Ekonomik Krizlerin Sağlık Davranışlarına Etkileri: Bir ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı
Yıl 2019,
, 101 - 123, 30.06.2019
Ümit Çıraklı
,
Hasan Hüseyin Yıldırım
Öz
Bu çalışmanın temel amacı, ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı ile Türkiye'de 1974-2015 yılları arasında 1994, 2001 ve 2009 ekonomik krizlerinin toplumun dört sağlığı davranışı üzerindeki etkilerini ortaya çıkarmaktır. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, ekonomik krizlerin sağlık davranışlarına etkileri açısından, ekonomik krizlerin sigara tüketimi üzerinde anlamlı etkisinin olmadığı bulunmuştur (p>0.05). Diğer taraftan, sadece 2001 ve 2009 ekonomik krizleri alkol tüketimi üzerinde artırıcı bir etki yapmıştır (p<0.05). Sebze-meyve tüketimi için 1994 ve 2001 ekonomik krizleri anlamlı bir şekilde negatif etki yaparken, 2009 krizinin etkisi anlamlı bir şekilde pozitif olmuştur (p<0.05). Şeker tüketimi içinse sadece 2001 ve 2009 ekonomik krizlerin etkisi anlamlıdır (p<0.05). Bu bulgulardan, ekonomik krizlerin sağlık davranışlarını hem negatif hem de pozitif yönde etkileyebileceği söylenilebilir.
Kaynakça
- Arkes, J. (2007). Does the economy affect teenage substance use? Health economics, 16(1), 19-36.
- Ásgeirsdóttir, T. L., Corman, H., Noonan, K., Ólafsdóttir, P. & Reichman, N. E. (2014). Was the economic crisis of 2008 good for Icelanders? Impact on health behaviors. Economics & Human Biology, 13, 1-19.
- Babych, Y. V. (2011). Political regime changes, crises and growth in historical perspective. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis, The George Washington University, Columbian College of Arts and Sciences, USA.
- Bahmani-Oskooee, M. & Ng, R. C. W. (2002). Long-Run Demand for Money in Hong Kong: An Application of the ARDL Model. International Journal of Business and Economics, 1(2), 147-155.
- Bor, J., Basu, S., Coutts, A., McKee, M. & Stuckler, D. (2013). Alcohol use during the great recession of 2008–2009. Alcohol and alcoholism, 48(3), 343-348.
- Brunner, E. J. & Marmot, M. G. (2006). Social organization, stress and health. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Bulutay, T. (1995). Employment, Unemployment and Wages in Turkey. İLO, Ankara: Devlet İstatistik Enstitüsü
- Ciftci, F. & Yildiz, R. (2015). The economic determinants of foreign direct investment: A time series analysis on the Turkish economy. Business and Economics Research Journal, 6(4), 71-95.
- Ciftci, F. (2009). The effects of capital flows on developing countries’ economic growth in the process of globalization: the case of Turkey. Unpublished Master thesis, Muğla University, Muğla.
- Dahlgren, G. & Whitehead, M. (1991). Policies and strategies to promote social equity in health. Institute for Future Studies.
- Dávalos, M. E., Fang, H. & French, M. T. (2012). Easing the pain of an economic downturn: Macroeconomic conditions and excessive alcohol consumption. Health economics, 21(11), 1318-1335.
- De Belvis, A. G., Ferrè, F., Specchia, M. L., Valerio, L., Fattore, G. & Ricciardi, W. (2012). The financial crisis in Italy: implications for the healthcare sector. Health policy, 106(1), 10-16.
- Elliott, E., Harrop, E., Rothwell, H., Shepherd, M. & Williams, G. (2010). The impact of the economic downturn on health in Wales: A review and case study. Cardiff School of Social Sciences Working Paper No: 134.
- Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 251-276.
- Erdem, E., Ilgun, M. F. & Dumrul, C. (2011). The effect of financial pressure on the banking lending policy: A review under the 2008 global crisis on the Turkey. Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, 5(1), 9-34.
- Erdogan, S. & Bozkurt, H. (2008). The relation between life expectation and economic growth: An analyse with ARDL model. The Journal of Knowledge Economy and Knowledge Management, 3(1), 25-38.
- Ergenc, Y. E. (2009). Causes of Economic Crisis and Solution Proposals. http://www.endmuh.com/kariyer/ekonomi/dosyalar/ekonomik_kriz_nedenleri_ve_cozum_onerileri.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 01.04.2014.
- Eurofound. (2014). Access to healthcare in times of crisis. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.
- Evans, R. G. & Stoddart, G. L. (1990). Producing health, consuming health care. Social science & medicine, 31(12), 1347-1363.
- Gerdtham, U.-G. & Ruhm, C. J. (2006). Deaths rises in good economic times: Evidence from the OECD. Economics and Human Biology, 4, 298–316.
- Greene, W. H. (2008). Econometric analysis. (6th ed.). Prentice Hall.
- Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Basic econometrics. The McGraw-Hill Companies.
- Gujarati, D. N. (2011). Basic econometrics by example. Palgrave Macmillian.
- Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inferences on cointegration-with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 169-210.
- Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 231-254.
- Kim, N. & Serra-Garcia, M. (2010). Economic crisis, health and education in Jamaica. Paper for UNDP’s Regional Bureau for Latin America and the Caribbean project on “The Effects of the Economic Crisis on the Well-Being of Households in Latin America and the Caribbean.
- Lalonde, M. (1974). A new perspective on the health of Canadians. A working document. Ottowa: Government of Canada.
- Lehto, J., Vrangbaek, K. & Winbland, U. (2012). The impact of macroeconomic crisis on Nordic health system policies: Denmark, Finland and Sweden, 1980-2012. Retrieved from http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/sites/files/kf/juhani-lehto-impact-global-recession-health-care-denmark-finland-sweden-kings-fund-sept12.pdf.
- MacKinnon, J. G. (1996). Numerical distribution functions for unit root and cointegration tests. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 601-618.
- Macy, J. T., Chassin, L. & Presson, C. C. (2013). Predictors of health behaviors after the economic downturn: A longitudinal study. Social science & medicine, 89, 8-15.
- McClure, C. B., Valdimarsdóttir, U. A., Hauksdóttir, A. & Kawachi, I. (2012). Economic crisis and smoking behaviour: Prospective cohort study in Iceland. BMJ open, 2:e001386.
- Musa, S. (2014). An impact of exchange rate volatility on Nigeria’s export: Using ARDL approach. Unpublished Master Thesis, Cankaya University, Ankara.
- Narayan, P. K. & Smyth, R. (2006). What determines migration flows from low-income to high-income countries? An empirical investigation of Fiji-US migration 1972–2001. Contemporary Economic Policy, 24(2), 332-342.
- Narayan, S. & Narayan, P. K. (2004). Determinants of demand of Fiji’s exports: An empirical investigation. The Developing Economics, 17(1), 95-112.
- Notara, V., Koulouridis, K., Violatzis, A. & Vagka, E. (2013). Economic crisis and health. The role of health care professionals. Health Science Journal, 7(2), 149-154.
- OECD. (2016). OECD statistics: Health status. http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?DatasetCode=HEALTH_STAT. (Accessed 23 August 2016).
- Oskanbayev, Y., Yilmaz, M. & Chagirov, D. (2011). The impact of macroeconomic indicators on stock exchange performance in Kazakhstan. African Journal of Business Management, 5(7), 2985-2991.
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
- Phillips, P. C. & Hansen, B. E. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I (1) processes. The Review of Economic Studies, 57(1), 99-125.
- Pusti, M. (2013). An inquiry on the anatomy of crises and the financial-economic crises of 2001-2008 in Turkey. Unpublished Master thesis, Atılım University,
- Rechel, B., Suhrcke, M., Tsolova, S., Suk, J. E., Desai, M., McKee, M., . . . Semenza, J. C. (2011). Economic crisis and communicable disease control in Europe: A scoping study among national experts. Health policy, 103, 168-175.
- Salleh, N. H. M., Othman, R. & Ramachandran, S. (2007). Malaysia’s tourism demand from selected countries: The ARDL approach to cointegration. International Journal of Economics and Management, 1(3), 345-363.
- Schulz, R. & Johnson, A. C. (2003). Management of hospitals and health services: Strategic issues and performance. Washington D. C.: Beard Books.
- Simsek, Z., Koruk, I. & Altindag, A. (2007). Health risk behaviors of first year students of Harran University Medical Faculty and Faculty of Science and Letters. Bulletin of Community Medicine, 26(3), 19-24.
- Solar, O. & Irwin, A. (2005). Towards a conceptual framework for analysis and action on the social determinants of health. Social Determinants of Health Discussion Paper 2 (Policy and Practice), WHO.
- Stuckler, D., Basu, S., Suhrcke, M., Coutts, A. & McKee, M. (2011). Effects of the 2008 recession on health: A first look at European data. Lancet, 378, 124-125.
- Tangcharoensathien, V., Harnvoravongchai, P., Pitayarangsarit, S. & Kasemsup, V. (2000). Health impacts of rapid economic changes in Thailand. Social science & medicine, 51, 789-907.
- TAPDK. (2016). Tobacco product statistics. http://www.tapdk.gov.tr/tr/piyasa-duzenlemeleri/tutun-mamulleri-piyasasi/tutun-mamulleri-istatistikleri.aspx. (Accessed 9 August 2016).
- Tokuc, B. & Berberoglu, U. (2007). Health promoting lifestyles among primary school teachers working in Edirne. TAF Preventive Medicine Bulletin, 6(6), 421-426.
- TUIK. (2016). Health statistics. http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=251. (Accessed 9 August 2016).
- Tuncsiper, B. & Bicen, O. F. (2013). The effects of European debt crisis on Turkey's exports. Paper presented at: International conference on Eurasian economies; 17-18 September, St. Petersburg, Russia.
- Wang, Y.-S. (2009). The impact of crisis events and macroeconomic activity on Taiwan’s international inbound tourism demand. Tourism Management, 30, 75-82.
- World Bank. (2016a). World development indicators. http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=2&country=TUR#. (Accessed 4 August 2016).
- World Bank. (2016b). World development indicators. http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=2&country=TUR#. (Accessed 8 September 2016).
- Yakisik, H. & Cetin, A. (2014). The impacts of education, health and level of technology on economic growth: ARDL bound test approach. Socio-economics, 169-186.
- Yucel, F. & Kalyoncu, H. (2010). Leading indicators of financial crises and affecting channels of countries economies: The case of Turkey. Journal of Finance, 159, 53-69.
- Yurekli, O. (2004). The impact of economic crisis in globalization process to developing countries's economies and Turkey. Unpublished Master thesis, Süleyman Demirel University, Isparta.
The Impacts of Economic Crises on Health Behaviors of Population: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach
Yıl 2019,
, 101 - 123, 30.06.2019
Ümit Çıraklı
,
Hasan Hüseyin Yıldırım
Öz
The
main aim of this study is to reveal the impacts of 1994, 2001 and 2009 economic
crisis on the four health behaviors of population in Turkey between 1974-2015
through ARDL bounds testing approach. According to the results, in terms of the
impacts of economic crises on the health behaviors, it has been found the
economic crises have had no significant impact on tobacco consumption
(p>0.05). On the other hand, only the 2001 and 2009 economic crisis have had
an increasing impact on alcohol consumption (p<0.05). For vegetable-fruit
consumption, while the 1994 and 2001 economic crisis have had significantly
negative impact, the 2009 economic crisis’ impact was significantly positive
(p>0.05). For sugar consumption, only
the impacts of the 2001 and 2009 economic crisis were significant (p<0.05).
From these findings it can be stated that economic crises may effect health
behaviors in both negative and positive way.
Kaynakça
- Arkes, J. (2007). Does the economy affect teenage substance use? Health economics, 16(1), 19-36.
- Ásgeirsdóttir, T. L., Corman, H., Noonan, K., Ólafsdóttir, P. & Reichman, N. E. (2014). Was the economic crisis of 2008 good for Icelanders? Impact on health behaviors. Economics & Human Biology, 13, 1-19.
- Babych, Y. V. (2011). Political regime changes, crises and growth in historical perspective. Unpublished Ph.D. Thesis, The George Washington University, Columbian College of Arts and Sciences, USA.
- Bahmani-Oskooee, M. & Ng, R. C. W. (2002). Long-Run Demand for Money in Hong Kong: An Application of the ARDL Model. International Journal of Business and Economics, 1(2), 147-155.
- Bor, J., Basu, S., Coutts, A., McKee, M. & Stuckler, D. (2013). Alcohol use during the great recession of 2008–2009. Alcohol and alcoholism, 48(3), 343-348.
- Brunner, E. J. & Marmot, M. G. (2006). Social organization, stress and health. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Bulutay, T. (1995). Employment, Unemployment and Wages in Turkey. İLO, Ankara: Devlet İstatistik Enstitüsü
- Ciftci, F. & Yildiz, R. (2015). The economic determinants of foreign direct investment: A time series analysis on the Turkish economy. Business and Economics Research Journal, 6(4), 71-95.
- Ciftci, F. (2009). The effects of capital flows on developing countries’ economic growth in the process of globalization: the case of Turkey. Unpublished Master thesis, Muğla University, Muğla.
- Dahlgren, G. & Whitehead, M. (1991). Policies and strategies to promote social equity in health. Institute for Future Studies.
- Dávalos, M. E., Fang, H. & French, M. T. (2012). Easing the pain of an economic downturn: Macroeconomic conditions and excessive alcohol consumption. Health economics, 21(11), 1318-1335.
- De Belvis, A. G., Ferrè, F., Specchia, M. L., Valerio, L., Fattore, G. & Ricciardi, W. (2012). The financial crisis in Italy: implications for the healthcare sector. Health policy, 106(1), 10-16.
- Elliott, E., Harrop, E., Rothwell, H., Shepherd, M. & Williams, G. (2010). The impact of the economic downturn on health in Wales: A review and case study. Cardiff School of Social Sciences Working Paper No: 134.
- Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 251-276.
- Erdem, E., Ilgun, M. F. & Dumrul, C. (2011). The effect of financial pressure on the banking lending policy: A review under the 2008 global crisis on the Turkey. Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, 5(1), 9-34.
- Erdogan, S. & Bozkurt, H. (2008). The relation between life expectation and economic growth: An analyse with ARDL model. The Journal of Knowledge Economy and Knowledge Management, 3(1), 25-38.
- Ergenc, Y. E. (2009). Causes of Economic Crisis and Solution Proposals. http://www.endmuh.com/kariyer/ekonomi/dosyalar/ekonomik_kriz_nedenleri_ve_cozum_onerileri.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 01.04.2014.
- Eurofound. (2014). Access to healthcare in times of crisis. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.
- Evans, R. G. & Stoddart, G. L. (1990). Producing health, consuming health care. Social science & medicine, 31(12), 1347-1363.
- Gerdtham, U.-G. & Ruhm, C. J. (2006). Deaths rises in good economic times: Evidence from the OECD. Economics and Human Biology, 4, 298–316.
- Greene, W. H. (2008). Econometric analysis. (6th ed.). Prentice Hall.
- Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Basic econometrics. The McGraw-Hill Companies.
- Gujarati, D. N. (2011). Basic econometrics by example. Palgrave Macmillian.
- Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inferences on cointegration-with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 169-210.
- Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 231-254.
- Kim, N. & Serra-Garcia, M. (2010). Economic crisis, health and education in Jamaica. Paper for UNDP’s Regional Bureau for Latin America and the Caribbean project on “The Effects of the Economic Crisis on the Well-Being of Households in Latin America and the Caribbean.
- Lalonde, M. (1974). A new perspective on the health of Canadians. A working document. Ottowa: Government of Canada.
- Lehto, J., Vrangbaek, K. & Winbland, U. (2012). The impact of macroeconomic crisis on Nordic health system policies: Denmark, Finland and Sweden, 1980-2012. Retrieved from http://www.kingsfund.org.uk/sites/files/kf/juhani-lehto-impact-global-recession-health-care-denmark-finland-sweden-kings-fund-sept12.pdf.
- MacKinnon, J. G. (1996). Numerical distribution functions for unit root and cointegration tests. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11, 601-618.
- Macy, J. T., Chassin, L. & Presson, C. C. (2013). Predictors of health behaviors after the economic downturn: A longitudinal study. Social science & medicine, 89, 8-15.
- McClure, C. B., Valdimarsdóttir, U. A., Hauksdóttir, A. & Kawachi, I. (2012). Economic crisis and smoking behaviour: Prospective cohort study in Iceland. BMJ open, 2:e001386.
- Musa, S. (2014). An impact of exchange rate volatility on Nigeria’s export: Using ARDL approach. Unpublished Master Thesis, Cankaya University, Ankara.
- Narayan, P. K. & Smyth, R. (2006). What determines migration flows from low-income to high-income countries? An empirical investigation of Fiji-US migration 1972–2001. Contemporary Economic Policy, 24(2), 332-342.
- Narayan, S. & Narayan, P. K. (2004). Determinants of demand of Fiji’s exports: An empirical investigation. The Developing Economics, 17(1), 95-112.
- Notara, V., Koulouridis, K., Violatzis, A. & Vagka, E. (2013). Economic crisis and health. The role of health care professionals. Health Science Journal, 7(2), 149-154.
- OECD. (2016). OECD statistics: Health status. http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?DatasetCode=HEALTH_STAT. (Accessed 23 August 2016).
- Oskanbayev, Y., Yilmaz, M. & Chagirov, D. (2011). The impact of macroeconomic indicators on stock exchange performance in Kazakhstan. African Journal of Business Management, 5(7), 2985-2991.
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
- Phillips, P. C. & Hansen, B. E. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I (1) processes. The Review of Economic Studies, 57(1), 99-125.
- Pusti, M. (2013). An inquiry on the anatomy of crises and the financial-economic crises of 2001-2008 in Turkey. Unpublished Master thesis, Atılım University,
- Rechel, B., Suhrcke, M., Tsolova, S., Suk, J. E., Desai, M., McKee, M., . . . Semenza, J. C. (2011). Economic crisis and communicable disease control in Europe: A scoping study among national experts. Health policy, 103, 168-175.
- Salleh, N. H. M., Othman, R. & Ramachandran, S. (2007). Malaysia’s tourism demand from selected countries: The ARDL approach to cointegration. International Journal of Economics and Management, 1(3), 345-363.
- Schulz, R. & Johnson, A. C. (2003). Management of hospitals and health services: Strategic issues and performance. Washington D. C.: Beard Books.
- Simsek, Z., Koruk, I. & Altindag, A. (2007). Health risk behaviors of first year students of Harran University Medical Faculty and Faculty of Science and Letters. Bulletin of Community Medicine, 26(3), 19-24.
- Solar, O. & Irwin, A. (2005). Towards a conceptual framework for analysis and action on the social determinants of health. Social Determinants of Health Discussion Paper 2 (Policy and Practice), WHO.
- Stuckler, D., Basu, S., Suhrcke, M., Coutts, A. & McKee, M. (2011). Effects of the 2008 recession on health: A first look at European data. Lancet, 378, 124-125.
- Tangcharoensathien, V., Harnvoravongchai, P., Pitayarangsarit, S. & Kasemsup, V. (2000). Health impacts of rapid economic changes in Thailand. Social science & medicine, 51, 789-907.
- TAPDK. (2016). Tobacco product statistics. http://www.tapdk.gov.tr/tr/piyasa-duzenlemeleri/tutun-mamulleri-piyasasi/tutun-mamulleri-istatistikleri.aspx. (Accessed 9 August 2016).
- Tokuc, B. & Berberoglu, U. (2007). Health promoting lifestyles among primary school teachers working in Edirne. TAF Preventive Medicine Bulletin, 6(6), 421-426.
- TUIK. (2016). Health statistics. http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=251. (Accessed 9 August 2016).
- Tuncsiper, B. & Bicen, O. F. (2013). The effects of European debt crisis on Turkey's exports. Paper presented at: International conference on Eurasian economies; 17-18 September, St. Petersburg, Russia.
- Wang, Y.-S. (2009). The impact of crisis events and macroeconomic activity on Taiwan’s international inbound tourism demand. Tourism Management, 30, 75-82.
- World Bank. (2016a). World development indicators. http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=2&country=TUR#. (Accessed 4 August 2016).
- World Bank. (2016b). World development indicators. http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=2&country=TUR#. (Accessed 8 September 2016).
- Yakisik, H. & Cetin, A. (2014). The impacts of education, health and level of technology on economic growth: ARDL bound test approach. Socio-economics, 169-186.
- Yucel, F. & Kalyoncu, H. (2010). Leading indicators of financial crises and affecting channels of countries economies: The case of Turkey. Journal of Finance, 159, 53-69.
- Yurekli, O. (2004). The impact of economic crisis in globalization process to developing countries's economies and Turkey. Unpublished Master thesis, Süleyman Demirel University, Isparta.