MDAÜ ÜLKELERİNDE BOŞANMANIN SOSYOEKONOMİK NEDENLERİ ÜZERİNE AMPİRİK BİR ARAŞTIRMA

Öz

The paper examines the relationship between divorce rates and socioeconomic variables in CEE countries whose economic and political regimes were changed from communism to capitalism. Factors such as regime change have been ignored, although there are many studies that examine the impact of changing gender roles and female labor force participation on the family structure. This study focuses on the impact of socio-economic impacts on divorce as well as regime change. Panel LM unit root test was used with the aim of finding out whether the destabilizing effect of divorce rates in CEE countries was permanent after the regime change. Also, panel data regression was employed to determine the social l factors that affected divorce rates from the years between 2008 nd 2017. The Czech Republic appears to have left behind the shock effect it experienced on divorce rates, which is considered to be a result of the country’s closeness to liberal values from past to present. The result of panel regression was supported the fact that growth rate and openness have a significant negative effect on divorce rates.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Divorce Rate
• Socioeconomic Transition
• Panel Data Analysis

AN EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION ON THE SOCIOECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF DIVORCE RATES IN CEE COUNTRIES

Öz

Bu çalışma, ekonomik ve siyasi rejim değişimi ile komünizmden kapitalizme geçen Merkezi ve Doğu Avrupa (MDA) ülkelerindeki boşanma oranları ile sosyoekonomik değişkenler arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektedir. Değişen cinsiyet rollerinin ve kadınların işgücüne katılımının aile yapısı üzerindeki etkisini inceleyen birçok çalışma olmakla birlikte rejim değişikliği gibi faktörlerin etkisi çoğunlukla göz ardı edilmektedir. Bu çalışma, sosyo-ekonomik faktörlerle birlikte rejim değişikliğini boşanma üzerindeki etkisine odaklanmaktadır. Çalışmada MDA ülkelerindeki boşanma oranlarının istikrarsızlaştırıcı etkisinin rejim değişikliğinden sonra kalıcı olup olmadığını belirlemek amacıyla 1960-2016 yılları için LM panel birim kök testi kullanılmıştır. Ayrıca, 2008-2017 yılları arasındaki boşanma oranlarını etkileyen sosyal faktörleri belirlemek için panel veri regresyonuna başvurulmuştur. Elde edilen bulgular, geçmişten günümüze liberal değerlere yakınlığı ile Çek Cumhuriyeti’nin boşanma oranları konusunda yaşadığı şokun etkisini geride bıraktığını göstermektedir. Panel regresyonu sonucu, büyüme hızı ve dışa açıklığın boşanma oranları üzerinde önemli bir olumsuz etkiye sahip olduğu görüşünü de desteklemektedir

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Boşanma Oranları
• Sosyoekonomik Geçiş
• Panel Veri Analizi

Kaynakça

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