GÜVENLİĞİ YENİDEN DEĞERLENDİRMEK: STRATEJİK İTTİFAKTAN HAYAL KIRIKLIĞINA ERMENİSTAN’IN KGAÖ YOLCULUĞU

Öz

Kolektif Güvenlik Anlaşması Örgütü (KGAÖ) 2002 yılında, başta Rusya olmak üzere eski Sovyet devletlerini kapsayan bölgesel bir güvenlik örgütü olarak kurulmuştur. Temel amacı üye devletler arasında işbirliğini ve kolektif savunmayı geliştirmektir. Ermenistan’ın KGAÖ ile ilişkisi, örgütün kuruluşundan bu yana güvenlik stratejisinin temel taşlarından biri olmuştur. İstikrarsız bir bölgede denize kıyısı olmayan küçük bir ülke olarak Ermenistan, güvenlik garantileri ve bölgesel sorunlarla mücadelede yardım için KGAÖ’ye güvenmiştir. Ancak Ermenistan’ın örgütten beklentileri çoğu zaman karşılanmamış, bu da hayal kırıklığına ve stratejik önceliklerini yeniden değerlendirmesine yol açmıştır. 2020’de 44 gün süren 2. Karabağ Savaşı, Güney Kafkasya’daki istikrarsızlığı ve Ermenistan ile Azerbaycan arasında uzun süredir devam eden sorunu yeniden gündeme getirmiştir. KGAÖ üyesi olan Ermenistan tırmanan çatışmanın ortasında güvenlik ittifakından yardım istemiş, ancak Rusya’nın müdahaleyi reddetmesi bölgesel dinamiklerin karmaşıklığını ortaya koymuş ve çatışmanın sonucu üzerinde önemli etkilerde bulunmuştur. Bu makale Ermenistan-KGAÖ ilişkilerinin dinamiklerini incelemekte, Ermenistan’ın örgütten beklentilerini ve hayal kırıklığına katkıda bulunan faktörleri analiz etmekte ve 2. Karabağ Savaşı sonrası Ermenistan’ın KGAÖ’den uzaklaşmasının bölgesel jeopolitik üzerindeki etkilerini incelemektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Ermenistan
• Kolektif Güvenlik Antlaşması Örgütü
• Rusya
• Bölgesel Güvenlik
• 2. Karabağ Savaşı

REEVALUATING SECURITY: ARMENIA'S TRAJECTORY FROM STRATEGIC ALLIANCE TO DISILLUSIONMENT WITHIN THE CSTO

Öz

The Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), established in 2002 as a regional security organisation encompassing former Soviet states, primarily Russia, aims to foster cooperation and collective defense among its members. Since its inception, Armenia’s relationship with the CSTO has been a cornerstone of its security strategy. As a small, landlocked nation in a volatile region, Armenia has relied heavily on the CSTO for security guarantees and support in addressing regional challenges. However, the organisation frequently fell short of meeting Armenia’s expectations, leading to disappointment and a reassessment of its strategic priorities. The 44-day Second Karabakh War in 2020 reignited the long-standing conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan, underscoring the instability in the South Caucasus. During the escalating conflict, Armenia, as a CSTO member, sought assistance from the security alliance. However, Russia’s refusal to intervene highlighted the complexity of regional dynamics and significantly influenced the conflict’s outcome. This article explores the intricacies of Armenia-CSTO relations, analyzing Armenia’s expectations from the organisation and the factors contributing to its disillusionment. Furthermore, it examines the broader implications of Armenia’s disengagement from the CSTO following the Second Karabakh War on regional geopolitics. By delving into these aspects, the study offers a comprehensive understanding of the strategic recalibrations within Armenia’s security policy and contributes to the broader discourse on regional security and alliance dynamics.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Armenia
• The Collective Security Treaty Organisation
• Russia
• Regional Security
• The Second Karabakh War

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