Araştırma Makalesi
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PANDORA’NIN KUTUSU: LİBYA ÇATIŞMA HARİTASININ GÜNCELLENMESİ

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 16, 225 - 243, 30.08.2021

Öz

Bu çalışma, Paul Wehr tarafından ileri sürülen çatışma haritalama tekniğini kullanarak ikinci Libya çatışmasını incelemektedir. Bu noktada çalışma, Libya çatışmasını, bağlamı, konusu, aktörü ve dinamiği çerçevesinde ele almaktadır. Çalışmada, Libya sahasının analiz edilmesinin nedeni, Libya'nın son dönemin en karmaşık çatışmalarından biri olması ve dolayısıyla bölgesel dinamiklerini derinden etkilemesinden ileri gelmektedir. Çalışmanın önemi, Libya'daki çatışma sahasına alternatif bir analiz haritası sunarak literatüre katkı sunmasından ileri gelmektedir. İkincil veri kaynakları üzerinde yapılan çalışma, nitel araştırma tasarımına dayanmaktadır. Çalışmanın sonuçlarına göre, çatışmayı sona erdirmenin yolu, çatışmanın temel nedenlerine ve her iki tarafın da kabul edebileceği siyasi bir çözüme ulaşmaktan geçmektedir. Ayrıca Libya'daki çatışmaya barışçıl, adil ve kalıcı bir çözüm için gerekli ön koşul, demokratik bir sürecin desteklenmesidir. Buna göre, Birleşmiş Milletler (BM) öncülüğündeki uzlaşmanın başarısı, Libya'daki istikrar için oldukça önemlidir.

Kaynakça

  • Abderrahmane, A. (2018, 11 21). Eurafrique: new paradigms, but old ideas, for France in the Sahel, Retrieved 05 16, 2021, from The Broker: https://www.thebrokeronline.eu/eurafrique-new-paradigms-but-old-ideas-for-france-in-the-sahel/.
  • Aliboni, R., Ben Salem, H., El Sagezli, M., Dias, A. M., Nabli, B. (2017). Conflict in Libya: a multidimensional crisis State of Play and Paths towards a Sustainable Peace, Barcelona: Publisher IEMed.
  • al-Shadeedi, H., Veen, E. v., Harchaoui, J. (2020). One thousand and one failings Security sector stabilisation and development in Libya, Netherlands: CRU Report.
  • al-Warfali, A. (2021, March 10). Libyan parliament backs unity government, advancing peace plan, Retrieved 05 11, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-idUSKBN2B21BF.
  • BBC News. (2021, 03 15). Libya profile - Timeline. Retrieved 05 13, 2021, from BBC: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-13755445.
  • Blanchard, C. M. (2020). Libya: Conflict, Transition, and U.S. Policy, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.
  • Colombo, M., Varvelli, A. (2020). Libya: A Failed State in the Middle of the Mediterranean, IEMED.
  • Combaz, E. (2014). Key actors, dynamics and issues of Libyan political economy, GSDRC.
  • Droz-Vincen, P. (2018). Competitive Statehood in Libya: Governing Differently a Specific Setting or Deconstructing its Weak Sovereign State with a Fateful Drift Toward Chaos?, Small Wars & Insurgencies, 29(3), pp.434-455.
  • Elumami, A., Laessing, U. (2014, 05 18). Gunmen loyal to ex-general storm Libyan parliament, demand suspension, Retrieved 05 09, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-violence-idUSBREA4G04A20140518 Eriksson, M. (2016). A Fratricidal Libya: Making Sense of a Conflict, Small Wars & Insurgencies, 27(5), pp.817-836.
  • Falk, R. A. (2015). Chaos and counterrevolution: after the Arab Spring, Just World Books.
  • “Fayez al-Sarraj meets Khalifa Haftar in UAE for talks”. (2017, 05 02). Retrieved 05 13, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/5/2/fayez-al-sarraj-meets-khalifa-haftar-in-uae-for-talks
  • Fener, S. (2021). A Unified Government in Libya: Potential Regional Implications, INSS Insight.
  • Fraihat, İ. (2016). Unfinished revolutions: Yemen, Libya, and Tunisia after the Arab Spring, London: Yale University Press.
  • Güneş, B. (2018). Libya İç Savaşı ve Kriz Yönetimi, Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, pp.263-291.
  • Gartenstein-Ross, D., & Barr, N. (2015). Dignity and Dawn: Libya’s Escalating Civil War, The Hague: ICCT.
  • Ghilès, F. (2020). Some International Players Have a Strategy in Libya, Others Not, CIDOB Notes.
  • GNA. (2013, 05 08). Legislation No.13, Retrieved 04 21, 2021, from Libyan Security Sector Legislation: https://security-legislation.ly/sites/default/files/lois/315-Law%20No.%20%2813%29%20of%202013_EN.pdf
  • Greco, S. (2008). The Ontology of Conflict, Pragmatics&Cognition, 16(3), pp.540-557.
  • Hamada, A., Sökmen, M., Zaki, C. (2020). The Libyan Conflict and Peace-Building Process: Past Causes and Future Prospects, ERF Working Paper Series.
  • Harchaoui, J., Lazib, M.-E. (2019). Proxy War Dynamics in Libya, PWP Confict Studies.
  • Iftikhar, M. H. (2012). Post-Qaddafi Libya: What Went Wrong? Muslum Perspectives, 2(2), 42-73.
  • International Crisis Group. (2020). Turkey Wades into Libya’s Troubled Waters, Brussels: Crisis Group.
  • Irish, J., & Pennetier, M. (2020, 06 22). France 'will not tolerate' Turkey's role in Libya, Macron says, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-france-turkey-idUSKBN23T2US
  • Joffé, G. (2020). Where does Libya go now?, The Journal of North African Studies, 25(1), pp.1-7.
  • Kharief, A. (2020, 09). Libya’s proxy war, Retrieved 05 11, 2021, from Le Monde diplomatique: https://mondediplo.com/2020/09/04libya
  • Kirkpatrick, D. D., Schmitt, E. (2014, 08 25). Arab Nations Strike in Libya, Surprising U.S, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/26/world/africa/egypt-and-united-arab-emirates-said-to-have-secretly-carried-out-libya-airstrikes.html
  • Libyan Political Agreement. (2015, 12 17). Skhirat, Retrieved from Libyan Political Agreement, 17.12.2015, https://menarights.org/sites/default/files/2016-12/LBY_Political%20Agreement_ENG_0.pdf (accessed: 05.05.2021)
  • Mason, S., Rychard, S. (2005). Conflict Analysis Tools, Bern: SDC, COPRET.
  • Megerisi, T. (2020). Geostrategic Dimensions of Libya’s Civil War, Washington, DC: Africa Security Brief.
  • Mezran, K. (22, 04 2014). The Political Process in Libya, Middle East Institute, Retrieved 05 2021, from https://www.mei.edu/publications/political-process-libya
  • Mezran, K., & Varvelli, A. (2017). Foreign Actors in Libya's Crisis, Milano: Ledizioni LediPublishing.
  • Molesworth, T., & Newton, D. (2015, March-September). Instability and Insecurity in Libya Analysis, UNDP
  • Morana, W. (2019). The OSCE and the Libyan Crisis, Security and Human Rights, pp.23-38.
  • Pickard, D. (2012, 09 15). Libya’s constitution controversy. Retrieved May 2021, from Foreign Policy: https://foreignpolicy.com/2012/09/05/libyas-constitution-controversy/
  • Pusztai, W. (2019). Libya's Conflict, A very short introduction, Paris: EUISS.
  • Quamar, M. (2020). Turkey and the Regional Flashpoint in Libya. Strategic Analysis, pp.1-6.
  • Representatives, H. O. (2016). About HCS, Retrieved from https://hcs.gov.ly/en/about/
  • Rowan, M. (2019, 07 01). Libya Timeline: Since Qaddafi's Ouster, Retrieved 05 18, 2021, from United States Institute of Peace: https://www.usip.org/libya-timeline-qaddafis-ouster
  • Shennib, G. (2014, 02 14). Libyan Government should be suspended, says military commander, Retrieved 03 04, 2021, from The Indepented: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/libyan-government-should-be-suspended-says-military-commander-9127861.html
  • Tekir, G. (2020). Russian-Turkish Involvement in the Civil War in Libya. Türkiye Rusya Araştırmaları Dergisi, 3, pp.190-215.
  • The National Interest Foundation. (2020, 06 24). A Case Study on Libya: How External Actors Play a Major Role in Domestic Instability, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from The National Interest Foundation: https://www.nifusa.org/a-case-study-on-libya-how-external-actors-play-a-major-role-in-domestic-instability/
  • United Nations Security Council. (2021). Resolution 2570, UN.
  • Votradovcová, H. (2017). Beyond the Revolution External Actors in Pre- & Post-Revolutionary Libya. Obrana a strategie (Defence & Strategy), 17(2), pp.101-116.
  • Watanabe, L. (2019). UN Mediation in Libya: Peace Still a Distant Prospec, Zurich: CCS.
  • Wehr, P., and Bartos, O. J. (2002). Using Conflict Theory, Cambridge: Cambridge Univesity Press.
  • Willcoxon, G. F. (2017). Contention, Violence and Stalemate in Post-War Liby,. Mediterranean Politics, 22(1), pp.91-114.
  • Wood, D. (2019). Peace and Conflict Assessment of Libya, Seton Hall University/German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development.

PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 16, 225 - 243, 30.08.2021

Öz

This study examines the second Libyan conflict by using the conflict mapping technique that was introduced by Paul Wehr. At this point, the study analyses the Libyan conflict within the framework of context, issue, actor, and dynamic of the conflict. The reason for analyzing Libya in the research is that it is one of the complex conflicts of the last period, and thus deeply affects the regional dynamics. The significance of the research arises from its contribution to the literature by presenting an alternative road map of the conflict in Libya. The study conducted using secondary data sources is based on the qualitative research design. The results of the study reveals that the way to end the conflict is through reaching the root causes of the conflict and a solution acceptable to both sides. Besides, the necessary pre-condition for a peaceful, fair, and lasting solution to the conflict in Libya supports a democratic process. Accordingly, the success of United Nations (U.N)-led reconciliation is quite significant to stability in Libya.

Kaynakça

  • Abderrahmane, A. (2018, 11 21). Eurafrique: new paradigms, but old ideas, for France in the Sahel, Retrieved 05 16, 2021, from The Broker: https://www.thebrokeronline.eu/eurafrique-new-paradigms-but-old-ideas-for-france-in-the-sahel/.
  • Aliboni, R., Ben Salem, H., El Sagezli, M., Dias, A. M., Nabli, B. (2017). Conflict in Libya: a multidimensional crisis State of Play and Paths towards a Sustainable Peace, Barcelona: Publisher IEMed.
  • al-Shadeedi, H., Veen, E. v., Harchaoui, J. (2020). One thousand and one failings Security sector stabilisation and development in Libya, Netherlands: CRU Report.
  • al-Warfali, A. (2021, March 10). Libyan parliament backs unity government, advancing peace plan, Retrieved 05 11, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-idUSKBN2B21BF.
  • BBC News. (2021, 03 15). Libya profile - Timeline. Retrieved 05 13, 2021, from BBC: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-13755445.
  • Blanchard, C. M. (2020). Libya: Conflict, Transition, and U.S. Policy, Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service.
  • Colombo, M., Varvelli, A. (2020). Libya: A Failed State in the Middle of the Mediterranean, IEMED.
  • Combaz, E. (2014). Key actors, dynamics and issues of Libyan political economy, GSDRC.
  • Droz-Vincen, P. (2018). Competitive Statehood in Libya: Governing Differently a Specific Setting or Deconstructing its Weak Sovereign State with a Fateful Drift Toward Chaos?, Small Wars & Insurgencies, 29(3), pp.434-455.
  • Elumami, A., Laessing, U. (2014, 05 18). Gunmen loyal to ex-general storm Libyan parliament, demand suspension, Retrieved 05 09, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-violence-idUSBREA4G04A20140518 Eriksson, M. (2016). A Fratricidal Libya: Making Sense of a Conflict, Small Wars & Insurgencies, 27(5), pp.817-836.
  • Falk, R. A. (2015). Chaos and counterrevolution: after the Arab Spring, Just World Books.
  • “Fayez al-Sarraj meets Khalifa Haftar in UAE for talks”. (2017, 05 02). Retrieved 05 13, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/5/2/fayez-al-sarraj-meets-khalifa-haftar-in-uae-for-talks
  • Fener, S. (2021). A Unified Government in Libya: Potential Regional Implications, INSS Insight.
  • Fraihat, İ. (2016). Unfinished revolutions: Yemen, Libya, and Tunisia after the Arab Spring, London: Yale University Press.
  • Güneş, B. (2018). Libya İç Savaşı ve Kriz Yönetimi, Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, pp.263-291.
  • Gartenstein-Ross, D., & Barr, N. (2015). Dignity and Dawn: Libya’s Escalating Civil War, The Hague: ICCT.
  • Ghilès, F. (2020). Some International Players Have a Strategy in Libya, Others Not, CIDOB Notes.
  • GNA. (2013, 05 08). Legislation No.13, Retrieved 04 21, 2021, from Libyan Security Sector Legislation: https://security-legislation.ly/sites/default/files/lois/315-Law%20No.%20%2813%29%20of%202013_EN.pdf
  • Greco, S. (2008). The Ontology of Conflict, Pragmatics&Cognition, 16(3), pp.540-557.
  • Hamada, A., Sökmen, M., Zaki, C. (2020). The Libyan Conflict and Peace-Building Process: Past Causes and Future Prospects, ERF Working Paper Series.
  • Harchaoui, J., Lazib, M.-E. (2019). Proxy War Dynamics in Libya, PWP Confict Studies.
  • Iftikhar, M. H. (2012). Post-Qaddafi Libya: What Went Wrong? Muslum Perspectives, 2(2), 42-73.
  • International Crisis Group. (2020). Turkey Wades into Libya’s Troubled Waters, Brussels: Crisis Group.
  • Irish, J., & Pennetier, M. (2020, 06 22). France 'will not tolerate' Turkey's role in Libya, Macron says, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya-security-france-turkey-idUSKBN23T2US
  • Joffé, G. (2020). Where does Libya go now?, The Journal of North African Studies, 25(1), pp.1-7.
  • Kharief, A. (2020, 09). Libya’s proxy war, Retrieved 05 11, 2021, from Le Monde diplomatique: https://mondediplo.com/2020/09/04libya
  • Kirkpatrick, D. D., Schmitt, E. (2014, 08 25). Arab Nations Strike in Libya, Surprising U.S, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from The New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/26/world/africa/egypt-and-united-arab-emirates-said-to-have-secretly-carried-out-libya-airstrikes.html
  • Libyan Political Agreement. (2015, 12 17). Skhirat, Retrieved from Libyan Political Agreement, 17.12.2015, https://menarights.org/sites/default/files/2016-12/LBY_Political%20Agreement_ENG_0.pdf (accessed: 05.05.2021)
  • Mason, S., Rychard, S. (2005). Conflict Analysis Tools, Bern: SDC, COPRET.
  • Megerisi, T. (2020). Geostrategic Dimensions of Libya’s Civil War, Washington, DC: Africa Security Brief.
  • Mezran, K. (22, 04 2014). The Political Process in Libya, Middle East Institute, Retrieved 05 2021, from https://www.mei.edu/publications/political-process-libya
  • Mezran, K., & Varvelli, A. (2017). Foreign Actors in Libya's Crisis, Milano: Ledizioni LediPublishing.
  • Molesworth, T., & Newton, D. (2015, March-September). Instability and Insecurity in Libya Analysis, UNDP
  • Morana, W. (2019). The OSCE and the Libyan Crisis, Security and Human Rights, pp.23-38.
  • Pickard, D. (2012, 09 15). Libya’s constitution controversy. Retrieved May 2021, from Foreign Policy: https://foreignpolicy.com/2012/09/05/libyas-constitution-controversy/
  • Pusztai, W. (2019). Libya's Conflict, A very short introduction, Paris: EUISS.
  • Quamar, M. (2020). Turkey and the Regional Flashpoint in Libya. Strategic Analysis, pp.1-6.
  • Representatives, H. O. (2016). About HCS, Retrieved from https://hcs.gov.ly/en/about/
  • Rowan, M. (2019, 07 01). Libya Timeline: Since Qaddafi's Ouster, Retrieved 05 18, 2021, from United States Institute of Peace: https://www.usip.org/libya-timeline-qaddafis-ouster
  • Shennib, G. (2014, 02 14). Libyan Government should be suspended, says military commander, Retrieved 03 04, 2021, from The Indepented: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/libyan-government-should-be-suspended-says-military-commander-9127861.html
  • Tekir, G. (2020). Russian-Turkish Involvement in the Civil War in Libya. Türkiye Rusya Araştırmaları Dergisi, 3, pp.190-215.
  • The National Interest Foundation. (2020, 06 24). A Case Study on Libya: How External Actors Play a Major Role in Domestic Instability, Retrieved 05 12, 2021, from The National Interest Foundation: https://www.nifusa.org/a-case-study-on-libya-how-external-actors-play-a-major-role-in-domestic-instability/
  • United Nations Security Council. (2021). Resolution 2570, UN.
  • Votradovcová, H. (2017). Beyond the Revolution External Actors in Pre- & Post-Revolutionary Libya. Obrana a strategie (Defence & Strategy), 17(2), pp.101-116.
  • Watanabe, L. (2019). UN Mediation in Libya: Peace Still a Distant Prospec, Zurich: CCS.
  • Wehr, P., and Bartos, O. J. (2002). Using Conflict Theory, Cambridge: Cambridge Univesity Press.
  • Willcoxon, G. F. (2017). Contention, Violence and Stalemate in Post-War Liby,. Mediterranean Politics, 22(1), pp.91-114.
  • Wood, D. (2019). Peace and Conflict Assessment of Libya, Seton Hall University/German Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development.
Toplam 48 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Tüm Sayı
Yazarlar

Fatma Anıl Öztop 0000-0002-6755-2876

Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Ağustos 2021
Gönderilme Tarihi 24 Mayıs 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 16

Kaynak Göster

APA Öztop, F. A. (2021). PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP. Akademik Hassasiyetler, 8(16), 225-243.
AMA Öztop FA. PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP. Akademik Hassasiyetler. Ağustos 2021;8(16):225-243.
Chicago Öztop, Fatma Anıl. “PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP”. Akademik Hassasiyetler 8, sy. 16 (Ağustos 2021): 225-43.
EndNote Öztop FA (01 Ağustos 2021) PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP. Akademik Hassasiyetler 8 16 225–243.
IEEE F. A. Öztop, “PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP”, Akademik Hassasiyetler, c. 8, sy. 16, ss. 225–243, 2021.
ISNAD Öztop, Fatma Anıl. “PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP”. Akademik Hassasiyetler 8/16 (Ağustos 2021), 225-243.
JAMA Öztop FA. PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP. Akademik Hassasiyetler. 2021;8:225–243.
MLA Öztop, Fatma Anıl. “PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP”. Akademik Hassasiyetler, c. 8, sy. 16, 2021, ss. 225-43.
Vancouver Öztop FA. PANDORA’S BOX: UPDATING THE LIBYAN CONFLICT MAP. Akademik Hassasiyetler. 2021;8(16):225-43.

MAKALE DEĞERLENDİRME SÜRECİ

Yazar tarafından gönderilen bir makale, gönderim tarihinden itibaren 10 gün içinde dergi sekreteri tarafından makalenin, telif sözleşmesinin ve benzerlik raporunun (Turnitin programı) eksiksiz ve düzgün bir şekilde gönderilip gönderilmediği yönünden incelenir. İstenilen bu dosyalar eksiksiz ve düzgün bir şekilde gönderilmiş ise makale; ikinci aşamada derginin yayın çizgisine uygun olup olmadığı yönünden değerlendirilir. Bu süreçte makale yayın çizgisine uygun değilse yazara iade edilir. Makale yayın çizgisine uygun ise şablona uygun bir şekilde gönderilip gönderilmediği yönünden değerlendirilir. Şayet makale şablona uyarlanıp gönderilmemiş ise değerlendirme sürecine alınmaz. Bu süreçte yazarın derginin belirlediği şartlara uygun bir şekilde sisteme makale yüklemesi beklenir. Makale şablona uygun bir şekilde hazırlanıp gönderilmiş ise son aşamada makale derginin yayın ilkeleri, yazım kuralları, öz, abstract, extented abstract, kaynakça gösterimi vb. yönlerden incelenir. Bu ayrıntılarda makalede bir sorun varsa yazarın bu hususları tamamlaması istenir ve verilen süre içerisinde eksiksiz bir şekilde yeniden makaleyi göndermesi istenir.
Tüm bu aşamaları geçen makale, editör tarafından bilimsel yeterliliğinin denetlenmesi amacıyla ikinci 7 günlük süre içerisinde çalışmaya uygun iki hakeme değerlendirmeleri için gönderilir. Hakemlerin değerlendirme süreleri 15 gündür. Bu süre zarfında hakemlik görevini tamamlamayan bir hakem olursa ilgili hakeme değerlendirmeyi tamamlaması için 7 günlük ek süre verilebilir. Bu süre zarfında hakem görevini yerine getirmezse yerine yeni bir hakem ataması yapılır. En az iki hakemden gelen raporlar olumlu ise makale yayın aşamasına alınır. Hakem raporlarından birisi olumlu diğeri olumsuz ise makale üçüncü bir hakeme gönderilir. Üçüncü hakem raporu da olumsuz ise makale ret edilir. Üçüncü hakemin değerlendirmesi olumlu ise makaleyle ilgili hakem raporları dergi alan editörlerinden oluşan Editörler Kurulu tarafından incelenir. Makalenin yayınlanmasıyla ilgili nihai karar alan editörlerinden oluşan Editörler Kurulu tarafından verilir. Hakem raporlarının yetersiz ve tatmin etmekten uzak olması veya İngilizce editör tarafından abstract ve extented abstract’ın yetersiz görülmesi hallerinde de yine makaleyle ilgili son karar Editörler Kurulu tarafından verilir. Tüm bu aşamalardan geçen bir makale en yakın sayıya yayınlanmak üzere eklenir. İlgili sayıda yer kalmaması halinde makalenin yayımı bir sonraki sayıya kaydırılır. Bu durumda ve tüm değerlendirme sürecinde yazar isterse makalesini geri çekme hakkına sahiptir. Ancak bu durumu dergiye bildirmesi gerekir. Makale gönderim tarihinden makalenin yayına kabul tarihine kadar tüm bu işlemler için ortalama 3 aylık bir süre öngörülmektedir.