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Kuzey Kore’nin Rejim Güvenliğinde Nükleer Silahların Rolü Üstüne

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 17 Sayı: 40, 767 - 794, 01.12.2021
https://doi.org/10.17752/guvenlikstrtj.1029856

Öz

Kuzey Kore, öncelikli amacı rejim güvenliğini sağlamak olan nükleer silahlara sahip bir devlettir. Nükleer silahlara rejim güvenliğinin destekleyici bir unsuru olarak önem veren Kuzey Kore, 2006 yılında ilk nükleer denemesini gerçekleştirmeden önce de rejim güvenliğini sağlayabilmiştir. Bu çalışmada, Kuzey Kore’nin rejim güvenliğini sağlayan unsurlar, ideolojik siyasi kültürünün temeli olan Juche ve askerî politikası olan Songun kavramları üzerinden açıklanmaktadır. Çalışma, Kuzey Kore’nin rejim güvenliğinin sağlanmasında nükleer kapasitenin asli değil tali bir unsur olduğunu iddia etmektedir. Kuzey Kore’nin nükleer silahlara sahip olmadan önce de rejim güvenliğini sağlamış olması, nükleer kapasitesi olmadan da rejimin varlığını sürdürebileceğinin en önemli göstergesidir. Bununla beraber, Kuzey Kore siyasi ve ideolojik sistemi göz önünde bulundurulduğunda, nükleer silahların rejim güvenliğinde büyük önem taşıyan, tamamlayıcı ve destekleyici bir konuma sahip olduğu görülmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • ARMSTRONG, Charles K. The North Korean Revolution, 1945–1950, Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2003.
  • AYOOB, Mohammed The Third World Security Predicament: State Making, Regional Conflict and the International System, Boulder, CO: Lynne Reiner, 1995.
  • AYOOB, Mohammed Security in the Third World: The Worm About to Turn?, International Affairs, Vol. 60, No. 1 (Winter 1983– 1984).
  • COLLİNS, Alan Contemporary Security Studies, Oxford University Press, 2016.
  • GEERTZ, Clifford The Interpretation of Cultures, New York: Basic Books, 1974.
  • HAGGARD, Stephan and Marcus Noland, Famine in North Korea: Markets, Aid, and Reform, New York: Columbia University Press, 2007.
  • HUNTER, Helen-Louise Kim Il-song’s North Korea, Westport, Conn: Praeger, 1999.
  • JOB, Brian L. The Insecurity Dilemma: National, Regime, and State Securities in the Third World, Lynne Rienner Publication, 1992.
  • KİM, Sung Chull Michael D. Cohen, North Korea and Nuclear Weapons, Georgetown University Press, 2017.
  • LANKOV, Andrei North of the DMZ: Essays On Daily Life On North Korea, Jefferson and London: Mcfarland, 2007.
  • MİCHİSHİTA, Narushige, North Korea’s Millitary Diplomatic Campaigns 1966-2008, Routledge Taylor and Francis Group, 2010.
  • MİGDAL, Joel S. Strong Societies and Weak States; State-Society Relations And State Capabilities In The Third World, Princton University Press, 1988.
  • PİRİNÇÇİ, Ferhat Silahlanma ve Savaş: Ortadoğu’daki Silahlanma Girişimlerinin Küresel ve Bölgesel Güvenliğe Etkisi, Dora Yayın Dağıtım, 1. Baskı, 2010.
  • RİCHARSON, Sharon Perspectives on U.S. Policy Toward North Korea: Stalemate Or Checkmate?, Lexington Books, 2006.
  • WEBER, Marx The Theory of Social and Economic Organization, NY: Oxford University Press, 1947.
  • CUMİNGS, Bruce “The Corporate State in North Korea,” in Hagen Koo, ed., State and Society in Contemporary Korea, Cornell University Press, 1993.
  • JACKSON, Richard “Regime Security”, in Alan Collins (ed.), Contemporary Security Studies, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007.
  • KİM, Samuel S. “Introduction: A Systems Approach,” in Kim, ed., The North Korean System in the Post–Cold War Era, New York: Palgrave, 2001.
  • SAGAN, Scott D. “Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons?: Three Models in Search of a Bomb”, International Security, Vol. 21, No. 3. (Winter, 1996-1997).
  • OH, Kongdan and Ralph C. Hassig, “DPRK’s Socialist Constitution (Full Text),” Unofficial translation published by The People’s Korea, no. 1825 (September 19, 1998), in North Korea Through The Looking Glass, 2000.
  • ALBERT, Eleanor “North Korea’s Millitary Capabilities”, Council On Foreign Relations, 2019.
  • BAKER, Gideon “The Taming of the Idea of Civil Society,” Democratization, Vol. 6, No. 3 (Autumn 1999).
  • BERMUDEZ Jr., Joseph S. “North Korea’s Development Of a Nuclear Weapons Strategy”, Us-Korea Institute at Sais.
  • BERMUDEZ, Joseph S. “A history of ballistic misile development in North Korea”, Occasional Paper, No.2, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, California, February, 2000.
  • BERMUDEZ JR., Joseph S. “A History Of Ballistic Missile Development in The DPRK”, Center For Nonproliferation Studies, 1999.
  • BYMAN, Daniel Jennifer Lind; “Pyongyang’s Survival Strategy”, International Security, Vol. 35, No. 1 (Summer 2010).
  • GERTZ, Bill “Iran-Syria Deal Revealed as Scuds Near Gulf Ports,” Washington Times, March 10, 1992.
  • KOBLENTZ, Gregory D. “Regime Security: A New Theory For Understanding The Proliferation Of Chemical and Biological Weapons”, Contemporary Security Policy, Francis and Taylor, 2013.
  • KİM, Ilpyong J. Historical Dictionary of North Korea, The Scarecrow Press Inc. Lanham, Marylanda and Oxford; 2003.
  • MESQUİTA, Bruce Bueno de and George W. Downs, “Democracy and Development,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 84, No. 5 (September/October 2005).
  • SMİTH, Shane “North Korea’s Evolving Nuclear Strategy”, North Korea’s Nuclear Future Series, US-Korea İnstitute at SAİS, August 2015.
  • SNYDER, Scott A. “The Motivations Behind North Korea’s Pursuit of Simultenous Economic and Nuclear Development”, Council On Foreign Relations, 20 November 2013.
  • BEASLEY, Matthew “Regime Security Theory: Why Do States With No Clear Strategic Security Concerns Obtain Nuclear Weapons?”, University Of Oregon, 2009.
  • CUMİNGS, Bruce “Why Didn’t North Korea Collapse, and Why Did So Many Influential Americans Think It Would?” paper presented at the conference “Why Communism Didn’t Collapse”, 19–20; and Lankov, North of the DMZ, 45–49.
  • GEDDES, Barbara “What Do We Know about Democratization after Twenty Years? “ Annual Review of Political Science, (1999).
  • HUXSOLL, David Baker “Regimes, İnstitutions and Foreign Policy Change”, Louisiana State University, 2003.
  • KANTO, Dick K. “North Korea: Chronology Of Provocations, 1950-2003” , Report For Congress, 2003.
  • WARDEN, John K. “North Korea’s Nuclear Posture: An Evolving Challange For US Deterrence”, Proliferation Papers, İFRİ, March 2017.
  • “Information Circular (INFCIRC/140): Treaty On The Non-Proliferation Of Nuclear Weapons”, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), 22 Nisan 1970, https://www.iaea.org/ sites/default/files/publications/documents/infcircs/1970/infcirc140.pdf (Erişim Tarihi: 10.01.2021).
  • https://www.un.org/disarmament/wmd/nuclear/npt/text (Erişim Tarihi: 10.01.2021).
  • “Statement of DPRK Government on its withdrawal from NPT” http://www.kcna.co.jp/ item/2003/200301/news01/11.htm (Erişim Tarihi: 10.01.2021).
  • HAN S.Park, “Military First Politics (Songun): Understanding Kim Jong-il’s North Korea”, Academic paper series, Korea Economic Institute, 2007, ss. 1-5 https://keia.org/ publication/military-first-politics-songun-understanding-kim-jong-ils-north-korea/ (Erişim Tarihi: 16.06.2021).
  • https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/dprk/songun-chongchi.htm (Erişim Tarihi: 21.01.2021).
  • SIPRI, http://armstrade.sipri.org/armstrade/page/trade_register.php (Erişim Tarihi: 24.03.2021).
  • VORONTSOV Alexander, “North Korea’s Military First Policy: A Curse or a Blessing?”, 2006 https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/north-koreas-military-first-policy-a-curse-or-a-blessing/ (Erişim Tarihi: 16.06.2021).
  • WERTZ Daniel, “Denuclearization of Korean Peninsula Is DPRK’s Invariable Stand,” Korean Central News Agency, September 29, 2013 https://www.ncnk.org/resources/briefing-papers/all-briefing-papers/history-u.s.-dprk-relations (ErişimTarihi:17.01.2021).

On the Role of Nuclear Weapons in North Korea’s Regime Security

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 17 Sayı: 40, 767 - 794, 01.12.2021
https://doi.org/10.17752/guvenlikstrtj.1029856

Öz

North Korea is a nuclear weapon possessor state whose priority goal is regime security. As a state giving importance to nuclear weapons as a supportive element of regime security, North Korea was able to provide regime security before conducting its first nuclear test in 2006. In this study, the elements that ensure the regime security of North Korea are explained through the concepts of Juche, which is the basis of its ideological political culture, and Songun, which is its military policy. The study argues that nuclear capacity is not the key element to ensure North Korea’s regime security yet the secondary element. The most important indicator that the regime can survive without its nuclear capacity is the fact that North Korea has ensured regime security before it has nuclear weapons. Nevertheless, considering the political and ideological system of North Korea, it is seen that nuclear weapons have a great important, complementary and supportive position in regime security.

Kaynakça

  • ARMSTRONG, Charles K. The North Korean Revolution, 1945–1950, Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 2003.
  • AYOOB, Mohammed The Third World Security Predicament: State Making, Regional Conflict and the International System, Boulder, CO: Lynne Reiner, 1995.
  • AYOOB, Mohammed Security in the Third World: The Worm About to Turn?, International Affairs, Vol. 60, No. 1 (Winter 1983– 1984).
  • COLLİNS, Alan Contemporary Security Studies, Oxford University Press, 2016.
  • GEERTZ, Clifford The Interpretation of Cultures, New York: Basic Books, 1974.
  • HAGGARD, Stephan and Marcus Noland, Famine in North Korea: Markets, Aid, and Reform, New York: Columbia University Press, 2007.
  • HUNTER, Helen-Louise Kim Il-song’s North Korea, Westport, Conn: Praeger, 1999.
  • JOB, Brian L. The Insecurity Dilemma: National, Regime, and State Securities in the Third World, Lynne Rienner Publication, 1992.
  • KİM, Sung Chull Michael D. Cohen, North Korea and Nuclear Weapons, Georgetown University Press, 2017.
  • LANKOV, Andrei North of the DMZ: Essays On Daily Life On North Korea, Jefferson and London: Mcfarland, 2007.
  • MİCHİSHİTA, Narushige, North Korea’s Millitary Diplomatic Campaigns 1966-2008, Routledge Taylor and Francis Group, 2010.
  • MİGDAL, Joel S. Strong Societies and Weak States; State-Society Relations And State Capabilities In The Third World, Princton University Press, 1988.
  • PİRİNÇÇİ, Ferhat Silahlanma ve Savaş: Ortadoğu’daki Silahlanma Girişimlerinin Küresel ve Bölgesel Güvenliğe Etkisi, Dora Yayın Dağıtım, 1. Baskı, 2010.
  • RİCHARSON, Sharon Perspectives on U.S. Policy Toward North Korea: Stalemate Or Checkmate?, Lexington Books, 2006.
  • WEBER, Marx The Theory of Social and Economic Organization, NY: Oxford University Press, 1947.
  • CUMİNGS, Bruce “The Corporate State in North Korea,” in Hagen Koo, ed., State and Society in Contemporary Korea, Cornell University Press, 1993.
  • JACKSON, Richard “Regime Security”, in Alan Collins (ed.), Contemporary Security Studies, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007.
  • KİM, Samuel S. “Introduction: A Systems Approach,” in Kim, ed., The North Korean System in the Post–Cold War Era, New York: Palgrave, 2001.
  • SAGAN, Scott D. “Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons?: Three Models in Search of a Bomb”, International Security, Vol. 21, No. 3. (Winter, 1996-1997).
  • OH, Kongdan and Ralph C. Hassig, “DPRK’s Socialist Constitution (Full Text),” Unofficial translation published by The People’s Korea, no. 1825 (September 19, 1998), in North Korea Through The Looking Glass, 2000.
  • ALBERT, Eleanor “North Korea’s Millitary Capabilities”, Council On Foreign Relations, 2019.
  • BAKER, Gideon “The Taming of the Idea of Civil Society,” Democratization, Vol. 6, No. 3 (Autumn 1999).
  • BERMUDEZ Jr., Joseph S. “North Korea’s Development Of a Nuclear Weapons Strategy”, Us-Korea Institute at Sais.
  • BERMUDEZ, Joseph S. “A history of ballistic misile development in North Korea”, Occasional Paper, No.2, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, California, February, 2000.
  • BERMUDEZ JR., Joseph S. “A History Of Ballistic Missile Development in The DPRK”, Center For Nonproliferation Studies, 1999.
  • BYMAN, Daniel Jennifer Lind; “Pyongyang’s Survival Strategy”, International Security, Vol. 35, No. 1 (Summer 2010).
  • GERTZ, Bill “Iran-Syria Deal Revealed as Scuds Near Gulf Ports,” Washington Times, March 10, 1992.
  • KOBLENTZ, Gregory D. “Regime Security: A New Theory For Understanding The Proliferation Of Chemical and Biological Weapons”, Contemporary Security Policy, Francis and Taylor, 2013.
  • KİM, Ilpyong J. Historical Dictionary of North Korea, The Scarecrow Press Inc. Lanham, Marylanda and Oxford; 2003.
  • MESQUİTA, Bruce Bueno de and George W. Downs, “Democracy and Development,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 84, No. 5 (September/October 2005).
  • SMİTH, Shane “North Korea’s Evolving Nuclear Strategy”, North Korea’s Nuclear Future Series, US-Korea İnstitute at SAİS, August 2015.
  • SNYDER, Scott A. “The Motivations Behind North Korea’s Pursuit of Simultenous Economic and Nuclear Development”, Council On Foreign Relations, 20 November 2013.
  • BEASLEY, Matthew “Regime Security Theory: Why Do States With No Clear Strategic Security Concerns Obtain Nuclear Weapons?”, University Of Oregon, 2009.
  • CUMİNGS, Bruce “Why Didn’t North Korea Collapse, and Why Did So Many Influential Americans Think It Would?” paper presented at the conference “Why Communism Didn’t Collapse”, 19–20; and Lankov, North of the DMZ, 45–49.
  • GEDDES, Barbara “What Do We Know about Democratization after Twenty Years? “ Annual Review of Political Science, (1999).
  • HUXSOLL, David Baker “Regimes, İnstitutions and Foreign Policy Change”, Louisiana State University, 2003.
  • KANTO, Dick K. “North Korea: Chronology Of Provocations, 1950-2003” , Report For Congress, 2003.
  • WARDEN, John K. “North Korea’s Nuclear Posture: An Evolving Challange For US Deterrence”, Proliferation Papers, İFRİ, March 2017.
  • “Information Circular (INFCIRC/140): Treaty On The Non-Proliferation Of Nuclear Weapons”, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), 22 Nisan 1970, https://www.iaea.org/ sites/default/files/publications/documents/infcircs/1970/infcirc140.pdf (Erişim Tarihi: 10.01.2021).
  • https://www.un.org/disarmament/wmd/nuclear/npt/text (Erişim Tarihi: 10.01.2021).
  • “Statement of DPRK Government on its withdrawal from NPT” http://www.kcna.co.jp/ item/2003/200301/news01/11.htm (Erişim Tarihi: 10.01.2021).
  • HAN S.Park, “Military First Politics (Songun): Understanding Kim Jong-il’s North Korea”, Academic paper series, Korea Economic Institute, 2007, ss. 1-5 https://keia.org/ publication/military-first-politics-songun-understanding-kim-jong-ils-north-korea/ (Erişim Tarihi: 16.06.2021).
  • https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/dprk/songun-chongchi.htm (Erişim Tarihi: 21.01.2021).
  • SIPRI, http://armstrade.sipri.org/armstrade/page/trade_register.php (Erişim Tarihi: 24.03.2021).
  • VORONTSOV Alexander, “North Korea’s Military First Policy: A Curse or a Blessing?”, 2006 https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/north-koreas-military-first-policy-a-curse-or-a-blessing/ (Erişim Tarihi: 16.06.2021).
  • WERTZ Daniel, “Denuclearization of Korean Peninsula Is DPRK’s Invariable Stand,” Korean Central News Agency, September 29, 2013 https://www.ncnk.org/resources/briefing-papers/all-briefing-papers/history-u.s.-dprk-relations (ErişimTarihi:17.01.2021).
Toplam 46 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Yasemin Çokgüçlü Bu kişi benim 0000-0002-3695-088X

Ferhat Pirinççi Bu kişi benim 0000-0001-5495-5425

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Aralık 2021
Gönderilme Tarihi 16 Nisan 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 17 Sayı: 40

Kaynak Göster

Chicago Çokgüçlü, Yasemin, ve Ferhat Pirinççi. “Kuzey Kore’nin Rejim Güvenliğinde Nükleer Silahların Rolü Üstüne”. Güvenlik Stratejileri Dergisi 17, sy. 40 (Aralık 2021): 767-94. https://doi.org/10.17752/guvenlikstrtj.1029856.