Şanghay İşbirliği Örgütü Ülkelerinde Makroekonomik Göstergelerin İhracat Rekabet Gücüne Etkisi

Öz

Çalışmanın amacı Şanghay İşbirliği Örgütü (ŞİÖ) üyesi ülkelerinin ihracat rekabet gücünü etkileyen makroekonomik göstergelerin saptanmasıdır. 2000-2017 dönemini kapsayan çalışmada, ülkelerin ihracat rekabet gücünün saptanması için Balassa indeksi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmada, çeşitli makroekonomik göstergelerin ŞİÖ ülkelerinin ihracat rekabet gücü üzerindeki etkisi AMG tahmincisi kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, sadece cari açık değişkeni yakıt ürün grupları dışındaki ham maddelerin rekabet gücü üzerinde olumsuz yönde etkilidir. Başlıca imalat mallarının ihracat rekabet gücü üzerinde ise sadece kişi başına düşen gelir değişkeni olumsuz yönde etkilidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Şanghay İşbirliği Örgütü
• İhracat Rekabet Gücü
• AMG Tahmincisi

Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Export Competitiveness in Shanghai Cooperation Organization Countries

Öz

The aim of the study is to determine macroeconomic indicators affecting export competitiveness of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) countries. In the study covering the period 2000-2017, Balassa index was used to determine the export competitiveness of these countries. In the study, the effect of various macroeconomic indicators on export competitiveness of the SCO countries was analyzed using the AMG estimator. According to the results, only the current account deficit variable has negative effect on the competitiveness of crude materials except fuels product groups. Only the per capita income variable has a negative effect on the export competitiveness of the main manufacturing goods.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Shanghai Cooperation Organization
• Export Competitiveness
• AMG Estimator

Kaynakça

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