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Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Küresel Değer Zincirlerinin Belirleyicileri

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 39 Sayı: 3, 675 - 697, 04.09.2024
https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1380031

Öz

Üretimin ve ticaretin ülkeler arasında bölüşülmesi ve bu bölüşümden daha yüksek pay almak isteyenler ülkelerin karşılaştırmalı üstünlüklere dayanacak şekilde uzmanlaşmaya gitmeleri küresel ekonomide büyük önem arz etmektedir. Küresel üretimin, ülkelerin uzmanlık derecelerine göre farklı ülkelerde gerçekleştirilmesi durumu, küresel değer zincirleri terimi ile açıklanmaktadır. Küresel değer zincirlerinin ülke ekonomilerinde yarattığı avantaj ve dezavantajların akademik çalışmalarla incelenmesi uluslararası ticaret yazını açısından değer taşımaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, sekiz gelişmekte olan ülkede geriye ve ileriye dönük küresel değer zincirlerine katılımın belirleyicileri ile olan ilişkilerini panel veri analizi ile test etmektir. Elde edilen bulgular, sekiz ülkenin Dünya Bankası tarafından belirtilen dört farklı aşamadan birinci ve ikinci aşamayı (hammadde temini ve sınırlı imalat işlemleri) tamamlayarak ileri düzeyde imalat işlemlerine geçiş yaptığını göstermektedir. Bu ülkelerin iyi eğitimli işgücü, teknolojik gelişme, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve politik istikrarı geliştirmek koşuluyla ileri düzeyde uzmanlaşma düzeyine erişebileceği düşünülmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • Ahmed, S., Appendino, M., Ruta, M. (2017). Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports. The B E Journal of Macroeconomics, 17(1), 1–24.
  • Allard, C., Kriljenko, J.I.C., Chen, W., Gonzalez-Garcia, J., Kitsios, E.; Treviño, J. (2016). Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa in Pursuit of the Missing Link. International Monetary Fund African Department. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/dp/2016/afr1602.pdf; 15.07.2022.
  • Antras, P., Staiger, R.W. (2012). Offshoring and the Role of Trade Agreements. American Economic Review, 102(7), 3140–3183.
  • Antras, P., Gortari, A. (2017). On The Geography of Global Value Chains. NBER Working Paper 23456. http://www.nber.org/papers/w23456; 09.07.2022.
  • Ateş, E., Şanlısoy, S. (2022). Küresel Değer Zincirinin Belirleyicileri. Optimum Ekonomi ve Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, 9(2), 137-152.
  • Baldwin, R., Robert-Nicoud, F. (2014). Trade-in-Goods and Trade-in-Tasks: An Integrating Framework. Journal of International Economics, 92, 51-62.
  • Bamber, P.; Fernandez-Stark, K.; Gereffi, G.; Guinn, A. (2014). Connecting Local Producers in Developing Countries to Regional and Global Value Chains. OECD Trade Policy Papers No. 160. OECD Publishing Paris.
  • Banerjee, B.; Zeman, J. 2020. Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation: Cross- Country Analysis. National Bank of Slovakia. NBS Working Paper 1/2020.
  • Bems, R., Johnson, R.C. (2017). Demand for Value Added and Value-Added Exchange Rates. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 9(4), 45–90.
  • Blanchard, E., Bown, C.P., Johnson, R.C. (2016). Global Supply Chains and Trade Policy. NBER Working Paper, No: 21883.
  • Breusch T. S., Pagan A. R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Buelens, C., Tirpák, M. (2017). Reading the Footprints: How Foreign Investors Shape Countries' Participation in Global Value Chains. Working Paper Series 2060, European Central Bank.
  • Cheng, K., Rehman, S., Seneviratne, D., Zhang, S. (2015). Reaping the Benefits from Global Value Chain. IMF Working Paper WP/15/204. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
  • Choi, N. (2019). Deeper Regional Integration and Global Value Chains. In: Working Paper 19-02, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy.
  • De Backer, K., Miroudot, S. (2013). Mapping Global Value Chains. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 159, OECD Publishing, Paris.
  • Dollar, D., Khan, B., Pei, J. (2019). Should High Domestic Value Added in Exports Be an Objective Of Policy? Global Value Chain Development Report 2019 Technological Innovation, Supply Chain Trade, and Workers in a Globalized World. World Trade Organization.
  • Eegunjobi, R., Ngepah, N. (2022). The Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation in Developing Seafood-Exporting Countries. Fishes 7,186.
  • Erkök, B. (2020). Türkiye Sanayisinin Küresel Değer Zincirine Entegrasyonu. Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi 75(2), 637-666.
  • Fernandes, A., Kee, H.L., Winkler, D. (2022). Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation: Cross-Country Evidence. The World Bank Economic Review, 36(2), 329–360.
  • Ge, Y., Dollar, D., Yu, X. 2020. Institutions and Participation in Global Value Chains: Evidence from Belt and Road Initiative. China Economic Review 61, 101447.
  • Hadri, K., Kurozumi, E. (2012). A Simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Serial Correlation and a Common Factor. Economic Letters, 115, 31–34.
  • Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification Tests in Econometrics. Econometrica, 46, 1251-1271
  • Hummels, D., Ishii, J., Yi, K.M. (2001). The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade. Journal of International Economics, 54(1), 75-96.
  • Ignatenko, A., Raei, F., Mircheva, B. (2019). Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why do Countries Participate? IMF Working Paper WP/19/18.
  • Jangam, B.P., Rath, B.N. (2020). Does Global Value Chain Participation Enhance Domestic Value-Added in Exports? Evidence from Emerging Market Economies. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 26(2), 1681-1694.
  • Kersan-Skabic, I. (2019). The Drivers of Global Value Chain (GVC) Participation in EU Member States. Economic Research ,32(1), 1204-1218.
  • Kowalski, P., Gonzalez, J.LL., Ragoussis, A., Ugarte, C. (2015). Participation of Developing Countries in Global Value Chains: Implications for Trade and Trade-Related Policies. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 179, OECD Publishing, Paris.
  • Lopez-Gonzalez, J. (2012). Vertical Specialization and New Regionalism. PhD thesis, University of Sussex. http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/43255/1/Lopez_Gonzalez%2C_Javier.pdf; 14.07.2022.
  • Obasaju, B. O., Olayiwola, W.K., Okodua, H., Adediran, O.S., Lawal, A.I. (2021). Regional Economic Integration and Economic Upgrading in Global Value Chains: Selected Cases in Africa, Heliyon 7, 06112, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06112.
  • OECD (2022), Erişim Adresi: https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?datasetcode=TIVA_2018_C1.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics Working Paper No: 435.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in The Presence of Cross Section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265–312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., Smith, R. J. (1999). Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94, 621–634.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., Yamagata, T. (2008). A Bias-Adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-Section Independence. Econometrics Journal, 11, 105–127.
  • Taglioni, D., Winkler, D. (2016). Making Global Value Chains Work for Development. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank
  • Tinta, A.A. (2017). The Determinants of Participation in Global Value Chains: The Case of ECOWAS, Cogent Economics & Finance, 5(1), 1389252.
  • Tran T. A.; Phi M. H., Thai L. (2020). Global Value Chains and the Missing Link Between Exchange Rates and Export Diversification. International Economics 164, 194–205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2020.10.001, 2022.
  • Vrh, N. (2018). What Drives the Differences in Domestic Value Added in Exports Between Old and New E.U. Member States? Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 31 (1), 645-663.
  • Westerlund, J. (2006). Testing for Panel Cointegration with Multiple Structural Breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 68, 101–32.
  • World Bank (2020). World Development Report Trading for Development in The Age Of Global Value Chains. Worl Bank Group.
  • WTO-World Trade Organization (2011). Trade Patterns and Global Value Chain in East Asia: From Trade in Goods to Trade in Tasks. Edts. Satoshi Inomata, Hubert Escaith. WTO and IDE-JETRO.
  • WTO-World Trade Organization (2021). World Trade Statistical Review 2021. Erişim Adresi: https://stats.wto.org.
  • WTO-World Trade Organization (2023). Erişim Adresi: https://stats.wto.org, 2023.
  • Ziemann, V., Guerard, B. (2016). Reping The Benefits of Global Value Chains in Turkey. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 1366.

Determinants of the Global Value Chains in Developing Countries

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 39 Sayı: 3, 675 - 697, 04.09.2024
https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1380031

Öz

It is of great importance in the global economy that production and trade be shared among countries, and countries that want to get a higher share from this distribution should specialize based on comparative advantages. The situation in which global production is carried out in different countries according to the degree of specialization of the countries is explained by the term global value chains. Examining the advantages and disadvantages created by global value chains in country economies through academic studies is valuable in terms of international trade literature. The aim of this study is to test the relationships between backward and forward global value chain participation and its determinants in eight developing countries through panel data analysis. The findings show that eight countries have transitioned to advanced manufacturing processes by completing the first and second stages (raw material supply and limited manufacturing operations) of the four different stages specified by the World Bank. It is thought that these countries can reach an advanced level of specialization, provided that they develop skilled labor, technological development, foreign direct investments, and political stability.

Kaynakça

  • Ahmed, S., Appendino, M., Ruta, M. (2017). Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports. The B E Journal of Macroeconomics, 17(1), 1–24.
  • Allard, C., Kriljenko, J.I.C., Chen, W., Gonzalez-Garcia, J., Kitsios, E.; Treviño, J. (2016). Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa in Pursuit of the Missing Link. International Monetary Fund African Department. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/dp/2016/afr1602.pdf; 15.07.2022.
  • Antras, P., Staiger, R.W. (2012). Offshoring and the Role of Trade Agreements. American Economic Review, 102(7), 3140–3183.
  • Antras, P., Gortari, A. (2017). On The Geography of Global Value Chains. NBER Working Paper 23456. http://www.nber.org/papers/w23456; 09.07.2022.
  • Ateş, E., Şanlısoy, S. (2022). Küresel Değer Zincirinin Belirleyicileri. Optimum Ekonomi ve Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, 9(2), 137-152.
  • Baldwin, R., Robert-Nicoud, F. (2014). Trade-in-Goods and Trade-in-Tasks: An Integrating Framework. Journal of International Economics, 92, 51-62.
  • Bamber, P.; Fernandez-Stark, K.; Gereffi, G.; Guinn, A. (2014). Connecting Local Producers in Developing Countries to Regional and Global Value Chains. OECD Trade Policy Papers No. 160. OECD Publishing Paris.
  • Banerjee, B.; Zeman, J. 2020. Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation: Cross- Country Analysis. National Bank of Slovakia. NBS Working Paper 1/2020.
  • Bems, R., Johnson, R.C. (2017). Demand for Value Added and Value-Added Exchange Rates. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 9(4), 45–90.
  • Blanchard, E., Bown, C.P., Johnson, R.C. (2016). Global Supply Chains and Trade Policy. NBER Working Paper, No: 21883.
  • Breusch T. S., Pagan A. R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Buelens, C., Tirpák, M. (2017). Reading the Footprints: How Foreign Investors Shape Countries' Participation in Global Value Chains. Working Paper Series 2060, European Central Bank.
  • Cheng, K., Rehman, S., Seneviratne, D., Zhang, S. (2015). Reaping the Benefits from Global Value Chain. IMF Working Paper WP/15/204. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.
  • Choi, N. (2019). Deeper Regional Integration and Global Value Chains. In: Working Paper 19-02, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy.
  • De Backer, K., Miroudot, S. (2013). Mapping Global Value Chains. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 159, OECD Publishing, Paris.
  • Dollar, D., Khan, B., Pei, J. (2019). Should High Domestic Value Added in Exports Be an Objective Of Policy? Global Value Chain Development Report 2019 Technological Innovation, Supply Chain Trade, and Workers in a Globalized World. World Trade Organization.
  • Eegunjobi, R., Ngepah, N. (2022). The Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation in Developing Seafood-Exporting Countries. Fishes 7,186.
  • Erkök, B. (2020). Türkiye Sanayisinin Küresel Değer Zincirine Entegrasyonu. Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi 75(2), 637-666.
  • Fernandes, A., Kee, H.L., Winkler, D. (2022). Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation: Cross-Country Evidence. The World Bank Economic Review, 36(2), 329–360.
  • Ge, Y., Dollar, D., Yu, X. 2020. Institutions and Participation in Global Value Chains: Evidence from Belt and Road Initiative. China Economic Review 61, 101447.
  • Hadri, K., Kurozumi, E. (2012). A Simple Panel Stationarity Test in the Presence of Serial Correlation and a Common Factor. Economic Letters, 115, 31–34.
  • Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification Tests in Econometrics. Econometrica, 46, 1251-1271
  • Hummels, D., Ishii, J., Yi, K.M. (2001). The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade. Journal of International Economics, 54(1), 75-96.
  • Ignatenko, A., Raei, F., Mircheva, B. (2019). Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why do Countries Participate? IMF Working Paper WP/19/18.
  • Jangam, B.P., Rath, B.N. (2020). Does Global Value Chain Participation Enhance Domestic Value-Added in Exports? Evidence from Emerging Market Economies. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 26(2), 1681-1694.
  • Kersan-Skabic, I. (2019). The Drivers of Global Value Chain (GVC) Participation in EU Member States. Economic Research ,32(1), 1204-1218.
  • Kowalski, P., Gonzalez, J.LL., Ragoussis, A., Ugarte, C. (2015). Participation of Developing Countries in Global Value Chains: Implications for Trade and Trade-Related Policies. OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 179, OECD Publishing, Paris.
  • Lopez-Gonzalez, J. (2012). Vertical Specialization and New Regionalism. PhD thesis, University of Sussex. http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/id/eprint/43255/1/Lopez_Gonzalez%2C_Javier.pdf; 14.07.2022.
  • Obasaju, B. O., Olayiwola, W.K., Okodua, H., Adediran, O.S., Lawal, A.I. (2021). Regional Economic Integration and Economic Upgrading in Global Value Chains: Selected Cases in Africa, Heliyon 7, 06112, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06112.
  • OECD (2022), Erişim Adresi: https://stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?datasetcode=TIVA_2018_C1.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics Working Paper No: 435.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in The Presence of Cross Section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265–312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., Smith, R. J. (1999). Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94, 621–634.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., Yamagata, T. (2008). A Bias-Adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-Section Independence. Econometrics Journal, 11, 105–127.
  • Taglioni, D., Winkler, D. (2016). Making Global Value Chains Work for Development. International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank
  • Tinta, A.A. (2017). The Determinants of Participation in Global Value Chains: The Case of ECOWAS, Cogent Economics & Finance, 5(1), 1389252.
  • Tran T. A.; Phi M. H., Thai L. (2020). Global Value Chains and the Missing Link Between Exchange Rates and Export Diversification. International Economics 164, 194–205. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inteco.2020.10.001, 2022.
  • Vrh, N. (2018). What Drives the Differences in Domestic Value Added in Exports Between Old and New E.U. Member States? Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 31 (1), 645-663.
  • Westerlund, J. (2006). Testing for Panel Cointegration with Multiple Structural Breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 68, 101–32.
  • World Bank (2020). World Development Report Trading for Development in The Age Of Global Value Chains. Worl Bank Group.
  • WTO-World Trade Organization (2011). Trade Patterns and Global Value Chain in East Asia: From Trade in Goods to Trade in Tasks. Edts. Satoshi Inomata, Hubert Escaith. WTO and IDE-JETRO.
  • WTO-World Trade Organization (2021). World Trade Statistical Review 2021. Erişim Adresi: https://stats.wto.org.
  • WTO-World Trade Organization (2023). Erişim Adresi: https://stats.wto.org, 2023.
  • Ziemann, V., Guerard, B. (2016). Reping The Benefits of Global Value Chains in Turkey. OECD Economics Department Working Papers No. 1366.
Toplam 44 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Uluslararası İktisat (Diğer)
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Mine Yılmazer 0000-0001-8674-792X

Serkan Çınar 0000-0002-5633-1832

Hatice Duva 0009-0003-9709-5586

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 9 Temmuz 2024
Yayımlanma Tarihi 4 Eylül 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 23 Ekim 2023
Kabul Tarihi 13 Şubat 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 39 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Yılmazer, M., Çınar, S., & Duva, H. (2024). Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Küresel Değer Zincirlerinin Belirleyicileri. İzmir İktisat Dergisi, 39(3), 675-697. https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1380031

İzmir İktisat Dergisi
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tarafından taranmaktadır.

Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Yayınevi Web Sitesi
https://kutuphane.deu.edu.tr/yayinevi/

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https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ije/contacts


İZMİR İKTİSAT DERGİSİ 2022 yılı 37. cilt 1. sayı ile birlikte sadece elektronik olarak yayınlanmaya başlamıştır.