MINT Ülkelerinde Enerji Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Panel Nedensellik Analizi

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 369 - 378, 24.07.2019

Ali Altıner

Öz

Bu çalışmada, MINT ülkelerinde enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik
büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin incelenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Bu kapsamda, 1971-2014
dönemine ait yıllık veriler kullanılarak panel veri analizi yapılmıştır.
Ampirik analiz kısmında, Emirmahmutoğlu ve Köse (2011) tarafından geliştirilen
Granger nedensellik testi uygulanmıştır. Tüm panel için uygulanan nedensellik
testi sonuçlarına göre, enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme arasında herhangi
nedensellik ilişkisinin olmadığı belirlenmiştir. Bu sonuçlara göre, MINT
ülkelerinde yansızlık hipotezinin geçerli olduğu görülmüştür. Ülkelere özgü
nedensellik testi sonuçları ise Meksika’da ekonomik büyümeden enerji tüketimine
doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi olduğunu göstermiştir. Ancak Endonezya ve
Nijerya ve Türkiye’de herhangi bir nedensellik ilişkisi bulunamamıştır. Bu
bulgular ışığında, Meksika’da “koruma hipotezinin”,  diğer ülkelerde ise “yansızlık hipotezinin”
geçerli olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Enerji Tüketimi, Ekonomik Büyüme, MINT ülkeleri, Panel Veri Analizi

The Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in MINT Countries: Panel Causality Analysis

Öz

In this study, it is aimed to
examine the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in MINT
countries. In this context, panel data analysis was carried out using annual
data for 1971-2014 period. In the empirical analysis section, the Granger
causality test developed by Emirmahmutoğlu and Köse (2011) was applied. According to the results of the causality test applied to the all panel, it
is determined that there is no causality relationship between energy
consumption and economic growth. According to these results, “neutrality
hypothesis” is valid in MINT countries. Country-specific causality test results
showed that there is a one way causality relationship from economic growth to
energy consumption in Mexico. However, no causality relationship has been found
in the Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey. In the light of these findings, it was
reached that “conservation hypothesis” is valid in Mexico whereas “neutrality
hypothesis” is valid in other countries. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, MINT Countries, Panel Data Analysis.

Kaynakça

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