Yıl 2018, Cilt 15 , Sayı 2, Sayfalar 138 - 146 2018-05-15

Future of Fig Product in Turkey
Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği

Ahmet Semih UZUNDUMLU [1] , Muhammet Emre ÖKSÜZ [2] , Seval KURTOĞLU [3]


The aim of this study is to predict the future of figs product taking into account twenty-four years of fig production in Turkey. Figs are a very important product in Turkey's foreign trade. 23% of the world’s fig productions are provided by Turkey. In 60 of the 81 provinces in Turkey is done fig production. The total fig production’s approximately 86% is getting five provinces in Turkey. These provinces are Aydin, Izmir, Bursa, Mersin and Hatay respectively.  ARIMA model used to forecast of fig production quantity during the period 2015 to 2023 in Turkey. According to findings of this study, it is forecasted that Turkey’s fig production will decrease during the period 2015 to 2023. The results obtained from this study will help to producers, policy makers and consumers in Turkey.

Bu çalışmanın amacı 24 yıllık veriler dikkate alınarak Türkiye'de incir üretiminin gelecek yıllardaki tahmininin belirlenmesidir. İncir üretimi Türkiye'nin dış ticaretinde önemli bir yere sahiptir. Türkiye Dünya incir üretiminin %23'ünü karşılamaktadır. Türkiye'nin 81 ilinin 60'ında incir üretimi yapılmaktadır. Türkiye’de incir üretiminin %86'sı 5 il tarafından karşılanmaktadır. Bu iller Aydın, İzmir, Bursa, Mersin ve Hatay'dır. Türkiye'de 2015-2023 arasında incir üretiminin tahminini belirlemede ARİMA modeli kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlara göre Türkiye'de incir üretimi gelecekte azalacaktır. Bu çalışmadan elde edilen sonuçlar politika yapıcılarına yön verecektir.

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Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Yazar: Ahmet Semih UZUNDUMLU
Kurum: ATATÜRK ÜNİVERSİTESİ
Ülke: Turkey


Yazar: Muhammet Emre ÖKSÜZ
Ülke: Turkey


Yazar: Seval KURTOĞLU
Ülke: Turkey


Tarihler

Başvuru Tarihi : 15 Şubat 2017
Kabul Tarihi : 28 Şubat 2018
Yayımlanma Tarihi : 15 Mayıs 2018

Bibtex @araştırma makalesi { jotaf292404, journal = {Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi}, issn = {1302-7050}, eissn = {2146-5894}, address = {}, publisher = {Namık Kemal Üniversitesi}, year = {2018}, volume = {15}, pages = {138 - 146}, doi = {}, title = {Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği}, key = {cite}, author = {UZUNDUMLU, Ahmet Semih and ÖKSÜZ, Muhammet Emre and KURTOĞLU, Seval} }
APA UZUNDUMLU, A , ÖKSÜZ, M , KURTOĞLU, S . (2018). Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği. Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi , 15 (2) , 138-146 . Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/jotaf/issue/37314/292404
MLA UZUNDUMLU, A , ÖKSÜZ, M , KURTOĞLU, S . "Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği". Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi 15 (2018 ): 138-146 <https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/jotaf/issue/37314/292404>
Chicago UZUNDUMLU, A , ÖKSÜZ, M , KURTOĞLU, S . "Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği". Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi 15 (2018 ): 138-146
RIS TY - JOUR T1 - Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği AU - Ahmet Semih UZUNDUMLU , Muhammet Emre ÖKSÜZ , Seval KURTOĞLU Y1 - 2018 PY - 2018 N1 - DO - T2 - Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi JF - Journal JO - JOR SP - 138 EP - 146 VL - 15 IS - 2 SN - 1302-7050-2146-5894 M3 - UR - Y2 - 2018 ER -
EndNote %0 Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği %A Ahmet Semih UZUNDUMLU , Muhammet Emre ÖKSÜZ , Seval KURTOĞLU %T Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği %D 2018 %J Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi %P 1302-7050-2146-5894 %V 15 %N 2 %R %U
ISNAD UZUNDUMLU, Ahmet Semih , ÖKSÜZ, Muhammet Emre , KURTOĞLU, Seval . "Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği". Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi 15 / 2 (Mayıs 2018): 138-146 .
AMA UZUNDUMLU A , ÖKSÜZ M , KURTOĞLU S . Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği. Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi. 2018; 15(2): 138-146.
Vancouver UZUNDUMLU A , ÖKSÜZ M , KURTOĞLU S . Türkiye'de İncir Üretiminin Geleceği. Tekirdağ Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi. 2018; 15(2): 146-138.