The Relation Between Intelligence and Foreign Policy

Abstract

The main purpose of intelligence is to identify the existence of potential risks and threats faced by states and present them to decision-makers. In this article, what intelligence is as a processed product, the intelligence production process, and the role of intelligence in foreign policy making and implementation processes will be discussed. In addition, it will be mentioned why its production has become politicized as an intelligence failure. There are two main reasons for the eventual failure of foreign policy. While the right intelligence is not used in irrational decision-making processes, it is intelligence failure in rational decision-making processes. Also, in an incident, it is very difficult to determine whether the problem lies in intelligence failure or policy failure. In the article, the role of intelligence in foreign policy will be discussed in detail by revealing how these two mechanisms work. In addition, covert operations, which are among the duties of intelligence organizations in foreign policy practices, will be mentioned.

Keywords

• Intelligence
• Foreign Policy
• Intelligence Cycle
• Intelligence Analysis
• Cover Operations

İstihbarat ve Dış Politika İlişkisi

Abstract

İstihbaratın temel amacı, devletlerin karşılaştığı potansiyel risk ve tehditlerin varlığını tespit edip karar vericilere sunmaktır. Bu makalede, işlenmiş ürün olarak istihbaratın ne olduğu; istihbarat üretim süreci ve dış politika yapım ve uygulama süreçlerinde istihbaratın rolü ele alınacaktır. Ayrıca istihbarat başarısızlığı olarak üretiminin neden politikleştiğine değinilecektir. Dış politikadaki nihai başarısızlığın iki ana nedeni bulunmaktadır. Rasyonel olmayan karar verme süreçlerinde doğru istihbaratın kullanılmaması iken, rasyonel karar verme süreçlerinde ise istihbarat başarısızlığıdır. Ayrıca, bir olayda sorunun istihbarat başarısızlığında mı, yoksa politika başarısızlığında mı olduğunu tespit etmek oldukça zordur. Makalede bu iki mekanizmanın işleyişinin nasıl olduğu ortaya konularak dış politikada yapımında istihbaratın rolü ayrıntılı olarak ele alınacaktır. Bunun yanında istihbarat örgütlerinin dış politikadan uygulamalarındaki görevlerinden olan örtülü operasyonlara değinilecektir.

Keywords

• Dış Politika
• İstihbarat
• İstihbarat Çarkı
• İstihbarat Analizi
• Örtülü Operasyonlar

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