchise in Western Europe, 1860–1938. International Tax and Public Finance, 16, 362-394.
-
Ajaz, T. ve Ahmad, E. (2010). The effect of corruption and governance on tax revenues. The Pakistan development review, 405-417.
-
Bagdigen, M. ve Tunçer, M. (2004). Yolsuzluğun kamu gelirleri üzerine etkisi: Belediye gelirleri üzerine ampirik bir çalışma. Vergi Dünyası, 272, 168-174.
-
Bagdigen, M. ve Dokmen, G. (2006). Yolsuzluklarla kamu harcamaları arasındaki ilişkinin ampirik bir analizi: Türkiye örneği (An empirical analysis of relationship between corruptions and public expenditures: The Turkish case). ZKÜ Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 2(4), 23-38
-
Balafoutas, L. (2011). How much income redistribution? An explanation based on vote-buying and corruption. Public Choice, 146, 185-203.
-
Becker, G. S. (1983). A theory of competition among pressure groups for political influence. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 98(3), 371–400.
-
Benabou, R. (2000). Unequal societies: Income distribution and the social contract. American Economic Review, 91(1), 96-129.
-
Benabou, R. (2002). Tax and education policy in a heterogeneous‐agent economy: What levels of redistribution maximize growth and efficiency?. Econometrica, 70(2), 481-517.
-
Berg, A., Ostry, J. D., & Zettelmeyer, J. (2012). What makes growth sustained?. Journal of Development Economics, 98(2), 149-166.
-
Berg, A. G. ve Ostry, J. D. (2017). Inequality and unsustainable growth: two sides of the same coin?. IMF Economic Review, 65, 792-815.
-
Bleaney, M., Gemmell, N. ve Kneller, R. (2001). Testing the endogenous growth model: public expenditure, taxation, and growth over the long run. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 34(1), 36-57.
-
Chancel, L. ve Piketty, T. (2021). Global income inequality, 1820-2020: The persistence and mutation of extreme inequality.
-
Conceicao, P. (2024). Human Development Report 2023/24. Breaking the Gridlock: Reimagining Cooperation in a Polarized World.
-
Congleton, R. D. ve Bose, F. (2010). The rise of the modern welfare state, ideology, institutions and income security: analysis and evidence. Public Choice, 144, 535-555.
-
Easterly, W. (2007). Inequality does cause underdevelopment: Insights from a new instrument. Journal of development economics, 84(2), 755-776.
-
Enami, A. ve Lustig, N. (2025). Income Redistribution Around the Globe: Determinants and Mechanisms (No. 680).
-
Feld, L. P. ve Frey, B. S. (2002). Trust breeds trust: How taxpayers are treated. Economics of governance, 3, 87-99.
-
Feld, L. P., Fischer, J. A. ve Kirchgässner, G. (2010). The effect of direct democracy on income redistribution: Evidence for Switzerland. Economic Inquiry, 48(4), 817-840.
-
Frey, B. S. ve Torgler, B. (2007). Tax morale and conditional cooperation. Journal of comparative economics, 35(1), 136-159.
-
Gupta, A. S. (2007). Determinants of tax revenue efforts in developing countries (No. 2007/184). International Monetary Fund.
-
Hessami, Z., Thum, C. ve Uebelmesser, S. (2012). A Political Economy Explanation for In-kind Redistribution: The Interplay of Corruption and Democracy.
-
Hicks, A. M. ve Swank, D. H. (1992). Politics, institutions, and welfare spending in industrialized democracies, 1960–82. American Political Science Review, 86(3), 658-674.
-
Imam, P. A. ve Jacobs, D. (2014). Effect of corruption on tax revenues in the Middle East. Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, 10(1), 1-24.
-
Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C., Schmidt, P. ve Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root. Journal of Econometrics, 54(1-3), 159-178.
-
Meltzer, A. H. ve Richard, S. F. (1981). A rational theory of the size of government. Journal of political Economy, 89(5), 914-927.
-
Mulligan, C. B., Gil, R. ve Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Do democracies have different public policies than nondemocracies?. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(1), 51-74.
-
Mutascu, M. (2011). Taxation and democracy. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 14(4), 343-348.
-
Pani, M. (2011). Hold your nose and vote: corruption and public decisions in a representative democracy. Public Choice, 148, 163-196.
-
Parsons, B. ve Naghshpour, S. (2025). Political regime and income (re) distribution—Panel data analysis in 126 countries. Economics & Politics, 37(1), 341-375.
-
Persson, T. ve Tabellini, G. (1991). Is inequality harmful for growth? Theory and evidence.
-
Pesaran, M. H., ve Shin, Y. (1995). An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis (Vol. 9514). Cambridge, UK: Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge
-
Pesaran, H., ve Shin, Y. (1999). “An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration “chapter 11. In Econometrics and Economic Theory in the 20th Century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium. Cambridge University Press Cambridge.
-
Pesaran M.H., Shin, Y. ve R.J. Smith ( 2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 289–326.
-
Phillips, P. C. B. ve Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika.
-
Prichard, W., Salardi, P., ve Segal, P. (2018). Taxation, non-tax revenue and democracy: New evidence using new cross-country data. World Development, 109, 295-312.
-
Profeta, P., Puglisi, R., ve Scabrosetti, S. (2013). Does democracy affect taxation and government spending? Evidence from developing countries. Journal of Comparative Economics, 41(3), 684-718.
-
Rajan, R. G. (2011). Fault lines: How hidden fractures still threaten the world economy. Princeton University press.
-
Rodrik, D. (1998). Why do more open economies have bigger governments?. Journal of political economy, 106(5), 997-1032.
-
Sánchez, A. ve Goda, T. (2018). Corruption and the ‘Paradox of redistribution’. Social Indicators Research, 140, 675-693.
-
Solt, Frederick. "The standardized world income inequality database, versions 8-9." (No Title) (2019). https://fsolt.org/swiid/ (Erişim Tarihi: 19.01.2025).
-
Stiglitz, J. E. (2012). The price of inequality: How today's divided society endangers our future. WW Norton & Company.
-
World Bank (2025). World Development Indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators# (Erişim Tarihi: 19.01.2025).
-
World Bank (2025). World Governance Indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/worldwide-governance-indicators (Erişim Tarihi: 19.01.2025).