Ekonomik ve Sosyal Altyapı Yatırımları ile Bölgesel Gelir İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 21 Sayı: 3, 737 - 756, 16.12.2019

Mustafa Kızıltan , Anna Golovko Kızıltan Ahmet Burçin Yereli

Öz

Kamu
harcamaları ekonomik büyümeyi arttırıcı etkisi ile sıklıkla bir maliye
politikası aracı olarak kullanılmaktadır. Yapılacak kamu harcamalarının
niteliğine bağlı olarak ise ekonomi üzerinde farklı etkiler ortaya çıkmaktadır.
Bu çalışmanın amacı Hansen (1965a, 1965b) tarafından tanımlanmış kamu
harcamaları sınıflandırmasını kullanarak Türkiye’de coğrafi bölgelere göre kamu
altyapı yatırımları ile bölgesel gelir arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya koymaktır. Bu
amaçla T.C. Cumhurbaşkanlığı Strateji ve Bütçe Başkanlığı’nın Kamu
Yatırımlarının İllere Göre Sektörel Dağılımı veri tabanı ve Türkiye İstatistik
Kurumu’nun Bölgesel Gayri Safi Yurtiçi Hasıla (GSYH) İstatistikleri
kullanılarak 2004-2017 yılları için söz konusu ilişki tahmin edilmiştir.
Çalışmada belirtilen ilişkilerin test edilmesi için literatürde yaygın olarak
kullanılan bir yöntem olan panel nedensellik analizi benimsenmiştir. Elde
edilen analiz sonuçları sosyal ve ekonomik kamu altyapı yatırım harcamalarının
bölgelere göre farklı etkileri olduğunu göstermektedir. Bu sonuç
varsayımlarımız ile de tutarlıdır. Bulgular tüm bölgelerde GSYH’deki artışın
yine bölgesel düzeyde kamu tarafından yapılan ekonomik ve sosyal alt yapı
harcamalarında anlamlı bir artışa neden olduğuna işaret etmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Bölgesel Gelir, Ekonomik ve Sosyal Altyapı Yatırımları, Panel Veri Analiz

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