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Bölgesel Güvenlik Kompleksi Teorisi Kapsamında İsrail’in Körfez Açılımı: Abraham Antlaşmalarının Bölgedeki Güç Dengelerine Etkisi

Year 2023, Volume: 25 Issue: 45, 879 - 901, 29.12.2023

Abstract

2020 Abraham Antlaşmasıyla Mısır (1979) ve Ürdün’den (1994) sonra üçüncü bir Arap devleti olarak Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE) İsrail’i devlet olarak tanımıştır. Filistin meselesi nedeniyle İsrail ile çok uzun zamandır anlaşmazlık içinde olan Arapların, bölgede etkisini arttıran İran tehdidi nedeniyle bölge içi güç dengelerini lehlerine çevirmek istemeleri ve bu doğrultuda İsrail’le karşılıklı işbirliği adımları atılmasıyla tarihi bir öneme sahiptir. Bu çalışmada Abraham Antlaşmasıyla bölge içi tehdit ve korkuların dönüşümü Buzan’ın Bölgesel Güvenlik Kompleksi Teorisi (BGKT) çerçevesinde analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmanın sonucunda ise, Ortadoğu BGK’sında Filistin meselesinin Araplar için ikinci bir mesele haline geldiği, Arapların self determinasyonu önceledikleri ve antlaşmanın sadece bölgedeki İran tehdidi nedeniyle değil savunma sanayi konusundaki desteklerinde önemli itici sebepler olduğu, İran’ın Suudi Arabistan’la normalleşme antlaşması imzalamasının Abraham Antlaşması nedeniyle maruz kaldığı kuşatılmışlık hissinin bir yansıması olarak görülebildiği sonuçlarına ulaşılmıştır.

References

  • Alagöz, B., and Kandemir, E. (2015). 11 Eylül Sonrası Dönemde Bölgesel Güvenlik ve İran’ın Afganistan Siyaseti. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi, 2(2), 109-140.
  • Bakan, S., and Şahin, S. (2018). Uluslararası Güvenlik Yaklaşımlarının Tarihsel Dönüşümü Ve Yeni Tehditler. The Journal of International Lingual Social and Educational Sciences, 4(2), 135-152.
  • Black, I., and Morris, B. (1991). Israel's secret wars: a history of Israel's intelligence services. Grove Press.
  • Black, I. (2019). Why Israel is quietly cosying up to Gulf monarchies. The Guardian, 19.
  • Bergman, R. (2018). Rise and Kill First: The Secret History of Israel's Targeted Assassinations. Random House.
  • Buzan, B. (1991). People, States and Fear: An Agenda for International Security Studies in the Post Cold-War Era. Second Edition. Boulder, Colorado: Lynne Reiner Publishers.
  • Buzan, B. (2003). Regional security complex theory in the post-Cold War world. In Theories of new regionalism, ss. 140-159, Palgrave Macmillan, London.
  • Buzan, B. and G., Waever, (2003). Regions and powers: the structure of international security (Vol. 91). Cambridge University Press.
  • Caner, M. (2023). İran-Suudi Arabistan Normalleşme Anlaşması Sebepleri ve Sonuçları. Setav, sayı.365. https://www.setav.org/perspektif-iran-suudi-arabistan-normallesme-anlasmasi-sebepleri-ve-sonuclari/, (07.05.2023).
  • Cavlak, Ç. M., and Gök, Ali (2021). Arap Baharı Sonrası Dönemde Bölgesel Güvenlik Kompleksi Bağlamında İran’ın Lübnan Siyaseti. Nevşehir Hacı Bektaş Veli Üniversitesi SBE Dergisi, 11(4), 2131-2145.
  • Center for Strategic and International Studies, (2018). F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) Program, https://www.csis.org/programs/international-security-program/f-35-joint-strike-fighter-jsf-program, (17.05.2023).
  • CNBC, (2023). Iranian oil exports end 2022 at a high despite no nuclear deal, https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/15/iranian-oil-exports-end-2022-at-a-high-despite-no-nuclear-deal.html,( 17.05.2023).
  • Dar, H. A., and Presley, J. R. (2001). The Gulf Co-operation Council: A Slow Path to Integration? The World Economy, 24(9), 1161–1178. doi:10.1111/1467-9701.00405.
  • Dazi-Héni, F. (2020). The Gulf States and Israel after the Abraham Accords. Arab Reform Initiative.
  • Dikmen, Ö. (2020). Arap-İsrail İlişkileri: İsrail'in Körfez Ülkeleri ile Normalleşme Süreci ve Stratejik Değerlendirmeler. Selçuk Üniversitesi Hukuk Fakültesi Dergisi, 42(2), 625-642.
  • Ehteshami, A. (2014). Middle East middle powers: Regional role, international impact. Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi, 11(42), 29-49.
  • Ehteshami, A. (2016). The international politics of the Middle East. Manchester University Press.
  • El-Nawawy, M., and Khamis, S. (2012). Political Activism 2.0: Comparing the role of social media in Egypt's "Facebook Revolution" and Iran's "Twitter Uprising." CyberOrient, 6(1), 8-33.
  • Fawcett, L. (2013). International Relations of the Middle East. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Frisch, Hillel (2020). The Israel-UAE Agreement’s Greatest Achievement, Little Arab Protest, Perspectives Paper no. 1,729.
  • Gelvin, J. L. (2016). The modern Middle East: A history. Oxford University Press.
  • Gresh, G. F. (2020). Gulf Security and the US Military: Regime Survival and the Politics of Basing. Stanford University Press.
  • Helman, G. B. and Ratner, S. R. (1992-1993), Saving Failed States.” Foreign Policy (89), ss. 3–20.
  • Hincks, Joseph (2020). Will Saudi Arabia Be Next to Normalize Relations with Israel? Do not Hold Your Breath, Experts Say, https://time.com/5890151/saudi-arabia-israel-abraham-accords/, (09.05.2023).
  • Jones, C. and Guzansky, Y. (2020). Fraternal enemies Israel and the Gulf monarchies. Hurst, https://www.hurstpublishers.com/book/fraternal-enemies/,(09.05.2023).
  • Rubenberg, C. (2003). The Palestinians: In search of a just peace. Lynne Rienner Publishers. Khamissf.
  • Kenneth M. Pollack, (2020). It’s Not a Peace Deal. It’s a Powder Keg, Foreign Policy, https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/08/21/its-not-a-peace-deal-its-a-powder-keg/,(09.05.2023).
  • Keohane, R. O., and Nye Jr, J. S. (1973). Power and interdependence. Survival, 15(4), 158-165.
  • Salloukh, B. F. (2013). The Arab uprisings and the geopolitics of the Middle East. The international spectator, 48(2), 32-46.
  • Sandler, S. (2020). The Abraham Accords: The Strategic Aspect. BESA Center Perspectives, Paper No, 1.
  • Sayigh, Yezid. (1997). Armed struggle and the search for the state: The Palestinian national movement, 1949-1993. Oxford University Press.
  • Schiff, Z., and Ya'ari, E. (1995). Israel's Lebanon War. Simon and Schuster.
  • Şahin, G., and Güzel, S. (2021). Ortadoğu Güvenliğinde Yeni Açılımlar Ve İbrahim Antlaşması. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, (34), 15-28.
  • Telhami, Shibley. (1990). Power and leadership in international bargaining: The path to the Camp David Accords. Columbia: Columbia University Press.
  • The State of Israel and The Kingdom of Bahrein. (2020). Abraham accords: Declaration of peace, cooperation, and constructive diplomatic and friendly relations, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Bahrain_Israel-Agreement-signed-FINAL-15-Sept-2020-508.pdf, (15.05.2023).
  • The State of Israel and The United Arab Emirates. (13 Ağustos 2020). Abraham accords peace agreement: Treaty of peace, diplomatic relations and full normalization between The United Arab Emirates and The State of Israel, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/UAE_Israel-treaty-signed-FINAL-15-Sept-2020-508.pdf, (15.05.2023).
  • Ulrichsen, K. C. (2016). Israel and the Arab Gulf states: Drivers and directions of change.
  • Yiğittepe, L. (2018). NATO ve Rusya Arasında Türkiye’nin Güvenlik Algılaması: S-400 Krizi Örneği, Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, Cilt 16, Özel Sayı, Ss. 276-289.
  • Yiğittepe, L. (2022). Uluslararası İlişkilerde Güvenlik: Kavramsal Analiz ve Teorik Yaklaşımlar, 2.Baskı, Ankara: Nobel Akademik Yayıncılık. Yossef, A. (2020). Gulfization of the Middle East: The Arab Spring’s Systemic Shift, in The Regional Order in the Gulf Region and the Middle East: Regional Rivalries and Security Alliances, (Ed.) Philipp O. Amour, Switzerland: Palgrave Macmillan, 61–94.
  • Yossef, A. (2021). The regional impact of the Abraham Accords. Modern War Institute, 2(1).
  • Walt, S. M. (1991). The Renaissance of Security Studies. International Studies Quarterly, 35(2), 211. doi:10.2307/2600471
  • Wintour, P. (2020). Israel and UAE agree to full diplomatic ties in Trump-brokered deal. The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/13/israel-and-uae-agree-to-full-diplomatic-ties-in-trump-brokered-deal, (15.05.2023).
  • Guttstadt, Corry, (2013). Turkey, the Jews, and the Holocaust. Lanham: Lexington Books.
  • Zarghami Khosravi, S., Zakerian Amiri, M., Barzegar, K., & Kazemi Zand, A. A. (2019). Israeli-Arab Relations; from Dream to Reality. International Journal of Political Science, 9(1), 61-73.

Israel Gulf Expansion Within Regional Security Complex Theory: The Effect Of The Abraham Accords On The Power Balances In The Region

Year 2023, Volume: 25 Issue: 45, 879 - 901, 29.12.2023

Abstract

With the 2020 Abraham Accord the United Arab Emirates (UAE) recognized Israel as a third Arab state after Egypt (1979) and Jordan (1994). It is of historical importance that the Arabs, who have been in conflict with Israel for a long time over the Palestinian issue, want to turn the intra-regional power balance in their favor due to the Iranian threat, which has increased its influence in the region, and that mutual cooperation steps are taken with Israel in this direction. In this study, the transformation of intra-regional threats and fears with the Abraham Accord was analyzed within the framework of Buzan's Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT). As a result of the study, in the Middle East RSCT, the Palestinian issue has become a secondary concern for the Arabs. They prioritize self-determination, and the treaty is important not only because of the Iranian threat in the region but also because of their support for the defense industry. It has been concluded that Iran's signing of a normalization agreement with Saudi Arabia can be seen as a reflection of the sense of siege it has been exposed to due to the Abraham Accord.

References

  • Alagöz, B., and Kandemir, E. (2015). 11 Eylül Sonrası Dönemde Bölgesel Güvenlik ve İran’ın Afganistan Siyaseti. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi, 2(2), 109-140.
  • Bakan, S., and Şahin, S. (2018). Uluslararası Güvenlik Yaklaşımlarının Tarihsel Dönüşümü Ve Yeni Tehditler. The Journal of International Lingual Social and Educational Sciences, 4(2), 135-152.
  • Black, I., and Morris, B. (1991). Israel's secret wars: a history of Israel's intelligence services. Grove Press.
  • Black, I. (2019). Why Israel is quietly cosying up to Gulf monarchies. The Guardian, 19.
  • Bergman, R. (2018). Rise and Kill First: The Secret History of Israel's Targeted Assassinations. Random House.
  • Buzan, B. (1991). People, States and Fear: An Agenda for International Security Studies in the Post Cold-War Era. Second Edition. Boulder, Colorado: Lynne Reiner Publishers.
  • Buzan, B. (2003). Regional security complex theory in the post-Cold War world. In Theories of new regionalism, ss. 140-159, Palgrave Macmillan, London.
  • Buzan, B. and G., Waever, (2003). Regions and powers: the structure of international security (Vol. 91). Cambridge University Press.
  • Caner, M. (2023). İran-Suudi Arabistan Normalleşme Anlaşması Sebepleri ve Sonuçları. Setav, sayı.365. https://www.setav.org/perspektif-iran-suudi-arabistan-normallesme-anlasmasi-sebepleri-ve-sonuclari/, (07.05.2023).
  • Cavlak, Ç. M., and Gök, Ali (2021). Arap Baharı Sonrası Dönemde Bölgesel Güvenlik Kompleksi Bağlamında İran’ın Lübnan Siyaseti. Nevşehir Hacı Bektaş Veli Üniversitesi SBE Dergisi, 11(4), 2131-2145.
  • Center for Strategic and International Studies, (2018). F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) Program, https://www.csis.org/programs/international-security-program/f-35-joint-strike-fighter-jsf-program, (17.05.2023).
  • CNBC, (2023). Iranian oil exports end 2022 at a high despite no nuclear deal, https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/15/iranian-oil-exports-end-2022-at-a-high-despite-no-nuclear-deal.html,( 17.05.2023).
  • Dar, H. A., and Presley, J. R. (2001). The Gulf Co-operation Council: A Slow Path to Integration? The World Economy, 24(9), 1161–1178. doi:10.1111/1467-9701.00405.
  • Dazi-Héni, F. (2020). The Gulf States and Israel after the Abraham Accords. Arab Reform Initiative.
  • Dikmen, Ö. (2020). Arap-İsrail İlişkileri: İsrail'in Körfez Ülkeleri ile Normalleşme Süreci ve Stratejik Değerlendirmeler. Selçuk Üniversitesi Hukuk Fakültesi Dergisi, 42(2), 625-642.
  • Ehteshami, A. (2014). Middle East middle powers: Regional role, international impact. Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi, 11(42), 29-49.
  • Ehteshami, A. (2016). The international politics of the Middle East. Manchester University Press.
  • El-Nawawy, M., and Khamis, S. (2012). Political Activism 2.0: Comparing the role of social media in Egypt's "Facebook Revolution" and Iran's "Twitter Uprising." CyberOrient, 6(1), 8-33.
  • Fawcett, L. (2013). International Relations of the Middle East. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Frisch, Hillel (2020). The Israel-UAE Agreement’s Greatest Achievement, Little Arab Protest, Perspectives Paper no. 1,729.
  • Gelvin, J. L. (2016). The modern Middle East: A history. Oxford University Press.
  • Gresh, G. F. (2020). Gulf Security and the US Military: Regime Survival and the Politics of Basing. Stanford University Press.
  • Helman, G. B. and Ratner, S. R. (1992-1993), Saving Failed States.” Foreign Policy (89), ss. 3–20.
  • Hincks, Joseph (2020). Will Saudi Arabia Be Next to Normalize Relations with Israel? Do not Hold Your Breath, Experts Say, https://time.com/5890151/saudi-arabia-israel-abraham-accords/, (09.05.2023).
  • Jones, C. and Guzansky, Y. (2020). Fraternal enemies Israel and the Gulf monarchies. Hurst, https://www.hurstpublishers.com/book/fraternal-enemies/,(09.05.2023).
  • Rubenberg, C. (2003). The Palestinians: In search of a just peace. Lynne Rienner Publishers. Khamissf.
  • Kenneth M. Pollack, (2020). It’s Not a Peace Deal. It’s a Powder Keg, Foreign Policy, https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/08/21/its-not-a-peace-deal-its-a-powder-keg/,(09.05.2023).
  • Keohane, R. O., and Nye Jr, J. S. (1973). Power and interdependence. Survival, 15(4), 158-165.
  • Salloukh, B. F. (2013). The Arab uprisings and the geopolitics of the Middle East. The international spectator, 48(2), 32-46.
  • Sandler, S. (2020). The Abraham Accords: The Strategic Aspect. BESA Center Perspectives, Paper No, 1.
  • Sayigh, Yezid. (1997). Armed struggle and the search for the state: The Palestinian national movement, 1949-1993. Oxford University Press.
  • Schiff, Z., and Ya'ari, E. (1995). Israel's Lebanon War. Simon and Schuster.
  • Şahin, G., and Güzel, S. (2021). Ortadoğu Güvenliğinde Yeni Açılımlar Ve İbrahim Antlaşması. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, (34), 15-28.
  • Telhami, Shibley. (1990). Power and leadership in international bargaining: The path to the Camp David Accords. Columbia: Columbia University Press.
  • The State of Israel and The Kingdom of Bahrein. (2020). Abraham accords: Declaration of peace, cooperation, and constructive diplomatic and friendly relations, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Bahrain_Israel-Agreement-signed-FINAL-15-Sept-2020-508.pdf, (15.05.2023).
  • The State of Israel and The United Arab Emirates. (13 Ağustos 2020). Abraham accords peace agreement: Treaty of peace, diplomatic relations and full normalization between The United Arab Emirates and The State of Israel, https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/UAE_Israel-treaty-signed-FINAL-15-Sept-2020-508.pdf, (15.05.2023).
  • Ulrichsen, K. C. (2016). Israel and the Arab Gulf states: Drivers and directions of change.
  • Yiğittepe, L. (2018). NATO ve Rusya Arasında Türkiye’nin Güvenlik Algılaması: S-400 Krizi Örneği, Yönetim ve Ekonomi Araştırmaları Dergisi, Cilt 16, Özel Sayı, Ss. 276-289.
  • Yiğittepe, L. (2022). Uluslararası İlişkilerde Güvenlik: Kavramsal Analiz ve Teorik Yaklaşımlar, 2.Baskı, Ankara: Nobel Akademik Yayıncılık. Yossef, A. (2020). Gulfization of the Middle East: The Arab Spring’s Systemic Shift, in The Regional Order in the Gulf Region and the Middle East: Regional Rivalries and Security Alliances, (Ed.) Philipp O. Amour, Switzerland: Palgrave Macmillan, 61–94.
  • Yossef, A. (2021). The regional impact of the Abraham Accords. Modern War Institute, 2(1).
  • Walt, S. M. (1991). The Renaissance of Security Studies. International Studies Quarterly, 35(2), 211. doi:10.2307/2600471
  • Wintour, P. (2020). Israel and UAE agree to full diplomatic ties in Trump-brokered deal. The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/13/israel-and-uae-agree-to-full-diplomatic-ties-in-trump-brokered-deal, (15.05.2023).
  • Guttstadt, Corry, (2013). Turkey, the Jews, and the Holocaust. Lanham: Lexington Books.
  • Zarghami Khosravi, S., Zakerian Amiri, M., Barzegar, K., & Kazemi Zand, A. A. (2019). Israeli-Arab Relations; from Dream to Reality. International Journal of Political Science, 9(1), 61-73.
There are 44 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Regional Studies, Middle East Studies, International Security, International Relations Theories
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Dilek Yaman 0000-0001-5854-5132

Levent Yiğittepe 0000-0002-2508-5501

Early Pub Date December 29, 2023
Publication Date December 29, 2023
Published in Issue Year 2023 Volume: 25 Issue: 45

Cite

APA Yaman, D., & Yiğittepe, L. (2023). Israel Gulf Expansion Within Regional Security Complex Theory: The Effect Of The Abraham Accords On The Power Balances In The Region. Karamanoğlu Mehmetbey Üniversitesi Sosyal Ve Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 25(45), 879-901.

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