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PREDICTING STUDENTS’ ACADEMIC PERFORMANCE USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK : A CASE STUDY FROM FACULTY OF ORGANIZATIONAL SCIENCES

Year 2014, Volume: 1 , 68 - 72, 31.05.2014

Abstract

University
students’ retention and performance in higher education are important issues
for educational institutions, educators, and students. Educational data mining
is focused on developing models and methods for exploring data collected from
educational environments in order to better understand and improve educational
process. Analyzing and determining patterns among indicators of academic
success (study grade point average) and their correlation to students’
personal, high school, admission data can present be a good foundation in
process to adapt and improve the curriculum of higher education institutions,
according to the students’ characteristics. In this paper we use different
artificial neural network algorithms in order to find the best suited model for
prediction of students' success at the end of their studies. Additionally, we
identified which factors had the crucial influence on overall students’
success. Data were collected from the graduated students of Faculty of
Organizational Sciences, University of Belgrade. 

References

  • Minaei-Bidgoli, B. Punch,"Using Genetic Algorithms for Data Mining Optimization in an Educational Web-based System", Genetic and Evolutionary Computation, vol. 2, pp. 2252–2263, 2003. Romero, S. Ventura, “Educational data mining: a review of the state-of-the-art”, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybernet. C Appl. Rev., 40(6), pp. 601–618, 2011. Romero, S. Ventura, P.G. Espejo, C. Hervás,Educational Data Mining 2008, The 1st International Conference on Educational Data Mining, 2008. C. Romero, S. Ventura, S, “Educational data mining: A survey from 1995 to 2005”, Expert Systems with Applications, 33(1), pp. 135-146, 2007. H. Guruler, A. Istanbullu, M. Karahasan, “A new student performance analysing system using knowledge discovery in higher educational databases”. Computers & Education, 55(1), pp. 247-254. Elsevier Ltd. 2010. I.C. Yeh, Application of artificial neural network model and implementation. Taiwan: Scholars Books, 1999. J. Thomas, M. Hass, Data Mining in Higher Education : University Student Declaration of Major, Information Systems, 2011. J.M. Gonzalez, S.L. DesJardins,“Artificial neural networks: A new approach to predicting application behaviour”, Research in Higher Education, 43(2), pp. 235–258, 2002. M. Gerasimovic, L. Stanojevic, U. Bugaric, Z. Miljkovic, A. Veljovic, “Using Artificial Neural Networks for Predictive Modeling of Graduates’ Professional Choice”, The New Educational Review, 23, pp. 175-188, 2011. M. Wook, Y.H. Yahaya, N. Wahab, M.R.M. Isa, N.F. Awang, H.Y. Seong,"Predicting NDUM Student's Academic Performance Using Data Mining Techniques", The Second International Conference on Computer and Electrical Engineering, pp. 357-361, 2009. M.H. Falakmasir, J. Habibi, J. (n.d.), “Using Educational Data Mining Methods to Study the Impact of Virtual Classroom in e-Learning”, www.educationaldatamining.org, pp. 241-248, 2010. Myller, J. Suhonen, E. Sutinen, “Using Data Mining for Improving Web-Based Course Design”, Proc. International Conference on Computers in Education, USA, Washington, pp. 959- 964, 2002. P. Schumacher, A. Olinsky, J. Quinn, R. Smith,“A Comparison of Logistic Regression, Neural Networks, and Classification Trees Predicting Success of Actuarial Students”, Journal of Education for Business, 85(5), pp. 258-263, 2010. R. Stathacopoulou, M. Grigoriadou, M. Samarakou, D. Mitropoulos, “Monitoring students’ actions and using teachers’ expertise in implementing and evaluating the neural network-based fuzzy diagnostic model”, Expert Systems with Applications, 32(4), pp. 955-975, 2007. S. Ayesha, T. Mustafa, A.R. Sattar, M.I. Khan,“Data Mining Model for Higher Education System”, Europen Journal of Scientific Research, Vol.43, No.1, pp. 24-29, 2010. S. Išljamović, M. Vukićević, M. Suknović,“Demographic influence on students’ performance - case study of University of Belgrade”, TTEM - Technics Technologies Education Management, 7 (2), pp. 645-666, ISSN 1840-1503, 2012. S.H. Liao, C.H. Wen, ”Artificial neural networks classification and clustering of methodologies and applications – literature analysis form 1995 to 2005”, Expert Systems with Applications, 32(1), pp. 1–11, 2007. T. Etchells, A. Nebot, A. Vellido, P.J. Lisboa, F. Mugica, "Learning What is Important: Feature Selection and Rule Extraction in a Virtual Course", in The 14th European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, ESANN, Bruges, Belgium, pp. 401–406, 2006. T.K. Wu, S.C. Huang, Y.R. Meng, “Evaluation of ANN and SVM classifiers as predictors to the diagnosis of students with learning disabilities”, Expert Systems with Applications, 34(3), pp. 1846-1856, 2008. V. Kumar, A. Chadha, “An Empirical Study of the Applications of Data Mining Techniques in Higher Education”, International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Application, 2(3), pp. 80-84, 2011. W.W. Guo, “Incorporating statistical and neural network approaches for student course satisfaction analysis and prediction”, Expert Systems with Applications, 37(4), pp. 3358-3365, 2010.
Year 2014, Volume: 1 , 68 - 72, 31.05.2014

Abstract

References

  • Minaei-Bidgoli, B. Punch,"Using Genetic Algorithms for Data Mining Optimization in an Educational Web-based System", Genetic and Evolutionary Computation, vol. 2, pp. 2252–2263, 2003. Romero, S. Ventura, “Educational data mining: a review of the state-of-the-art”, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybernet. C Appl. Rev., 40(6), pp. 601–618, 2011. Romero, S. Ventura, P.G. Espejo, C. Hervás,Educational Data Mining 2008, The 1st International Conference on Educational Data Mining, 2008. C. Romero, S. Ventura, S, “Educational data mining: A survey from 1995 to 2005”, Expert Systems with Applications, 33(1), pp. 135-146, 2007. H. Guruler, A. Istanbullu, M. Karahasan, “A new student performance analysing system using knowledge discovery in higher educational databases”. Computers & Education, 55(1), pp. 247-254. Elsevier Ltd. 2010. I.C. Yeh, Application of artificial neural network model and implementation. Taiwan: Scholars Books, 1999. J. Thomas, M. Hass, Data Mining in Higher Education : University Student Declaration of Major, Information Systems, 2011. J.M. Gonzalez, S.L. DesJardins,“Artificial neural networks: A new approach to predicting application behaviour”, Research in Higher Education, 43(2), pp. 235–258, 2002. M. Gerasimovic, L. Stanojevic, U. Bugaric, Z. Miljkovic, A. Veljovic, “Using Artificial Neural Networks for Predictive Modeling of Graduates’ Professional Choice”, The New Educational Review, 23, pp. 175-188, 2011. M. Wook, Y.H. Yahaya, N. Wahab, M.R.M. Isa, N.F. Awang, H.Y. Seong,"Predicting NDUM Student's Academic Performance Using Data Mining Techniques", The Second International Conference on Computer and Electrical Engineering, pp. 357-361, 2009. M.H. Falakmasir, J. Habibi, J. (n.d.), “Using Educational Data Mining Methods to Study the Impact of Virtual Classroom in e-Learning”, www.educationaldatamining.org, pp. 241-248, 2010. Myller, J. Suhonen, E. Sutinen, “Using Data Mining for Improving Web-Based Course Design”, Proc. International Conference on Computers in Education, USA, Washington, pp. 959- 964, 2002. P. Schumacher, A. Olinsky, J. Quinn, R. Smith,“A Comparison of Logistic Regression, Neural Networks, and Classification Trees Predicting Success of Actuarial Students”, Journal of Education for Business, 85(5), pp. 258-263, 2010. R. Stathacopoulou, M. Grigoriadou, M. Samarakou, D. Mitropoulos, “Monitoring students’ actions and using teachers’ expertise in implementing and evaluating the neural network-based fuzzy diagnostic model”, Expert Systems with Applications, 32(4), pp. 955-975, 2007. S. Ayesha, T. Mustafa, A.R. Sattar, M.I. Khan,“Data Mining Model for Higher Education System”, Europen Journal of Scientific Research, Vol.43, No.1, pp. 24-29, 2010. S. Išljamović, M. Vukićević, M. Suknović,“Demographic influence on students’ performance - case study of University of Belgrade”, TTEM - Technics Technologies Education Management, 7 (2), pp. 645-666, ISSN 1840-1503, 2012. S.H. Liao, C.H. Wen, ”Artificial neural networks classification and clustering of methodologies and applications – literature analysis form 1995 to 2005”, Expert Systems with Applications, 32(1), pp. 1–11, 2007. T. Etchells, A. Nebot, A. Vellido, P.J. Lisboa, F. Mugica, "Learning What is Important: Feature Selection and Rule Extraction in a Virtual Course", in The 14th European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, ESANN, Bruges, Belgium, pp. 401–406, 2006. T.K. Wu, S.C. Huang, Y.R. Meng, “Evaluation of ANN and SVM classifiers as predictors to the diagnosis of students with learning disabilities”, Expert Systems with Applications, 34(3), pp. 1846-1856, 2008. V. Kumar, A. Chadha, “An Empirical Study of the Applications of Data Mining Techniques in Higher Education”, International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Application, 2(3), pp. 80-84, 2011. W.W. Guo, “Incorporating statistical and neural network approaches for student course satisfaction analysis and prediction”, Expert Systems with Applications, 37(4), pp. 3358-3365, 2010.
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Journal Section Articles
Authors

Sonja Isljamovıc

Milija Suknovıc This is me

Publication Date May 31, 2014
Published in Issue Year 2014 Volume: 1

Cite

APA Isljamovıc, S., & Suknovıc, M. (2014). PREDICTING STUDENTS’ ACADEMIC PERFORMANCE USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK : A CASE STUDY FROM FACULTY OF ORGANIZATIONAL SCIENCES. The Eurasia Proceedings of Educational and Social Sciences, 1, 68-72.