Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism

Özlem Erdoğan; Talha Aksoy; Mehtap Özenen Kavlak; Cemre Korkmaz; Taki Can Metin; Halil Duymuş; Alper Çabuk; Emine Günok; Mustafa Cevdet Altunel; Basak Siklar

doi:10.30785/mbud.1676057

EN TR

Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism

Abstract

This study uses Geographic Information Systems (GIS) to analyze tourism mobility in 11 provinces of southeastern Türkiye between 2017 and 2023. It examines the spatial-temporal impacts of the February 6, 2023 earthquakes and the COVID-19 pandemic. While the pandemic abruptly halted tourism globally, the earthquakes caused severe regional losses, with varied recovery patterns. Through the lens of Chaos Theory’s “butterfly effect,” the study assesses fluctuations in tourism. During the pandemic, tourism declined by 40–50%, with signs of recovery in 2021–2022. The 2023 earthquakes led to significant drops in Hatay, Malatya, and Kahramanmaraş, whereas Adana and Gaziantep recovered faster. Findings highlight the non-linear, spatially diverse nature of tourism’s response to crises and emphasize the need for sustainable, proactive resilience strategies.

Keywords

Tourism, crisis management, chaos theory, covid-19, earthquake

Ethical Statement

The article complies with national and international research and publication ethics. Ethics committee approval was not required for the study.

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Details

Primary Language

English

Subjects

City in Human Geography, City and Regional Planning, Regional Analysis and Planning in Turkiye, Computer Technology in Landscape Architecture

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Özlem Erdoğan
0000-0003-3474-6954
Türkiye

Talha Aksoy ^*
0000-0001-8577-3990
Türkiye

Mehtap Özenen Kavlak
0000-0002-5369-4494
Türkiye

Cemre Korkmaz
0009-0003-4646-6818
Türkiye

Taki Can Metin
0000-0003-1995-5125
Türkiye

Halil Duymuş
0000-0002-8113-9674
Türkiye

Alper Çabuk
0000-0002-0684-2247
Türkiye

Emine Günok
0000-0002-8079-3455
Türkiye

Mustafa Cevdet Altunel
0000-0001-6382-5526
Türkiye

Basak Siklar
0009-0001-4412-8810
Türkiye

Publication Date

December 27, 2025

Submission Date

April 14, 2025

Acceptance Date

September 6, 2025

Published in Issue

Year 2025 Volume: 10 Number: 2

DOI

https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1676057

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA43LG47EK

APA

Erdoğan, Ö., Aksoy, T., Özenen Kavlak, M., Korkmaz, C., Metin, T. C., Duymuş, H., Çabuk, A., Günok, E., Altunel, M. C., & Siklar, B. (2025). Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications, 10(2), 1025-1048. https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1676057

AMA

1.Erdoğan Ö, Aksoy T, Özenen Kavlak M, et al. Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism. JASA. 2025;10(2):1025-1048. doi:10.30785/mbud.1676057

Chicago

Erdoğan, Özlem, Talha Aksoy, Mehtap Özenen Kavlak, et al. 2025. “Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism”. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications 10 (2): 1025-48. https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1676057.

EndNote

Erdoğan Ö, Aksoy T, Özenen Kavlak M, Korkmaz C, Metin TC, Duymuş H, Çabuk A, Günok E, Altunel MC, Siklar B (December 1, 2025) Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications 10 2 1025–1048.

IEEE

[1]Ö. Erdoğan et al., “Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism”, JASA, vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 1025–1048, Dec. 2025, doi: 10.30785/mbud.1676057.

ISNAD

Erdoğan, Özlem - Aksoy, Talha - Özenen Kavlak, Mehtap - Korkmaz, Cemre - Metin, Taki Can - Duymuş, Halil - Çabuk, Alper - Günok, Emine - Altunel, Mustafa Cevdet - Siklar, Basak. “Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism”. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications 10/2 (December 1, 2025): 1025-1048. https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1676057.

JAMA

1.Erdoğan Ö, Aksoy T, Özenen Kavlak M, Korkmaz C, Metin TC, Duymuş H, Çabuk A, Günok E, Altunel MC, Siklar B. Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism. JASA. 2025;10:1025–1048.

MLA

Erdoğan, Özlem, et al. “Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism”. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications, vol. 10, no. 2, Dec. 2025, pp. 1025-48, doi:10.30785/mbud.1676057.

Vancouver

1.Özlem Erdoğan, Talha Aksoy, Mehtap Özenen Kavlak, Cemre Korkmaz, Taki Can Metin, Halil Duymuş, Alper Çabuk, Emine Günok, Mustafa Cevdet Altunel, Basak Siklar. Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism. JASA. 2025 Dec. 1;10(2):1025-48. doi:10.30785/mbud.1676057

Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism

Crises, Tourism and Chaos Theory: Resilience Strategies in Tourism

Abstract

Keywords

Krizler, Turizm ve Kaos Teorisi: Turizmde Dayanıklılık Stratejileri

Abstract

Keywords

Ethical Statement

References

Details

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JASA JOURNAL TAG / MBUD DERGİ KÜNYESİ