TÜRKİYE’DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME, BEŞERİ SERMAYE VE İHRACAT ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİLERİN EKONOMETRİK ANALİZİ: 1970-2005

Yıl 2010, Sayı: 36, 33 - 56, 20.05.2015

Halil Altıntaş Hakan Çetintaş

Öz

Bu çalışma, 1970-2007 dönemi yıllık veriler kullanarak Türkiye’de beşeri sermaye, sabit sermaye, ihracat ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi eşbütünleşme ve değişkenler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkilerini test etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Ampirik uygulamada ekonomik büyüme, beşeri sermaye, sabit sermaye ve ihracat arasında uzun dönemde pozitif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir ilişkinin olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Ayrıca beşeri sermayenin ekonomik büyüme üzerinde doğrudan Granger etkiye yol açmadığı, beşeri sermayenin sabit sermaye ve ihracata katkıda bulunarak dolaylı bir şekilde ekonomik büyümeyi artırdığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Elde edilen ampirik sonuçlar büyüme üzerinde dış ticaretin etkili olduğu ve böylece ihracat odaklı büyüme hipotezinin geçerli olabileceğini göstermiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Beşeri Sermaye, Ekonomik Büyüme, İhracat ve Türkiye

Kaynakça

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