DO PARTICIPATION BANKING HAVE AN ALTERNATIVE ROLE IN THE MONETARY TRANSMISSION MECHANISM? A NONLINEAR APPROACH
Yıl 2022,
, 275 - 297, 20.12.2022
Soner Akın
,
Selim Duramaz
,
İbrahim Emre Karaa
Öz
The purpose of this study is to investigate the validity of bank lending channel of monetary transmission in Turkey with dual-banking system, which involves participation and conventional banks, and to reveal the role of participation banking in the so-called process during the period of 2006: 01-2022:03. Markov switching vector autoregression (MRS-VAR) model is used to consider potential nonlinearities in bank lending channel under different economic cycles. The findings show that the response of real production to bank lending is positive in economic contraction regime although the so-called response is negative in economic expansion regime. However, the impact of the shocks in participation banks’ credit volume on real production is relatively lower than conventional banks. This result indicates that participation banks have a complementary role in bank lending channel of monetary transmission.
Kaynakça
- Agung, J. (1998). Financial deregulation and the bank lending channel in developing countries: the case of Indonesia. Asian Economic Journal, 12(3),273-294.
- Ahtik, M. (2012). Bank lending channel in Slovenia: panel data analysis. Prague Economics Papers, 1, 50-68.
- Aklan N. A. ve Nargeleçekenler M.. (2008). “Para politikalarının banka kredi kanalı üzerine etkileri”. İstanbul Üniversitesi Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Dergisi, 39, 109-132.
- Amar, B. A. (2022). On the role of Islamic banks in the monetary policy transmission in Saudi Arabia. Eurasian Economic Review, 1-40.
- Aysan, A. F., Disli, M., & Ozturk, H. (2018). Bank lending channel in a dual banking system: why are Islamic banks so responsive?. The World Economy, 41(3), 674-698.
- Aysan, A. F., Disli, M., Duygun, M., and Ozturk, H. (2016a). Islamic Banks, Deposit Insurance Reform, and Market Discipline: Evidence from a Natural Framework. Journal of Financial Services Research, pages 1–26.
- Aysan, A. F., Disli, M., Duygun, M., and Ozturk, H. (2016a). Islamic Banks, Deposit Insurance Reform, and Market Discipline: Evidence from a Natural Framework. Journal of Financial Services Research, pages 1–26.
- Bernanke , B. S., Blinder, A. S.. (1992). “The federal funds rate and the channels of monetary transmission”. The American Economic Review, 82 (4), 901-921.
- Bernanke, Ben S. ve Gertler, Mark. (2000). “Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatilty”, NBER Working Paper Series, 7559, 43.
- Cengiz, V. ve Duman, M. (2008). Türkiye’de Banka Kredi Kanalının Önemi Üzerine Etki Tepki Fonksiyonlarına Dayalı Bir Değerlendirme (1990-2006). Hacettepe Üniversitesi İ.İ.B.F. Dergisi, 26(2), 81-104.
- Çavuşoğlu, A. T. (2002). “Credit Transmission Mechanism in Turkey: An Empirical Investigation”, ERC Working Paper, 02/03, 2-28.
- Çiçek, M. (2005). “Türkiye’de Parasal Aktarım Mekanizması: VAR (Vektör Otoregresyon) Yaklasımıyla Bir Analiz”, İktisat İşletme ve Finans Dergisi, 20 (233), 82-105
- De Bondt, G. (2004). “The Balance Sheet Channel of Monetary Policy: First Empirical Evidence for The Euro Area Corporate”, International Journal of Finance and Economics, 9(3), 219-228
- Doğanalp, N. (2022). Parasal Aktarım Mekanizması Kanallarından Faiz ve Kredi Kanalının VAR Yöntemiyle İncelenmesi: Türkiye Örneği. Avrupa Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi, (33), 138-144.
- Erdoğan, S. ve Beşballı, S. G. (2009). “Türkiye’de banka kredileri kanalının işleyişi üzerine ampirik bir analiz”, Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 11(1).
- Ergec, E. H. and Arslan, B. G. (2013). Impact of Interest Rates on Islamic and Conventional Banks: The Case of Turkey. Applied Economics, 45(17):2381–2388.
- Essoo, N. and Dibb, S. (2004). Religious Influences on Shopping Behaviour: An Exploratory Study. Journal of Marketing Management, 20(7-8):683–712
- Federici, D., & Caprioli, F. (2009). Financial development and growth: An empirical analysis. Economic Modelling, 26(2), 285-294.
- Germir, H. N. (2019). Kredilerin Ticari Bankaların Performansı Üzerindeki Etkisinin Oran Analizi İle Açıklanması. Euroasia Journal, 6(4): 97104.
- Kasapoğlu, Ö. (2007). “Parasal Aktarım Mekanizmaları: Türkiye İçin Uygulama”, Uzmanlık Yeterlilik Tezi, Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası, Ankara: Piyasalar Genel Müdürlüğü.
- Kashyap, A. K. and Stein, J. C. (1995). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Balance Sheets. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 42(1):151–195.
- Kassim, S., Majid, M. A.,Yusof, R. M. (2009) Impact of monetary policy shocks on conventional and Islamic banks in a dual banking system: Evidence from Malaysia. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 30, 41–58
- Khan, M. S. and Mirakhor, A. (1989). The Financial System and Monetary Policy in an Islamic Economy. Islamic Economics, 1(1):39–58.
- Kılınç, N. Ş., ve Kılınç, E. C. (2020). Türkiye’de Banka Kredi Kanalının Etkinliği. Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 22(2), 418-431
- Kishan, R. P. and Opiela, T. P. (2000). Bank Size, Bank Capital, and the Bank Lending Channel. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 32(1):121–41.
- Kumru, C. S. and Sarntisart, S. (2016). Banking for Those Unwilling to Bank: Implications of Islamic Banking Systems. Economic Modelling, 54(C):1–12.
- Macit, F., 2012. Does bank ownership affect the credit channel of monetary policy. Suleyman Sah University, Working Paper
- Majid, M. S. A., & Hasin, Z. (2014). Islamic banks and monetary transmission mechanism in Malaysia. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 35(2), 137-166.
- Mckinnon, R.I., 1973. Money, capital and banking in economic development. Washington D.C.: Brooklyn Institution. pp: 177.
- Mishkin, F. S. (1996). The channels of monetary transmission: lessons for monetary policy. National Bureau of Economic Research. (No. w5464), 2–15
- Mishkin, F. S. (2004). The economics of money, banking, and financial markets. Boston, Pearson: Addison Wesley.
- Oliner, S. D. ve Rudebusch, G. D.. (1996). “Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance: Comment”, The American Economic Review, 86(1), 300- 309.
- Pagano, M. and Pica, G. (2012), “Finance and Employment”, Economic Policy, Vol: 27, No: 69, pp. 5-55.
Patrick, H.T., 1966. Financial development and economic growth in underdeveloped countries. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 2(14): 174-189. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1086/450153
- Said, F. F., ve Ismail, A. G. (2007). How does the changes in monetary policy affect lending behavior of Islamic banking in Malaysia? Journal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 12 (3), 163-177
- Sayuti, Wisam R. A. (2009). Monetary policy transmission through bank lending in a smallopen economy: A structural VAR approach for the case of Malaysia. Unpublished Master Dissertation, International Islamic University Malaysia, Kuala Lumpu
- Shaban, M., Duygun, M., Anwar, M., and Akbar, B. (2014). Diversification and Banks Willingness to Lend to Small Businesses: Evidence from Islamic and Conventional Banks in Indonesia. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 103, Supplement:S39 – S55. Special issue on Islamic Finance.
- Shaw, E., 1973. Financial deepening in economic development. New York: Oxford University Press. pp: 260
- Stein, J. C. and Kashyap, A. K. (2000). What Do a Million Observations on Banks Say about the Transmission of Monetary Policy? American Economic Review, 90(3):407–428.
- Sukmana, R. and Kassim, S. H. (2010). Roles of the Islamic Banks in the Monetary Transmission Process in Malaysia. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 3(1):7–19.
- Sun, L., Ford, J. L. ve Dickinson, D. G.(2010). “Bank loans and the effects of monetary policy in China: VAR/VECM approach”, China Economic Review, 21, 65–97
Türkmen, E., ve Arıcan, E. (2021). Parasal Aktarım Mekanizması Olarak Kredi Kanalının Türkiye’de Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkisi. Finansal Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi, 13(24), 245-271.
- Yiğitbaş, Ş. B. (2014). “Türkiye’de Banka Kredileri ve Konjonktür Dalgalanmaları Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi”, Bankacılar Dergisi, Sayı 90, 19-32.
- Yüksel, S. ve Adalı, Z. (2017). “Farklı Kredi Türlerinin Ekonomik Büyümeye Olan Etkisinin Belirlenmesi: TodaYamamoto Analizi le Türkiye Üzerine Bir Uygulama”, Politik Ekonomik Kuram (PEK) Dergisi, Cilt 1 (1), 1-21.
- Zaheer, S., Ongena, S., and van Wijnbergen, S. J. (2013). The Transmission of Monetary Policy Through Conventional and Islamic Banks. International Journal of Central Banking, 9(4):175– 224.
- Zulkhibri, M. and Sukmana, R. (2016). Financing Channels and Monetary Policy in a Dual Banking System: Evidence from Islamic Banks in Indonesia. Economic Notes.
KATILIM BANKACILIĞI PARASAL AKTARIM MEKANİZMASINDA ALTERNATİF BİR ROLE SAHİP MİDİR? DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN BİR YAKLAŞIM
Yıl 2022,
, 275 - 297, 20.12.2022
Soner Akın
,
Selim Duramaz
,
İbrahim Emre Karaa
Öz
Bu çalışmanın amacı, 2006:01-2022:03 dönemi için katılım ve geleneksel bankalar olmak üzere ikili bankacılık sistemine sahip olan Türkiye’de parasal aktarım mekanizması kredi kanalının geçerliliğinin incelenmesi ve katılım bankacılığının bu süreçteki rolünün ortaya konulmasıdır. Bu kapsamda, farklı ekonomik koşullar altında kredi aktarım mekanizmasındaki olası doğrusalsızlıkları dikkate alabilmek amacıyla Markov rejim değişim vektör otoregresyon modelinden (MRS-VAR) yararlanılmıştır. Çalışmadan elde edilen bulgulara göre, ekonomik daralma rejiminde reel üretimin banka kredilerine verdiği tepkinin pozitif olmasına rağmen, ekonomik genişleme rejiminde söz konusu tepkinin negatif olduğu ifade edilebilir. Bununla birlikte, katılım bankaları kredi hacmindeki şokların reel üretim üzerindeki etkisi geleneksel bankalara göre nisbi olarak daha düşüktür. Bu sonuç, katılım bankalarının kredi aktarım mekanizmasında tamamlayıcı bir role sahip olduğunu göstermektedir.
Kaynakça
- Agung, J. (1998). Financial deregulation and the bank lending channel in developing countries: the case of Indonesia. Asian Economic Journal, 12(3),273-294.
- Ahtik, M. (2012). Bank lending channel in Slovenia: panel data analysis. Prague Economics Papers, 1, 50-68.
- Aklan N. A. ve Nargeleçekenler M.. (2008). “Para politikalarının banka kredi kanalı üzerine etkileri”. İstanbul Üniversitesi Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Dergisi, 39, 109-132.
- Amar, B. A. (2022). On the role of Islamic banks in the monetary policy transmission in Saudi Arabia. Eurasian Economic Review, 1-40.
- Aysan, A. F., Disli, M., & Ozturk, H. (2018). Bank lending channel in a dual banking system: why are Islamic banks so responsive?. The World Economy, 41(3), 674-698.
- Aysan, A. F., Disli, M., Duygun, M., and Ozturk, H. (2016a). Islamic Banks, Deposit Insurance Reform, and Market Discipline: Evidence from a Natural Framework. Journal of Financial Services Research, pages 1–26.
- Aysan, A. F., Disli, M., Duygun, M., and Ozturk, H. (2016a). Islamic Banks, Deposit Insurance Reform, and Market Discipline: Evidence from a Natural Framework. Journal of Financial Services Research, pages 1–26.
- Bernanke , B. S., Blinder, A. S.. (1992). “The federal funds rate and the channels of monetary transmission”. The American Economic Review, 82 (4), 901-921.
- Bernanke, Ben S. ve Gertler, Mark. (2000). “Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatilty”, NBER Working Paper Series, 7559, 43.
- Cengiz, V. ve Duman, M. (2008). Türkiye’de Banka Kredi Kanalının Önemi Üzerine Etki Tepki Fonksiyonlarına Dayalı Bir Değerlendirme (1990-2006). Hacettepe Üniversitesi İ.İ.B.F. Dergisi, 26(2), 81-104.
- Çavuşoğlu, A. T. (2002). “Credit Transmission Mechanism in Turkey: An Empirical Investigation”, ERC Working Paper, 02/03, 2-28.
- Çiçek, M. (2005). “Türkiye’de Parasal Aktarım Mekanizması: VAR (Vektör Otoregresyon) Yaklasımıyla Bir Analiz”, İktisat İşletme ve Finans Dergisi, 20 (233), 82-105
- De Bondt, G. (2004). “The Balance Sheet Channel of Monetary Policy: First Empirical Evidence for The Euro Area Corporate”, International Journal of Finance and Economics, 9(3), 219-228
- Doğanalp, N. (2022). Parasal Aktarım Mekanizması Kanallarından Faiz ve Kredi Kanalının VAR Yöntemiyle İncelenmesi: Türkiye Örneği. Avrupa Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi, (33), 138-144.
- Erdoğan, S. ve Beşballı, S. G. (2009). “Türkiye’de banka kredileri kanalının işleyişi üzerine ampirik bir analiz”, Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 11(1).
- Ergec, E. H. and Arslan, B. G. (2013). Impact of Interest Rates on Islamic and Conventional Banks: The Case of Turkey. Applied Economics, 45(17):2381–2388.
- Essoo, N. and Dibb, S. (2004). Religious Influences on Shopping Behaviour: An Exploratory Study. Journal of Marketing Management, 20(7-8):683–712
- Federici, D., & Caprioli, F. (2009). Financial development and growth: An empirical analysis. Economic Modelling, 26(2), 285-294.
- Germir, H. N. (2019). Kredilerin Ticari Bankaların Performansı Üzerindeki Etkisinin Oran Analizi İle Açıklanması. Euroasia Journal, 6(4): 97104.
- Kasapoğlu, Ö. (2007). “Parasal Aktarım Mekanizmaları: Türkiye İçin Uygulama”, Uzmanlık Yeterlilik Tezi, Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası, Ankara: Piyasalar Genel Müdürlüğü.
- Kashyap, A. K. and Stein, J. C. (1995). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Balance Sheets. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 42(1):151–195.
- Kassim, S., Majid, M. A.,Yusof, R. M. (2009) Impact of monetary policy shocks on conventional and Islamic banks in a dual banking system: Evidence from Malaysia. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 30, 41–58
- Khan, M. S. and Mirakhor, A. (1989). The Financial System and Monetary Policy in an Islamic Economy. Islamic Economics, 1(1):39–58.
- Kılınç, N. Ş., ve Kılınç, E. C. (2020). Türkiye’de Banka Kredi Kanalının Etkinliği. Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 22(2), 418-431
- Kishan, R. P. and Opiela, T. P. (2000). Bank Size, Bank Capital, and the Bank Lending Channel. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 32(1):121–41.
- Kumru, C. S. and Sarntisart, S. (2016). Banking for Those Unwilling to Bank: Implications of Islamic Banking Systems. Economic Modelling, 54(C):1–12.
- Macit, F., 2012. Does bank ownership affect the credit channel of monetary policy. Suleyman Sah University, Working Paper
- Majid, M. S. A., & Hasin, Z. (2014). Islamic banks and monetary transmission mechanism in Malaysia. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 35(2), 137-166.
- Mckinnon, R.I., 1973. Money, capital and banking in economic development. Washington D.C.: Brooklyn Institution. pp: 177.
- Mishkin, F. S. (1996). The channels of monetary transmission: lessons for monetary policy. National Bureau of Economic Research. (No. w5464), 2–15
- Mishkin, F. S. (2004). The economics of money, banking, and financial markets. Boston, Pearson: Addison Wesley.
- Oliner, S. D. ve Rudebusch, G. D.. (1996). “Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance: Comment”, The American Economic Review, 86(1), 300- 309.
- Pagano, M. and Pica, G. (2012), “Finance and Employment”, Economic Policy, Vol: 27, No: 69, pp. 5-55.
Patrick, H.T., 1966. Financial development and economic growth in underdeveloped countries. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 2(14): 174-189. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1086/450153
- Said, F. F., ve Ismail, A. G. (2007). How does the changes in monetary policy affect lending behavior of Islamic banking in Malaysia? Journal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 12 (3), 163-177
- Sayuti, Wisam R. A. (2009). Monetary policy transmission through bank lending in a smallopen economy: A structural VAR approach for the case of Malaysia. Unpublished Master Dissertation, International Islamic University Malaysia, Kuala Lumpu
- Shaban, M., Duygun, M., Anwar, M., and Akbar, B. (2014). Diversification and Banks Willingness to Lend to Small Businesses: Evidence from Islamic and Conventional Banks in Indonesia. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 103, Supplement:S39 – S55. Special issue on Islamic Finance.
- Shaw, E., 1973. Financial deepening in economic development. New York: Oxford University Press. pp: 260
- Stein, J. C. and Kashyap, A. K. (2000). What Do a Million Observations on Banks Say about the Transmission of Monetary Policy? American Economic Review, 90(3):407–428.
- Sukmana, R. and Kassim, S. H. (2010). Roles of the Islamic Banks in the Monetary Transmission Process in Malaysia. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 3(1):7–19.
- Sun, L., Ford, J. L. ve Dickinson, D. G.(2010). “Bank loans and the effects of monetary policy in China: VAR/VECM approach”, China Economic Review, 21, 65–97
Türkmen, E., ve Arıcan, E. (2021). Parasal Aktarım Mekanizması Olarak Kredi Kanalının Türkiye’de Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkisi. Finansal Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi, 13(24), 245-271.
- Yiğitbaş, Ş. B. (2014). “Türkiye’de Banka Kredileri ve Konjonktür Dalgalanmaları Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi”, Bankacılar Dergisi, Sayı 90, 19-32.
- Yüksel, S. ve Adalı, Z. (2017). “Farklı Kredi Türlerinin Ekonomik Büyümeye Olan Etkisinin Belirlenmesi: TodaYamamoto Analizi le Türkiye Üzerine Bir Uygulama”, Politik Ekonomik Kuram (PEK) Dergisi, Cilt 1 (1), 1-21.
- Zaheer, S., Ongena, S., and van Wijnbergen, S. J. (2013). The Transmission of Monetary Policy Through Conventional and Islamic Banks. International Journal of Central Banking, 9(4):175– 224.
- Zulkhibri, M. and Sukmana, R. (2016). Financing Channels and Monetary Policy in a Dual Banking System: Evidence from Islamic Banks in Indonesia. Economic Notes.