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A Comparative Analysis of the Rose Revolution in Georgia and the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 255 - 271, 30.12.2025

Öz

Color revolutions are popular reactions to governmental legitimacy crises such corruption, electoral fraud, rule of law violations, and a lack of transparency. The fundamental characteristic that distinguishes color revolutions from other revolutions is that they are social movements organized around a common symbol and aim to gain public support through non-violent means and a discourse of peaceful resistance. This study analyzes the Rose Revolution in Georgia and the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan, which emerged against authoritarian regimes following the collapse of the Soviet Union. The Rose Revolution in Georgia in 2003 marked a significant turning point in the democratization process due to broad public participation, strong opposition, and intense international support. In contrast, the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan in 2005, despite emerging for similar reasons, eventually devolved into social violence and failed to initiate a sustained democratization process, continuing its authoritarian tendencies. The article evaluates the reasons for this difference based on three key variables: the impact of leadership capacity and structure of the opposition, the impact of geopolitical location on international support and reform processes, and the impact of social structure on post-Revolutionary stability. In this context, the study analyzes two color revolutions, which emerged from similar motivations but produced different outcomes, using the most similar system design method, a comparative research method.

Kaynakça

  • Al Jazeera. (2024, July 18). In Kyrgyzstan, an 'unprecedented crackdown' on free press raises alarm.https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2024/7/18/in-kyrgyzstan-an-unprecedented-crackdown-on-free-press-raises-alarm
  • Aydın, G. (2010). Color revolutions in the post-Soviet space: The case of Georgia. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis. Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Beacháin, D. Ó. (2009). Roses and tulips: Dynamics of regime change in Georgia and Kyrgyzstan. Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics, 25(2), 1-38.
  • Bozkurt, S. (2014). Bağımsız Devletler Topluluğu’nda renkli devrimler - Kırgızistan örneği. Akademik İncelemeler Dergisi, 1(1), 118-138.
  • Bunce, V., & Wolchik, S. L. (2011). Defeating Authoritarian Leaders in Postcommunist Countries. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe. (2004). Georgia's "Rose Revolution." Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office. Retrieved from http://www.csce.gov
  • Cornell, S., Swanström, N., Tabyshalieva, A., & Tcheishvili, G. (2005). A strategic conflict analysis of the South Caucasus: With a focus on Georgia. Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, Silk Road Studies Program.
  • Devlin, M. (2009). Seizing the reform moment: Rebuilding Georgia’s police, 2004-2006 (Policy Note). Innovations for Successful Societies, Princeton University. https://successfulsocieties.princeton.edu/sites/g/files/toruqf5601/files/Georgia%20Police%20ToU_1.pdf
  • Hale, H.E. (2006). Democracy or autocracy on the march? The colored revolutions as normal dynamics of patronal presidentialism. Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 39(3), 305–329.
  • Juraev, S. (2008). Kyrgyz democracy? The tulip revolution and beyond. Central Asian Survey, 27(3–4), 253–264. doi:10.1080/02634930802536464
  • Levitsky, S., & Way, L. A. (2010). Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Lewis, D. (2008). The dynamics of regime change: Domestic and international factors in the Tulip Revolution. Central Asian Survey, 27(3), 267-268.
  • McFaul, M. (2005a). The second wave of democratic breakthroughs in the post-communist world: Comparing Serbia 2000, Georgia 2003, Ukraine 2004, and Kyrgyzstan 2005. Danyliw/Jacyk
  • Working Papers No. 4. Centre for Russian and East European Studies, University of Toronto.
  • McFaul, M. (2005b). Transitions from postcommunism. Journal of Democracy, 16(3), 5-19.
  • Migdal, J. (1988). Strong societies and weak states: State-society relations and state capabilities in the Third World. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
  • Mitchell, L. (2012). Georgia: The Issue Is Not Democracy. Survival 54(2), 97–112. doi:10.1080/00396338.2012.672753
  • Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). (2005, July 7). Central Asia Report: July 7, 2005. RFE/RL. https://www.rferl.org/a/1342121.html
  • Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). (2024, April 30). Riot Police Attempt to Break Up Large Protest Against 'Foreign Agents' Bill in Tbilisi. https://www.rferl.org/a/georgia-parliament-foreign-agents-bill-protests/32927371.html
  • Pala, B. (2025). Kırgızistan’da demokrasi neden kökleşemiyor? Ukrayna ve Gürcistan ile karşılaştırmalı bir analiz. Adıyaman Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 18(50), 413-447. doi:10.14520/adyusbd.1688957
  • Schmitz, A. (2021). Revolution Again in Kyrgyzstan: Forward to the Past? (SWP Comment 8). Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP).
  • Yandaş, O. G. (2011). The ‘Tulip Revolution’ and the role of informal dynamics in Kyrgyz politics. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis. Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Zeller, M. C. (2013). Assessing the role of transnational networks of support in color revolutions: Successes and failures in Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia. Unpublished Undergraduate Senior Thesis. University of Louisville, Louisville.
  • Zherebkin, M. (2009). In search of a theoretical approach to the analysis of the color revolutions: Transition studies and discourse theory. Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 42(2), 199–216. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/48609703

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 255 - 271, 30.12.2025

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Al Jazeera. (2024, July 18). In Kyrgyzstan, an 'unprecedented crackdown' on free press raises alarm.https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2024/7/18/in-kyrgyzstan-an-unprecedented-crackdown-on-free-press-raises-alarm
  • Aydın, G. (2010). Color revolutions in the post-Soviet space: The case of Georgia. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis. Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Beacháin, D. Ó. (2009). Roses and tulips: Dynamics of regime change in Georgia and Kyrgyzstan. Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics, 25(2), 1-38.
  • Bozkurt, S. (2014). Bağımsız Devletler Topluluğu’nda renkli devrimler - Kırgızistan örneği. Akademik İncelemeler Dergisi, 1(1), 118-138.
  • Bunce, V., & Wolchik, S. L. (2011). Defeating Authoritarian Leaders in Postcommunist Countries. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe. (2004). Georgia's "Rose Revolution." Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office. Retrieved from http://www.csce.gov
  • Cornell, S., Swanström, N., Tabyshalieva, A., & Tcheishvili, G. (2005). A strategic conflict analysis of the South Caucasus: With a focus on Georgia. Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, Silk Road Studies Program.
  • Devlin, M. (2009). Seizing the reform moment: Rebuilding Georgia’s police, 2004-2006 (Policy Note). Innovations for Successful Societies, Princeton University. https://successfulsocieties.princeton.edu/sites/g/files/toruqf5601/files/Georgia%20Police%20ToU_1.pdf
  • Hale, H.E. (2006). Democracy or autocracy on the march? The colored revolutions as normal dynamics of patronal presidentialism. Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 39(3), 305–329.
  • Juraev, S. (2008). Kyrgyz democracy? The tulip revolution and beyond. Central Asian Survey, 27(3–4), 253–264. doi:10.1080/02634930802536464
  • Levitsky, S., & Way, L. A. (2010). Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Lewis, D. (2008). The dynamics of regime change: Domestic and international factors in the Tulip Revolution. Central Asian Survey, 27(3), 267-268.
  • McFaul, M. (2005a). The second wave of democratic breakthroughs in the post-communist world: Comparing Serbia 2000, Georgia 2003, Ukraine 2004, and Kyrgyzstan 2005. Danyliw/Jacyk
  • Working Papers No. 4. Centre for Russian and East European Studies, University of Toronto.
  • McFaul, M. (2005b). Transitions from postcommunism. Journal of Democracy, 16(3), 5-19.
  • Migdal, J. (1988). Strong societies and weak states: State-society relations and state capabilities in the Third World. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
  • Mitchell, L. (2012). Georgia: The Issue Is Not Democracy. Survival 54(2), 97–112. doi:10.1080/00396338.2012.672753
  • Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). (2005, July 7). Central Asia Report: July 7, 2005. RFE/RL. https://www.rferl.org/a/1342121.html
  • Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). (2024, April 30). Riot Police Attempt to Break Up Large Protest Against 'Foreign Agents' Bill in Tbilisi. https://www.rferl.org/a/georgia-parliament-foreign-agents-bill-protests/32927371.html
  • Pala, B. (2025). Kırgızistan’da demokrasi neden kökleşemiyor? Ukrayna ve Gürcistan ile karşılaştırmalı bir analiz. Adıyaman Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 18(50), 413-447. doi:10.14520/adyusbd.1688957
  • Schmitz, A. (2021). Revolution Again in Kyrgyzstan: Forward to the Past? (SWP Comment 8). Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP).
  • Yandaş, O. G. (2011). The ‘Tulip Revolution’ and the role of informal dynamics in Kyrgyz politics. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis. Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Zeller, M. C. (2013). Assessing the role of transnational networks of support in color revolutions: Successes and failures in Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia. Unpublished Undergraduate Senior Thesis. University of Louisville, Louisville.
  • Zherebkin, M. (2009). In search of a theoretical approach to the analysis of the color revolutions: Transition studies and discourse theory. Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 42(2), 199–216. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/48609703

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 255 - 271, 30.12.2025

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Al Jazeera. (2024, July 18). In Kyrgyzstan, an 'unprecedented crackdown' on free press raises alarm.https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2024/7/18/in-kyrgyzstan-an-unprecedented-crackdown-on-free-press-raises-alarm
  • Aydın, G. (2010). Color revolutions in the post-Soviet space: The case of Georgia. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis. Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Beacháin, D. Ó. (2009). Roses and tulips: Dynamics of regime change in Georgia and Kyrgyzstan. Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics, 25(2), 1-38.
  • Bozkurt, S. (2014). Bağımsız Devletler Topluluğu’nda renkli devrimler - Kırgızistan örneği. Akademik İncelemeler Dergisi, 1(1), 118-138.
  • Bunce, V., & Wolchik, S. L. (2011). Defeating Authoritarian Leaders in Postcommunist Countries. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe. (2004). Georgia's "Rose Revolution." Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office. Retrieved from http://www.csce.gov
  • Cornell, S., Swanström, N., Tabyshalieva, A., & Tcheishvili, G. (2005). A strategic conflict analysis of the South Caucasus: With a focus on Georgia. Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, Silk Road Studies Program.
  • Devlin, M. (2009). Seizing the reform moment: Rebuilding Georgia’s police, 2004-2006 (Policy Note). Innovations for Successful Societies, Princeton University. https://successfulsocieties.princeton.edu/sites/g/files/toruqf5601/files/Georgia%20Police%20ToU_1.pdf
  • Hale, H.E. (2006). Democracy or autocracy on the march? The colored revolutions as normal dynamics of patronal presidentialism. Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 39(3), 305–329.
  • Juraev, S. (2008). Kyrgyz democracy? The tulip revolution and beyond. Central Asian Survey, 27(3–4), 253–264. doi:10.1080/02634930802536464
  • Levitsky, S., & Way, L. A. (2010). Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Lewis, D. (2008). The dynamics of regime change: Domestic and international factors in the Tulip Revolution. Central Asian Survey, 27(3), 267-268.
  • McFaul, M. (2005a). The second wave of democratic breakthroughs in the post-communist world: Comparing Serbia 2000, Georgia 2003, Ukraine 2004, and Kyrgyzstan 2005. Danyliw/Jacyk
  • Working Papers No. 4. Centre for Russian and East European Studies, University of Toronto.
  • McFaul, M. (2005b). Transitions from postcommunism. Journal of Democracy, 16(3), 5-19.
  • Migdal, J. (1988). Strong societies and weak states: State-society relations and state capabilities in the Third World. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
  • Mitchell, L. (2012). Georgia: The Issue Is Not Democracy. Survival 54(2), 97–112. doi:10.1080/00396338.2012.672753
  • Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). (2005, July 7). Central Asia Report: July 7, 2005. RFE/RL. https://www.rferl.org/a/1342121.html
  • Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty (RFE/RL). (2024, April 30). Riot Police Attempt to Break Up Large Protest Against 'Foreign Agents' Bill in Tbilisi. https://www.rferl.org/a/georgia-parliament-foreign-agents-bill-protests/32927371.html
  • Pala, B. (2025). Kırgızistan’da demokrasi neden kökleşemiyor? Ukrayna ve Gürcistan ile karşılaştırmalı bir analiz. Adıyaman Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 18(50), 413-447. doi:10.14520/adyusbd.1688957
  • Schmitz, A. (2021). Revolution Again in Kyrgyzstan: Forward to the Past? (SWP Comment 8). Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP).
  • Yandaş, O. G. (2011). The ‘Tulip Revolution’ and the role of informal dynamics in Kyrgyz politics. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis. Middle East Technical University, Ankara.
  • Zeller, M. C. (2013). Assessing the role of transnational networks of support in color revolutions: Successes and failures in Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, and Russia. Unpublished Undergraduate Senior Thesis. University of Louisville, Louisville.
  • Zherebkin, M. (2009). In search of a theoretical approach to the analysis of the color revolutions: Transition studies and discourse theory. Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 42(2), 199–216. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/48609703
Toplam 24 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Uluslararası İlişkiler (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Gizem Akbaş 0009-0006-0685-5175

Gönderilme Tarihi 5 Eylül 2025
Kabul Tarihi 17 Kasım 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Aralık 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Akbaş, G. (2025). A Comparative Analysis of the Rose Revolution in Georgia and the Tulip Revolution in Kyrgyzstan. Bölge Çalışmaları Dergisi, 4(2), 255-271.