EVALUATION OF FISCAL POLICY PRACTICES IN TURKEY FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF FISCAL IMPULSE ANALYSIS

Öz

Fiscal policy, which has attracted attention with the Keynesian doctrine and is frequently applied by governments, affects the components of aggregate demand through instruments such as taxes, public expenditures and borrowing and it affects economy in macro terms. The mentioned effect mechanism is realized through the budget balance. Policy makers try to eliminate the ongoing economic instability by applying expansionary or contractionary fiscal policy applications according to the conjuncture of the country's economy. Which fiscal policy application will be applied in an economy depends on the size and direction of the impact of the policy instruments on the economy. Here financial impact is a convenient analysis tool that provides an integrated representation of the impact level. In this study, the change in the total demand created by the fiscal policy practices applied in our country in the 1982-2019 period is tried to be revealed with the fiscal impact analysis.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Fiscal Impulse Analysis
• Automatic Stabilizator
• Voluntary Fiscal Policy

TÜRKİYE’DEKİ MALİYE POLİTİKASI UYGULAMALARININ MALİ ETKİ ANALİZİ PERSPEKTİFİNDEN DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ

Öz

Keynesyen doktrin ile dikkatleri üzerine toplayan ve hükümetler tarafından sıklıkla başvurulan maliye politikası; vergiler, kamu harcamaları, borçlanma vb. gibi araçlarla toplam talep bileşenlerini makro açıdan ise ekonomiyi etkilemektedir. Bahsedilen etki mekanizması ise bütçe dengesi üzerinden gerçekleşmektedir. Politika yapıcılar ülke ekonomisinin içinde bulunduğu konjonktüre göre genişletici veya daraltıcı maliye politikası uygulamalarına başvurarak yaşanmakta olan ekonomik istikrarsızlığı bertaraf etmeye çalışmaktadırlar. Bir ekonomide hangi maliye politika uygulamasına başvurulacağı ise politika araçlarının ekonomide meydana getireceği etkinin büyüklüğüne ve yönüne bağlıdır. İşte mali etki söz konusu etki düzeyinin bütünleşik gösterimini sağlayan elverişli bir analiz aracıdır. Bu çalışmada 1982-2019 döneminde ülkemizde başvurulan maliye politikası uygulamalarının toplam talep üzerinde yarattığı değişim mali etki analizi ile ortaya konmaya çalışılmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Mali Etki Analizi
• Otomatik İstikrarlandırıcılar
• İradi Maliye Politikaları

Kaynakça

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