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Paranın Miktar Teorisi ve Türkiye'de Geçerliliği

Year 2011, Volume: 16 Issue: 3, 87 - 115, 01.09.2011

Abstract

References

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  • 21. HILLINGER, Claude ve Bernd Süssmuth (2010), “The Quantity Theory of Money:An Inquiry Regarding Meaning and Method”, January, Cilt
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  • 22. HUME, David (1752), “Of Money”, Edt.:Eugene Rotwein,ĊŁŜœŞœŘőŝĊřŘĊ įōřŘřŗœōŝĖ, University of Wisconsin Press.
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PARANIN MİKTAR TEORİSİ VE TÜRKİYE’DE GEÇERLİLİĞİ

Year 2011, Volume: 16 Issue: 3, 87 - 115, 01.09.2011

Abstract

Bu çalışmada Miktar Teorisi önce tarihsel açıdan ele alınmış, daha sonra Türkiye’de geçerliliği 1987Q1-2007Q3 dönemine ait M2 para arzı, nominal faiz oranı, GSYİH deflatörü ve reel GSYİH serileri üzerine yapılan birim kök, Johansen eşbütünleşme ve Granger nedensellik testleri aracılığıyla test edilmiştir. Test sonuçları Miktar Teorisinin ima ettiği para arzının dışsallığı ve paranın yansızlığı hipotezlerini reddetmiş, para arzı ve enflasyon arasında çift yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi bulunduğunu göstermiştir. Enflasyonun para arzı üzerindeki etkisi, para arzının fiyatların uzun dönem gelişimi açısından içsel olduğu anlamına gelmektedir. Öte yandan, paranın yansızlığı hipotezine zıt olarak, para arzı reel GSYİH üzerinde bir etkiye sahip görünmektedir. Reel GSYİH, ayrıca faiz oranı ve enflasyondan da etkilenmektedir. Fakat o, değişkenler arasında yalnızca faiz oranını belirlemektedir. Faiz oranı ise para arzını, para arzı da reel geliri etkilemektedir. Bu bulgular para ve reel gelirin faiz oranı aracılığıyla birlikte hareket ettiğine işaret etmektedir

References

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Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

  Doç.dr.macide Çiçek This is me

Publication Date September 1, 2011
Published in Issue Year 2011 Volume: 16 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Çiçek, .D. (2011). PARANIN MİKTAR TEORİSİ VE TÜRKİYE’DE GEÇERLİLİĞİ. Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 16(3), 87-115.