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Energy Supply Security Performance Analysis of European Union Countries

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 21 Sayı: 3, 833 - 861, 30.09.2025

Öz

This study aims to evaluate the energy supply security performance of EU member countries. COPRAS, a multi-criteria decision making technique, was used to rank EU countries from low to high risk in terms of energy supply security performance. Various criteria were determined to compare the energy supply security performance of 27 EU countries for the years 2020, 2021, and 2022. The criteria used in the study are; energy imports dependency, diversity index of energy supply, share of energy from renewable sources, share of fossil fuels in gross available energy, energy intensity, energy productivity, and energy efficiency. The analysis performed reveals a relative rank compared to the member countries, not an absolute rank. Estonia has the highest energy supply security performance compared to other EU member countries in all of these years. Other countries with high energy supply security performance are Sweden, Latvia, Romania, Denmark, and Slovenia. The countries with the lowest energy supply security performance are Malta, Greece, Belgium, Italy, the Netherlands, Lithuania, Spain, the Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus, and Ireland. According to empirical findings, the energy supply security performance rankings for 2020, 2021, and 2022 are generally similar.

Kaynakça

  • Alidrisi, H., & Al-Sasi, B. O. (2017). Utilization of energy sources by G20 countries: A TOPSIS-BASED approach. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 12(11), 964–970. https://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2017.1336812
  • An, Y., Tan, X., Gu, B., Zhu, K., Shi, L., & Ding, Z. (2023). An assessment of renewable energy development in Belt and Road Initiative countries: An entropy and TOPSIS approach. Energy Reports, 10, 3545–3560. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.09.085
  • APERC (2007). A quest for energy security in the 21st century: Resources and constraints. Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, Institute of Energy Economics, Tokyo.
  • Aytekin, A. (2022). Energy, environment, and sustainability: A multi-criteria evaluation of countries. Strategic Planning for Energy and the Environment, 41(3), 281–316. https://doi.org/10.13052/spee1048-5236.4133
  • Bączkiewicz, A., & Wątróbski, J. (2022). Multi-criteria temporal assessment of afordable and clean energy systems in European countries using the DARIA-TOPSIS method. Procedia Computer Science, 207, 4442–4453. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2022.09.508
  • Birol, Y. E. (2015). Avrupa Birliği ülkelerinde ve Türkiye’de enerji ekonomisi: Karşılaştırmalı bir analiz (Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi). Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Sivas.
  • Birol, Y. E. (2019). Avrupa Birliği enerji arz güvenliği politikası. İstanbul: Kriter Yayınevi.
  • Birol, Y. E. (2021). Doğal gaz arz güvenliği açısından Avrupa Birliği ülkeleri ve Türkiye üzerine karşılaştırmalı bir analiz. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 44, 451–467. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.940976
  • Birol, Y. E., & Demirgil, B. (2022). Rüzgâr enerjisi üretimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: AB-15 ülkeleri için bir panel veri analizi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 61, 305–327. https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.952820
  • Blyth, W., & Lefevre, N. (2004). Energy security and climate change policy interactions: An assessment framework. IEA Information Paper, International Energy Agency, Paris.
  • Brodny, J., & Tutak, M. (2021). Assessing sustainable energy development in the central and eastern European countries and analyzing its diversity. Science of the Total Environment, 801, 149745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149745
  • Brodny, J., & Tutak, M. (2023). Assessing the energy security of European Union countries from two perspectives–A new integrated approach based on MCDM methods. Applied Energy, 347, 121443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121443
  • Cabalu, H. (2010). Indicators of security of natural gas supply in Asia. Energy Policy, 38(1), 218–225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.09.008
  • Cabeça, A. S., Henriques, C. O., Figueira, J. R., & Silva, C. S. (2021). A multicriteria classification approach for assessing the current governance capacities on energy efficiency in the European Union. Energy Policy, 148,(Part A), 111946. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111946
  • Cherp, A., & Jewell, J. (2014). The concept of energy security: Beyond the four As. Energy Policy, 75, 415–421. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.09.005
  • Costantini, V., Gracceva, F., Markandya, A., & Vicini, G. (2007). Security of energy supply: Comparing scenarios from a European perspective. Energy Policy, 35(1), 210–226. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2005.11.002
  • Cucchiella, F., D’Adamo, I., Gastaldi, M., Koh, S. L., & Rosa, P. (2017). A comparison of environmental and energetic performance of European countries: A sustainability index. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 78, 401–413. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.077
  • Demirgil, B., & Birol, Y. E. (2020). Yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye için bir Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik analizi. Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 21(1), 68–83. https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.671591
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AVRUPA BİRLİĞİ ÜLKELERİNİN ENERJİ ARZ GÜVENLİĞİ PERFORMANS ANALİZİ

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 21 Sayı: 3, 833 - 861, 30.09.2025

Öz

Bu çalışmada AB üyesi ülkelerin enerji arz güvenliği performansının değerlendirilmesi amaçlanmıştır. AB ülkelerinin enerji arz güvenliği performansı açısından düşük riskten yüksek riske doğru sıralanabilmesi amacıyla çok kriterli karar verme tekniği olan COPRAS kullanılmıştır. 2020, 2021 ve 2022 yılları için 27 AB ülkesinin enerji arz güvenliği performansının karşılaştırılması amacıyla çeşitli kriterler belirlenmiştir. Çalışmada kullanılan kriterler; ithal enerji bağımlılığı, enerji arz çeşitliliği, yenilenebilir enerjinin payı, fosil yakıtların payı, enerji yoğunluğu, enerjinin üretkenliği ve enerji verimliliğidir. Yapılan analiz, ülkeler için mutlak değil üye ülkelere kıyasla nispi bir sıra ortaya koymaktadır. Söz konusu yılların tamamında diğer AB üyesi ülkelere kıyasla enerji arz güvenliği performansı en yüksek ülke Estonya olmuştur. Estonya’nın ardından enerji arz güvenliği performansı yüksek olan diğer ülkeler; İsveç, Letonya Romanya, Danimarka ve Slovenya’dır. Enerji arz güvenliği performansı en düşük olan ülkeler ise Malta, Yunanistan, Belçika, İtalya, Hollanda, Litvanya, İspanya, Güney Kıbrıs Rum Yönetimi ve İrlanda’dır. Ampirik bulgulara göre 2020, 2021 ve 2022 yılları için yapılan enerji arz güvenliği performans sıralamaları genel olarak benzemektedir.

Kaynakça

  • Alidrisi, H., & Al-Sasi, B. O. (2017). Utilization of energy sources by G20 countries: A TOPSIS-BASED approach. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 12(11), 964–970. https://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2017.1336812
  • An, Y., Tan, X., Gu, B., Zhu, K., Shi, L., & Ding, Z. (2023). An assessment of renewable energy development in Belt and Road Initiative countries: An entropy and TOPSIS approach. Energy Reports, 10, 3545–3560. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.09.085
  • APERC (2007). A quest for energy security in the 21st century: Resources and constraints. Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, Institute of Energy Economics, Tokyo.
  • Aytekin, A. (2022). Energy, environment, and sustainability: A multi-criteria evaluation of countries. Strategic Planning for Energy and the Environment, 41(3), 281–316. https://doi.org/10.13052/spee1048-5236.4133
  • Bączkiewicz, A., & Wątróbski, J. (2022). Multi-criteria temporal assessment of afordable and clean energy systems in European countries using the DARIA-TOPSIS method. Procedia Computer Science, 207, 4442–4453. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2022.09.508
  • Birol, Y. E. (2015). Avrupa Birliği ülkelerinde ve Türkiye’de enerji ekonomisi: Karşılaştırmalı bir analiz (Yayımlanmamış doktora tezi). Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Sivas.
  • Birol, Y. E. (2019). Avrupa Birliği enerji arz güvenliği politikası. İstanbul: Kriter Yayınevi.
  • Birol, Y. E. (2021). Doğal gaz arz güvenliği açısından Avrupa Birliği ülkeleri ve Türkiye üzerine karşılaştırmalı bir analiz. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 44, 451–467. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.940976
  • Birol, Y. E., & Demirgil, B. (2022). Rüzgâr enerjisi üretimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: AB-15 ülkeleri için bir panel veri analizi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 61, 305–327. https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.952820
  • Blyth, W., & Lefevre, N. (2004). Energy security and climate change policy interactions: An assessment framework. IEA Information Paper, International Energy Agency, Paris.
  • Brodny, J., & Tutak, M. (2021). Assessing sustainable energy development in the central and eastern European countries and analyzing its diversity. Science of the Total Environment, 801, 149745. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149745
  • Brodny, J., & Tutak, M. (2023). Assessing the energy security of European Union countries from two perspectives–A new integrated approach based on MCDM methods. Applied Energy, 347, 121443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121443
  • Cabalu, H. (2010). Indicators of security of natural gas supply in Asia. Energy Policy, 38(1), 218–225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.09.008
  • Cabeça, A. S., Henriques, C. O., Figueira, J. R., & Silva, C. S. (2021). A multicriteria classification approach for assessing the current governance capacities on energy efficiency in the European Union. Energy Policy, 148,(Part A), 111946. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111946
  • Cherp, A., & Jewell, J. (2014). The concept of energy security: Beyond the four As. Energy Policy, 75, 415–421. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.09.005
  • Costantini, V., Gracceva, F., Markandya, A., & Vicini, G. (2007). Security of energy supply: Comparing scenarios from a European perspective. Energy Policy, 35(1), 210–226. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2005.11.002
  • Cucchiella, F., D’Adamo, I., Gastaldi, M., Koh, S. L., & Rosa, P. (2017). A comparison of environmental and energetic performance of European countries: A sustainability index. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 78, 401–413. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2017.04.077
  • Demirgil, B., & Birol, Y. E. (2020). Yenilenebilir enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Türkiye için bir Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik analizi. Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 21(1), 68–83. https://doi.org/10.37880/cumuiibf.671591
  • EU (2009). Directive 2009/28/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 April 2009 on the promotion of the use of energy from renewable sources and amending and subsequently repealing Directives 2001/77/EC and 2003/30/EC. Official Journal of the European Union, L 140 (5.6.2009), 16–62.
  • EU (2012). Directive 2012/27/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 25 October 2012 on energy efficiency, amending Directives 2009/125/EC and 2010/30/EU and repealing Directives 2004/8/EC and 2006/32/EC. Official Journal of the European Union, L 315 (14.11.2012), 1–56.
  • EU (2018). Directive (EU) 2018/2001 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 December 2018 on the promotion of the use of energy from renewable sources. Official Journal of the European Union, L 328 (21.12.2018), 82–209.
  • EU (2023). Directive (EU) 2023/1791 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 13 September 2023 on energy efficiency and amending Regulation (EU) 2023/955. Official Journal of the European Union, L 231 (20.9.2023), 1–111.
  • Eurostat. Statistical Office of the European Communities. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
  • Ghosh, S., Chakraborty, T., Saha, S., Majumder, M., & Pal, M. (2016). Development of the location suitability index for wave energy production by ANN and MCDM techniques. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 59, 1017–1028. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.12.275
  • Gnansounou, E. (2008). Assessing the energy vulnerability: Case of industrialised countries. Energy Policy, 36(10), 3734–3744. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2008.07.004
  • Gökgöz, F., & Yalçın, E. (2021). Can renewable energy sources be a viable instrument for climate change mitigation? Evidence from EU countries via MCDM methods. In D. S-K. Ting & J. A. Stagner (Eds.), Climate Change Science (pp. 19–39). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-823767-0.00002-1
  • Gökgöz, F., & Yalçın, E. (2023). Investigating the energy security performance, productivity, and economic growth for the EU. Environmental Progress & Sustainable Energy, 42(5), e14139. https://doi.org/10.1002/ep.14139
  • Guler, E., Yerel Kandemir, S., Acikkalp, E., & Ahmadi, M. H. (2021). Evaluation of sustainable energy performance for OECD countries. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 16(6), 491–514. https://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2021.1909673
  • Gupta, E. (2008). Oil vulnerability index of oil-importing countries. Energy Policy, 36(3), 1195–1211. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2007.11.011
  • Jansen, J. C., van Arkel, W. G., & Boots, M. G. (2004). Designing indicators of long-term energy supply security. ECN Report, ECN-C--04-007, Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands.
  • Jewell, J. (2011). The IEA model of short-term energy eecurity (MOSES): Primary energy sources and secondary fuels. IEA Energy Papers, No. 2011/17, International Energy Agency, Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/5k9h0wd2ghlv-en
  • Karakosta, C., Doukas, H., & Psarras, J. (2009). Directing clean development mechanism towards developing countries' sustainable development priorities. Energy for Sustainable Development, 13(2), 77–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2009.04.001
  • Kaya, İ., Çolak, M., & Terzi, F. (2018). Use of MCDM techniques for energy policy and decision‐making problems: A review. International Journal of Energy Research, 42(7), 2344–2372. https://doi.org/10.1002/er.4016
  • Kendell, J. M. (1998). Measures of oil import dependence. Issues in Midterm Analysis and Forecasting 1998, DOE/EIA-0607(98), 57–63. https://doi.org/10.2172/631223
  • Kozłowska, J., Benvenga, M. A., & Nääs, I. D. A. (2023). Investment risk and energy security assessment of European Union countries using multicriteria analysis. Energies, 16(1), 330. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16010330
  • Kruyt, B., van Vuuren, D. P., de Vries, H. J. M., & Groenenberg, H. (2009). Indicators for energy security. Energy Policy, 37(6), 2166–2181. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.02.006
  • Le Coq, C., & Paltseva, E. (2009). Measuring the security of external energy supply in the European Union. Energy Policy, 37(11), 4474–4481. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.05.069
  • Li, X., Wang, K., Liu, L., Xin, J., Yang, H., & Gao, C. (2011). Application of the entropy weight and TOPSIS method in safety evaluation of coal mines. Procedia Engineering, 26, 2085–2091. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2011.11.2410
  • Makridou, G., Andriosopoulos, K., Doumpos, M., & Zopounidis, C. (2015). A two-stage approach for energy efficiency analysis in European Union countries. The Energy Journal, 36(2), 47–70. https://doi.org/10.5547/01956574.36.2.3
  • Martchamadol, J., & Kumar, S. (2012). Thailand’s energy security indicators. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 16(8), 6103–6122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.06.021
  • Neumann, A. (2003). Security of (gas) supply: Conceptual issues, contractual arrangements, and the current EU situation. Globalization of Natural Gas Markets Working Papers, WP-GG-02, EU-Conference INDES (Insuring Against Disruptions of Energy Supplies), Amsterdam.
  • Phillis, A., Grigoroudis, E., & Kouikoglou, V. S. (2021). Assessing national energy sustainability using multiple criteria decision analysis. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 28(1), 18–35. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504509.2020.1780646
  • Podvezko, V. (2011). The comparative analysis of MCDA methods SAW and COPRAS. Engineering Economics, 22(2), 134–146. http://doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.22.2.310
  • Scheepers, M., Seebregts, A., de Jong, J., & Maters, H. (2007). EU standards for energy security of supply (Updates on the crisis capability index and the supply/demand index quantification for EU-27). ECN Report, ECN-E--07-004/CIEP. Energy Research Centre of the Netherlands.
  • Siksnelyte, I., & Zavadskas, E. K. (2019). Achievements of the European Union countries in seeking a sustainable electricity sector. Energies, 12(12), 2254. https://doi.org/10.3390/en12122254
  • Siksnelyte-Butkiene, I., Karpavicius, T., Streimikiene, D., & Balezentis, T. (2022). The achievements of climate change and energy policy in the European Union. Energies, 15(14), 5128. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15145128
  • Şimşek, N. (2012). Türkiye’nin enerji kırılganlığı: Petrol ve doğalgaz güvenliği politikası. Stratejik Düşünce, Mayıs, 85–91.
  • Streimikiene, D., Siksnelyte-Butkiene, I., & Lekavicius, V. (2023). Energy diversification and security in the EU: Comparative assessment in different EU regions. Economies, 11(3), 83. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11030083
  • Su, W., Zhang, D., Zhang, C., & Streimikiene, D. (2020). Sustainability assessment of energy sector development in China and European Union. Sustainable Development, 28(5), 1063–1076. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2056
  • Taştan, S., & Birol, Y. E. (2023). Türkiye’nin enerji arz güvenliğinin ölçülmesi ve öngörüsü. Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 75, 194–206. https://doi.org/10.51290/dpusbe.1160349
  • Tutak, M. (2021). Using MCDM methods to assess the extent to which the European union countries use renewable energy. Multidisciplinary Aspects of Production Engineering, 4(1), 190–199. https://doi.org/10.2478/mape-2021-0017
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  • Vavrek, R., & Chovancová, J. (2020). Energy performance of the European Union countries in terms of reaching the European energy union objectives. Energies, 13(20), 5317. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13205317
  • Wang, T. C., & Lee, H. D. (2009). Developing a fuzzy TOPSIS approach based on subjective weights and objective weights. Expert Systems with Applications, 36(5), 8980–8985. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2008.11.035
  • Więckowski, J., Kizielewicz, B., & Sałabun, W. (2024). A multi-dimensional sensitivity analysis approach for evaluating the robustness of renewable energy sources in European countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 469, 143225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.143225
  • Yılmaz, A. (2021). Energy supply security index: An analysis for Turkish economy. Süleyman Demirel University Visionary Journal, 12(29), 92–117. https://doi.org/10.21076/vizyoner.769887
  • Yousefi, H., Ardehali, A., & Ghodusinejad, M. H. (2023). BRICS or G7? Current and future assessment of energy and environment performance using multi-criteria and time series analyzes. Energy Strategy Reviews, 49, 101164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2023.101164
  • Zavadskas, E. K., & Kaklauskas, A. (1996). Pastatų sistemotechninis įvertinimas [Multicriteria evaluation of building]. Vilnius: Technika.
  • Zhang, K., Hu, M., & Dang, C. N. (2022). The potential of Sino-Russian energy cooperation in the arctic region and its impact on China’s energy security. Scientific Programming, 2022, 8943314. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/8943314
  • Zhang, X., Wang, C., Li, E., & Xu, C. (2014). Assessment model of ecoenvironmental vulnerability based on improved entropy weight method. The Scientific World Journal, 2014(1), 797814. https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/797814
  • Zhou, K., Wang, Y., & Hussain, J. (2022). Energy poverty assessment in the Belt and Road Initiative countries: Based on entropy weight-TOPSIS approach. Energy Efficiency, 15(7), 46. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12053-022-10055-8
  • Ziemba, P. (2022). Energy security assessment based on a new dynamic multi-criteria decision-making framework. Energies, 15(24), 9356. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15249356
Toplam 63 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Avrupa Birliği Ekonomisi, Uygulamalı Ekonomi (Diğer), İstatistik (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Yunus Emre Birol 0000-0003-0557-3281

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 29 Eylül 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Eylül 2025
Gönderilme Tarihi 3 Eylül 2024
Kabul Tarihi 4 Şubat 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 21 Sayı: 3

Kaynak Göster

APA Birol, Y. E. (2025). AVRUPA BİRLİĞİ ÜLKELERİNİN ENERJİ ARZ GÜVENLİĞİ PERFORMANS ANALİZİ. Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi, 21(3), 833-861. https://doi.org/10.17130/ijmeb.1542865