TÜRKİYE’DE BİLGİ İLETİŞİM TEKNOLOJİLERİ VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME: EKONOMETRİK BİR ANALİZ (1980-2008)

Yıl 2010, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 575 - 596, 01.05.2010

Sevda Yapraklı Tuncay Sağlam

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de bilgi iletişim teknolojileri (BİT) ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektir. Bu amaçla 1980-2008 dönemi için, BİT ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiler, çok değişkenli eş-bütünleşme analizi, hata düzeltme-geliştirilmiş Granger nedensellik testleri ve vektör hata düzeltme modeli kullanılarak ekonometrik açıdan analiz edilmektedir. Analiz sonuçlarına göre, kısa ve uzun dönemde ekonomik büyüme BİT’ten pozitif olarak etkilenmektedir. Bununla birlikte, Türkiye’de BİT’in ekonomik büyümeye katkısının diğer üretim faktörlerine göre daha düşük oranda olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Hata düzeltme-geliştirilmiş Granger nedensellik testleri, ekonomik büyüme ile bilgi arasında iki yönlü bir nedenselliğin bulunduğunu göstermektedir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Bilgi ĠletiĢim Teknolojileri, Ekonomik Büyüme, Türkiye Ekonomisi, Granger Nedenselliği, VEC Modeli

INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY: AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS (1980-2008)

Öz

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between information and communications technology and economic growth in Turkey. For this purpose for the period of 1980-2008, the relationships between ICT and real economic growth rate are analyzed econometrically by employing multivariate cointegration analysis, error correction-augmented Granger causality tests and vector error correction model. According to the results, economic growth is positively effected by ICT in the short and long run. However, it is observed that the contribution of ICT to the economic growth is less than that of other product factors in Turkey. Error correction-augmented Granger causality tests show that there is bi-directional causality between ICT and economic growth

Anahtar Kelimeler

Information and Communications Technology, Economic Growth, Turkish Economy, Granger Causality, VEC Model

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