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Hayat Dışı Sigorta Talebini Belirleyen Kurumsal ve Demografik Faktörler. Panel Veri Analizi ile Seçilmiş Ülkelerden Kanıtlar

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 3, 1413 - 1431, 25.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.1614259

Öz

Bu çalışma, seçili OECD ülkelerinde hayat dışı sigorta talebinin kurumsal ve demografik belirleyicilerini araştırmaktadır. Çalışmanın veri seti olarak, 2011-2021 döneminin 20 ülkeyi kapsayan ve yıllık olarak belirlenen panel verileri kullanılmıştır. Bu kapsamda, hayat dışı sigorta talebini etkileyebilecek kurumsal ve demografik faktörlerin (yolsuzluğun kontrolü, siyasi istikrar endeksi, hukukun üstünlüğü endeksi, kentsel nüfus oranı, bağımlılık oranı, eğitim oranı) belirlenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Tahminler için klasik panel analiz yöntemi uygun olmuş ve Arellano, Froot ve Rogers Tahmincisiyle model tahmin edilmiştir. Bu yönüyle çalışma, sigorta talebi literatürünü kurumsal ve demografik belirleyiciler yönünden zenginleştirmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Elde edilen bulgular, hedef ülkelerde kurumsal göstergelerden olan hukukun üstülüğünün hayat dışı sigorta talebini negatif yönde etkilediğini göstermiştir. Ayrıca demografik değişkenlerden kentsel nüfus ve eğitim düzeyinin taleple olumlu ilişkide olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Bağımlılık oranının ise taleple anlamlı ancak negatif ilişkide olduğu sonucuna varılmıştır. Ayrıca çalışma, sigorta üretimi belirli bir rakamın üzerinde olan ülkeler için hayat dışı sigorta sektörünün gelişimine dair bazı politika çıkarımları sunmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Alhassan, A. L., & Biekpe, N. (2016). Determinants of life insurance consumption in Africa. Research in International Business and Finance, 37, 17-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.10.016
  • Bah, M., & Abila, N. (2022). Institutional determinants of insurance penetration in Africa. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance. Issues and Practice, 1-42. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41288-022-00278-2
  • Beck, T., & Webb, I. (2003). Economic, Demographic, and Institutional Determinants of Life Insurance Consumption across Countries. https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhg011
  • Beenstock, M., Dickinson, G., & Khajuria, S. (1986). The determination of life premiums: An international cross-section analysis 1970–1981. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 5(4), 261-270. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6687(86)90020-X
  • Browne, M. J., & Kim, K. (1993). An International analysis of life insurance demand. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 60(4), 616-634. https://doi.org/10.2307/253382
  • Chang, C.-H., & Lee, C.-C. (2012). Non-linearity between life insurance and economic development: A revisited approach. The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, 37(2), 223-257. https://doi.org/10.1057/grir.2011.10
  • Çınar, M. (2021). Panel veri ekonometrisi. Ekin Yayıncılık.
  • Dragos, S. L., & Dragos, C. M. (2013). The role of institutional factors over the national insurance demand: Theoretical approach and econometric estimations. Transilvanya İdari Bilimler İncelemesi, 9(39), 32-45.
  • Dragos, S. L., Mare, C., & Dragos, C. M. (2019). Institutional drivers of life insurance consumption: A dynamic panel approach for European countries. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 44(1), 36-66. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41288-018-0106-3
  • Dragos, S. L., Mare, C., Dragota, I.-M., Dragos, C. M., & Muresan, G. M. (2017). The nexus between the demand for life insurance and institutional factors in Europe: New evidence from a panel data approach. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 30(1), 1477-1496. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2017.1325764
  • Dünya Bankası Meta Veri Sözlüğü. (2024). https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/worldwide-governance-indicators/series/CC.EST
  • Dünya Kalkınma Göstergeleri | DataBank. (t.y.). Geliş tarihi 24 Aralık 2024, gönderen https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=2&series=SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS&country=
  • Elango, B., & Jones, J. (2011). Drivers of insurance demand in emerging markets. Journal of Service Science Research, 3(2), 185-204. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12927-011-0008-4
  • Erbaş, S. N., & Sayers, L. C. (2006). Institutional quality, knightian uncertainty, and insurability: A cross-country analysis. IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/31/Institutional-Quality-Knightian-Uncertainty-and-Insurability-A-Cross-Country-Analysis-19381
  • Feyen, E., Lester, R. R., & Rocha, R. de R. (2013). What drives the development of the insurance sector? An empirical analysis based on a panel of developed and developing countries (SSRN Scholarly Paper 3076016). Social Science Research Network. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=3076016
  • Guérineau, S., & Sawadogo, R. (2015, Temmuz 21). On the determinants of life insurance development in Sub-Saharan Africa: The role of the institutions quality in the effect of economic development (s. 33). https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01178838
  • Hwang, T., & Gao, S. (2003). The determinants of the demand for life insurance in an emerging economy – the case of China. Managerial Finance, 29(5/6), 82-96. https://doi.org/10.1108/03074350310768779
  • Indicator Metadata Registry Details. (2024). https://www.who.int/data/gho/indicator-metadata-registry/imr-details/1119
  • Kamaci, A. (2019). Politik istikrarsızlık-ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: 20 OECD ülkesi için panel veri Analizi.
  • Kjosevski, J. (2012). The determinants of life insurance demand in Central and Southeastern Europe. 4(3).
  • Li, D., Moshirian, F., Nguyen, P., & Küçük, T. (2007). The demand for life insurance in OECD countries. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2007.00228.x
  • Mapharing, M., Otuteye, E., & Radikoko, I. (2015). Determinants of demand for life insurance: The case of Canada. Journal of Comparative International Management, 18(2), 1-22.
  • Medeiros Garcia, M. T. (2012). Determinants of the property‐liability insurance market: Evidence from Portugal. Journal of Economic Studies, 39(4), 440-450. https://doi.org/10.1108/01443581211255648
  • Ngwenduna, K., Hayes, M., & Angove, J. (2015). An investigation into life assurance markets in Africa.
  • Orhaner, E. (2013). Sigortacılık. Siyasal Kitabevi.
  • Outreville, J. F. (1996). Life insurance markets in developing countries. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 63(2), 263-278. https://doi.org/10.2307/253745
  • Park, S. C., & Lemaire, J. (2012). The impact of culture on the demand for non-life insurance. ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 42(2), 501-527. https://doi.org/10.2143/AST.42.2.2182806
  • Sen, S., & Madheswaran, S. (2013). Regional determinants of life insurance consumption: Evidence from selected Asian economies. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/apel.12024
  • Sliwinski, A., Michalski, T., & Roszkiewicz, M. (2013). Demand for life insurance—An empirical analysis in the case of Poland. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 38(1), 62-87. https://doi.org/10.1057/gpp.2012.21
  • Şahin, D. (2018). OECD ülkelerinde girişimcilik faaliyetlerinin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkisi: Panel veri analizi. Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 5(3), 81-90. https://doi.org/10.30803/adusobed.410149
  • Transparency International. (2024, Aralık 16). Transparency.Org. https://www.transparency.org/en/
  • Truett, D. B., & Truett, L. J. (1990). The demand for life insurance in Mexico and the United States: A comparative study. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 57(2), 321-328. https://doi.org/10.2307/253306
  • Ward, D., & Zurbruegg, R. (2002). Law, politics and life insurance consumption in Asia. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 27(3), 395-412. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0440.00181
  • WJP Rule of Law Index. (2024). https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index
  • Yaari, M. E. (1965). Uncertain lifetime, life insurance, and the theory of the consumer. The Review of Economic Studies, 32(2), 137-150. https://doi.org/10.2307/2296058
  • Yazıcıoğlu, İ. E. (2024). Sosyoekonomik ve finansal faktörlerin sigorta talebi üzerindeki etkisi. https://acikerisim.karatay.edu.tr/yayin/1751241&dil=0
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2021). Panel veri ekonometrisi (6. bs). Beta Yayıncılık.
  • Yuan, C., & Jiang, Y. (2015). Factors affecting the demand for insurance in China. Applied Economics, 47(45), 4855-4867. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037437
  • Zerriaa, M., & Noubbigh, H. (2016). Determinants of life insurance demand in the MENA region. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 41(3), 491-511. https://doi.org/10.1057/gpp.2016.1

Institutional and Demographic Factors Determining Non-Life Insurance Demand, Evidence from Selected Countries with a Panel Data Analysis

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 3, 1413 - 1431, 25.08.2025
https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.1614259

Öz

This study examines the institutional and demographic factors influencing non-life insurance demand in selected OECD countries. The study's data set consists of annual panel data covering 20 countries for the period 2011-2021. In this context, the aim is to identify institutional and demographic factors (control of corruption, political stability index, rule of law index, urban population ratio, dependency ratio, and education ratio) that may affect the demand for non-life insurance. The classical panel analysis method was appropriate for the estimations and the model was estimated with the Arellano, Froot, and Rogers Estimator. In this respect, the study aims to enrich the insurance demand literature in terms of institutional and demographic determinants. The findings suggest that the rule of law, one of the institutional indicators, has a negative impact on the demand for non-life insurance in the target countries. Moreover, among demographic variables, urban population and education level are positively related to demand. The dependency ratio, on the other hand, has a significant but negative relationship with demand. The study also provides some policy implications for the development of the non-life insurance sector for countries with insurance production above a certain level.

Kaynakça

  • Alhassan, A. L., & Biekpe, N. (2016). Determinants of life insurance consumption in Africa. Research in International Business and Finance, 37, 17-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.10.016
  • Bah, M., & Abila, N. (2022). Institutional determinants of insurance penetration in Africa. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance. Issues and Practice, 1-42. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41288-022-00278-2
  • Beck, T., & Webb, I. (2003). Economic, Demographic, and Institutional Determinants of Life Insurance Consumption across Countries. https://dx.doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhg011
  • Beenstock, M., Dickinson, G., & Khajuria, S. (1986). The determination of life premiums: An international cross-section analysis 1970–1981. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 5(4), 261-270. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-6687(86)90020-X
  • Browne, M. J., & Kim, K. (1993). An International analysis of life insurance demand. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 60(4), 616-634. https://doi.org/10.2307/253382
  • Chang, C.-H., & Lee, C.-C. (2012). Non-linearity between life insurance and economic development: A revisited approach. The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, 37(2), 223-257. https://doi.org/10.1057/grir.2011.10
  • Çınar, M. (2021). Panel veri ekonometrisi. Ekin Yayıncılık.
  • Dragos, S. L., & Dragos, C. M. (2013). The role of institutional factors over the national insurance demand: Theoretical approach and econometric estimations. Transilvanya İdari Bilimler İncelemesi, 9(39), 32-45.
  • Dragos, S. L., Mare, C., & Dragos, C. M. (2019). Institutional drivers of life insurance consumption: A dynamic panel approach for European countries. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 44(1), 36-66. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41288-018-0106-3
  • Dragos, S. L., Mare, C., Dragota, I.-M., Dragos, C. M., & Muresan, G. M. (2017). The nexus between the demand for life insurance and institutional factors in Europe: New evidence from a panel data approach. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 30(1), 1477-1496. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2017.1325764
  • Dünya Bankası Meta Veri Sözlüğü. (2024). https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/worldwide-governance-indicators/series/CC.EST
  • Dünya Kalkınma Göstergeleri | DataBank. (t.y.). Geliş tarihi 24 Aralık 2024, gönderen https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=2&series=SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS&country=
  • Elango, B., & Jones, J. (2011). Drivers of insurance demand in emerging markets. Journal of Service Science Research, 3(2), 185-204. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12927-011-0008-4
  • Erbaş, S. N., & Sayers, L. C. (2006). Institutional quality, knightian uncertainty, and insurability: A cross-country analysis. IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/31/Institutional-Quality-Knightian-Uncertainty-and-Insurability-A-Cross-Country-Analysis-19381
  • Feyen, E., Lester, R. R., & Rocha, R. de R. (2013). What drives the development of the insurance sector? An empirical analysis based on a panel of developed and developing countries (SSRN Scholarly Paper 3076016). Social Science Research Network. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=3076016
  • Guérineau, S., & Sawadogo, R. (2015, Temmuz 21). On the determinants of life insurance development in Sub-Saharan Africa: The role of the institutions quality in the effect of economic development (s. 33). https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01178838
  • Hwang, T., & Gao, S. (2003). The determinants of the demand for life insurance in an emerging economy – the case of China. Managerial Finance, 29(5/6), 82-96. https://doi.org/10.1108/03074350310768779
  • Indicator Metadata Registry Details. (2024). https://www.who.int/data/gho/indicator-metadata-registry/imr-details/1119
  • Kamaci, A. (2019). Politik istikrarsızlık-ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: 20 OECD ülkesi için panel veri Analizi.
  • Kjosevski, J. (2012). The determinants of life insurance demand in Central and Southeastern Europe. 4(3).
  • Li, D., Moshirian, F., Nguyen, P., & Küçük, T. (2007). The demand for life insurance in OECD countries. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2007.00228.x
  • Mapharing, M., Otuteye, E., & Radikoko, I. (2015). Determinants of demand for life insurance: The case of Canada. Journal of Comparative International Management, 18(2), 1-22.
  • Medeiros Garcia, M. T. (2012). Determinants of the property‐liability insurance market: Evidence from Portugal. Journal of Economic Studies, 39(4), 440-450. https://doi.org/10.1108/01443581211255648
  • Ngwenduna, K., Hayes, M., & Angove, J. (2015). An investigation into life assurance markets in Africa.
  • Orhaner, E. (2013). Sigortacılık. Siyasal Kitabevi.
  • Outreville, J. F. (1996). Life insurance markets in developing countries. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 63(2), 263-278. https://doi.org/10.2307/253745
  • Park, S. C., & Lemaire, J. (2012). The impact of culture on the demand for non-life insurance. ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 42(2), 501-527. https://doi.org/10.2143/AST.42.2.2182806
  • Sen, S., & Madheswaran, S. (2013). Regional determinants of life insurance consumption: Evidence from selected Asian economies. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/apel.12024
  • Sliwinski, A., Michalski, T., & Roszkiewicz, M. (2013). Demand for life insurance—An empirical analysis in the case of Poland. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 38(1), 62-87. https://doi.org/10.1057/gpp.2012.21
  • Şahin, D. (2018). OECD ülkelerinde girişimcilik faaliyetlerinin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkisi: Panel veri analizi. Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 5(3), 81-90. https://doi.org/10.30803/adusobed.410149
  • Transparency International. (2024, Aralık 16). Transparency.Org. https://www.transparency.org/en/
  • Truett, D. B., & Truett, L. J. (1990). The demand for life insurance in Mexico and the United States: A comparative study. The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 57(2), 321-328. https://doi.org/10.2307/253306
  • Ward, D., & Zurbruegg, R. (2002). Law, politics and life insurance consumption in Asia. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 27(3), 395-412. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0440.00181
  • WJP Rule of Law Index. (2024). https://worldjusticeproject.org/rule-of-law-index
  • Yaari, M. E. (1965). Uncertain lifetime, life insurance, and the theory of the consumer. The Review of Economic Studies, 32(2), 137-150. https://doi.org/10.2307/2296058
  • Yazıcıoğlu, İ. E. (2024). Sosyoekonomik ve finansal faktörlerin sigorta talebi üzerindeki etkisi. https://acikerisim.karatay.edu.tr/yayin/1751241&dil=0
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2021). Panel veri ekonometrisi (6. bs). Beta Yayıncılık.
  • Yuan, C., & Jiang, Y. (2015). Factors affecting the demand for insurance in China. Applied Economics, 47(45), 4855-4867. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037437
  • Zerriaa, M., & Noubbigh, H. (2016). Determinants of life insurance demand in the MENA region. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 41(3), 491-511. https://doi.org/10.1057/gpp.2016.1
Toplam 39 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Panel Veri Analizi , Bankacılık ve Sigortacılık (Diğer)
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

İsabet Ebru Yazıcıoğlu 0000-0002-2560-1174

Yayımlanma Tarihi 25 Ağustos 2025
Gönderilme Tarihi 6 Ocak 2025
Kabul Tarihi 8 Nisan 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Yazıcıoğlu, İ. E. (2025). Hayat Dışı Sigorta Talebini Belirleyen Kurumsal ve Demografik Faktörler. Panel Veri Analizi ile Seçilmiş Ülkelerden Kanıtlar. Fiscaoeconomia, 9(3), 1413-1431. https://doi.org/10.25295/fsecon.1614259

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