Araştırma Makalesi

A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced

Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1 1 Mayıs 2023
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A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced

Öz

In this research paper, we seek to strategize the Russian-Ukrainian War 2022 based on a game theory and hypergame theory perspective. Setting the most optimal strategies described and prescribed for each conflicting party is the main objective of this Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling. At the core, theorizing the actual war situation through four waves predicting this war multiple possibilities and explaining the grand strategy made by each side reflects the manner under which the rationality argument and utility assumptions of a (hyper)game theory situation exist. Meaningfully, a rational player picks those moves that (are perceived correctly or incorrectly to) contribute to raising its payoffs in the conflict while reasoning about the opponent’s best strategies and outcomes. By applying our developed balance of deterrence rules and the related equilibria, the war can be terminated by each wave’s end in either a theoretic-strategic diplomatic way, military victory, or both.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Destekleyen Kurum

Sakarya University, Social Sciences Institute, International Relations Department; Turkey

Proje Numarası

Doctorate Project. Ph.D. Student Number: D176007007

Teşekkür

My acknowledgment and thanks to my Ph.D. dissertation supervisor, Prof. Dr. Ertan Efegil, International Relations Department, Sakarya University.

Kaynakça

  1. Brown, David, Bella Hurrell, Dominic Bailey, Mike Hills, Lucy Rodgers, Paul Sargeant, Mark Bryson, Zoe Bartholomew, Sean Willmott, Sana Dionysiou, Joy Roxas, Gerry Fletcher, Jana Tauschinsk, Debie Loizou, and Prina Shah. “Ukraine War in Maps: Tracking the Russian Invasion.” BBC News. April 4, 2022. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Uluslararası İlişkiler

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yayımlanma Tarihi

1 Mayıs 2023

Gönderilme Tarihi

12 Eylül 2022

Kabul Tarihi

11 Şubat 2023

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2023 Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA
Ariba, M. (2023). A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced. International Journal of Politics and Security, 5(1), 19-72. https://doi.org/10.53451/ijps.1174300
AMA
1.Ariba M. A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced. IJPS. 2023;5(1):19-72. doi:10.53451/ijps.1174300
Chicago
Ariba, Mariam. 2023. “A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced”. International Journal of Politics and Security 5 (1): 19-72. https://doi.org/10.53451/ijps.1174300.
EndNote
Ariba M (01 Mayıs 2023) A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced. International Journal of Politics and Security 5 1 19–72.
IEEE
[1]M. Ariba, “A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced”, IJPS, c. 5, sy 1, ss. 19–72, May. 2023, doi: 10.53451/ijps.1174300.
ISNAD
Ariba, Mariam. “A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced”. International Journal of Politics and Security 5/1 (01 Mayıs 2023): 19-72. https://doi.org/10.53451/ijps.1174300.
JAMA
1.Ariba M. A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced. IJPS. 2023;5:19–72.
MLA
Ariba, Mariam. “A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced”. International Journal of Politics and Security, c. 5, sy 1, Mayıs 2023, ss. 19-72, doi:10.53451/ijps.1174300.
Vancouver
1.Mariam Ariba. A Mutual-Grand Strategy Modeling of the Russia-Ukraine War 2022: Balancing the Unbalanced. IJPS. 01 Mayıs 2023;5(1):19-72. doi:10.53451/ijps.1174300

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