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BİLGİ SİSTEMLERİNDE OLUMSUZ SENARYOLAR VE ÇAYKUR UYGULAMASI

Year 2007, Volume: 7 Issue: 2, 595 - 611, 01.10.2007

Abdullah Naralan

Abstract

Bilgi sistemlerinde birtakım olumsuzlukların ortaya çıkması durumunda meydana gelecek zarar ve kayıpların asgari düzeyde olmasını sağlamak için muhtemel olumsuzlukların tespit edilmesi gerekir. Önem seviyelerine göre belirlenen olumsuzlukların belirli bir periyotta gerçekleşme ihtimali ve sebep olacakları zararlarına göre sıralanarak çeşitli senaryolar üretilir. Herhangi bir senaryonun işlemeye başlaması durumunda öngörülen adımların uygulanması ile en az zarar veya zararsız bir şekilde olumsuzluktan çıkılıp normale dönülmesi için karar vericilerin bunları önceden planlamış olması gerekmektedir. Bu çalışmada Çay İşletmeleri Genel Müdürlüğüne bağlı yaş çay işleme fabrikalarında bilgi sistemindeki olumsuzluklar ile ilgili durum tespiti amacıyla anket çalışması şeklinde inceleme yapılmıştır. Sonuçlar değerlendirilmiş ve önerilerde bulunulmuştur

Keywords

Senaryo Senaryo Planlama Bilgi Sistemleri

References

  • BRADFIELD Ron, WRITH George, v.d. (2005): “The Origins And Evolution of Scenario Techniques in Long Range Business Planning”, Futures, 37: 798-799.
  • CHERMACK Thomas J. (2005): “Studying scenario planning: Theory, Research Suggestions, and Hypotheses”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 72.
  • ----------------------- (2004): “Improving Decision Making With Scenario Planning”, Futures, 36: 296.
  • COATES Joseph F. (2000): Scenario Planning, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65:115-123.
  • LAUDON Kenneth, L., Jane P. (1998): “Management Information Systems New Approaches to Organization and Technology”, New Jersey, Prentice Hall Inc.
  • LESSARD Gene (1998): “An adaptive Approach to Planning and Decision Making”, Landscape and Urban Planning, 40: 81-87
  • MILLER D. Kent, WALLER H. Gregory (2003): Scenarios, Real Options and Integrated Risk Management, Long Range Planning, 36: 94.
  • O’BRIEN F. A. (2004): “Scenario Planning-Lessons for Proactice From Teaching and Learning”, European Journal of Operational Research,152: 716
  • _______________(2000): “Scenario Planning as a Networking Process”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65: 99-112
  • ROUBELAT Fabrice (2006): “Scenarios to Challenge Strategic Paradigms: Lessons from 2025”, Futures, 38: 267
  • ŞİMŞEK Şerif (1998): Yönetim ve Organizasyon, Konya, s: 189.
  • ÇAY İŞLETMELERİ GENEL MÜDÜRLÜĞÜ (2006), http://www.caykur.gov.tr/faaliyet2005/faaliyet2005.htm, (12.07.2006)

NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR

Year 2007, Volume: 7 Issue: 2, 595 - 611, 01.10.2007

Abdullah Naralan

Abstract

It is necessary to determine the probably negativenesses to keep the occurred damages and losses in minimum in case of some negativenesses occurred in information systems. Different scenarios are produced by arranging the negativenesses determined in according to the level of significance in according to probable of realization in certain period and damages to which it causes. The decision makers must plain the suitable behaviour to get out from negativenesses with less harm or harmless before any scenario occurs. In this study, the examination as the public survey was performed in order to determine the case related to negativeness in information systems at fresh tea factories in Çaykur Company. The results were evaluated and suggestions were made

Keywords

Scenario Scenario Planning Information Systems

References

  • BRADFIELD Ron, WRITH George, v.d. (2005): “The Origins And Evolution of Scenario Techniques in Long Range Business Planning”, Futures, 37: 798-799.
  • CHERMACK Thomas J. (2005): “Studying scenario planning: Theory, Research Suggestions, and Hypotheses”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 72.
  • ----------------------- (2004): “Improving Decision Making With Scenario Planning”, Futures, 36: 296.
  • COATES Joseph F. (2000): Scenario Planning, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65:115-123.
  • LAUDON Kenneth, L., Jane P. (1998): “Management Information Systems New Approaches to Organization and Technology”, New Jersey, Prentice Hall Inc.
  • LESSARD Gene (1998): “An adaptive Approach to Planning and Decision Making”, Landscape and Urban Planning, 40: 81-87
  • MILLER D. Kent, WALLER H. Gregory (2003): Scenarios, Real Options and Integrated Risk Management, Long Range Planning, 36: 94.
  • O’BRIEN F. A. (2004): “Scenario Planning-Lessons for Proactice From Teaching and Learning”, European Journal of Operational Research,152: 716
  • _______________(2000): “Scenario Planning as a Networking Process”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 65: 99-112
  • ROUBELAT Fabrice (2006): “Scenarios to Challenge Strategic Paradigms: Lessons from 2025”, Futures, 38: 267
  • ŞİMŞEK Şerif (1998): Yönetim ve Organizasyon, Konya, s: 189.
  • ÇAY İŞLETMELERİ GENEL MÜDÜRLÜĞÜ (2006), http://www.caykur.gov.tr/faaliyet2005/faaliyet2005.htm, (12.07.2006)
There are 12 citations in total.

Details

Other ID JA44BR69JZ
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Abdullah Naralan This is me

Publication Date October 1, 2007
Published in Issue Year 2007 Volume: 7 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Naralan, A. (2007). NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR. Ege Academic Review, 7(2), 595-611.
AMA Naralan A. NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR. ear. October 2007;7(2):595-611.
Chicago Naralan, Abdullah. “NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR”. Ege Academic Review 7, no. 2 (October 2007): 595-611.
EndNote Naralan A (October 1, 2007) NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR. Ege Academic Review 7 2 595–611.
IEEE A. Naralan, “NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR”, ear, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 595–611, 2007.
ISNAD Naralan, Abdullah. “NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR”. Ege Academic Review 7/2 (October 2007), 595-611.
JAMA Naralan A. NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR. ear. 2007;7:595–611.
MLA Naralan, Abdullah. “NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR”. Ege Academic Review, vol. 7, no. 2, 2007, pp. 595-11.
Vancouver Naralan A. NEGATIVE SCENARIOS IN INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND IT’S APPLICATION OF ÇAYKUR. ear. 2007;7(2):595-611.