Mathematical Estimation of Expenditures in The Health Sector in TURKEY with Grey Modeling

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 35 Sayı: 3, 52 - 58, 04.01.2020

Zafer Öztürk , Halis Bilgil

Öz

Grey theory is an effective
theory that deals with systems that lack weak information and / or information.
With this theory, effective and very accurate estimates can be created for
future times by utilizing a small number of data. The grey modeling method is a
sub-branch of the theory of grey systems and the modeling process is carried
out with the help of differences equations and differential equations. The
least squares approach plays a role in the precise results of the method. Using
the GM (1,1) modeling method, which is the basis of grey prediction models with
its accuracy and usefulness, health expenditures in Turkey that will be
achieved in the coming years were estimated.These estimates are particularly
useful for health and economic policies.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Grey Estimation Model, Grey System Theory, Forecast Accuracy, Least Squares Method

Kaynakça

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