Türkiye İmalat Sanayinde Dış Ticaretin İstihdam Üzerindeki Etkisi

Yıl 2010, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 3, 489 - 504, 01.12.2010

Özgür Polat Enes Ertad Uslu

Öz

Bu çalışmada, dış ticaretin istihdam üzerindeki etkisi 1988:1-2007:3 dönemi imalat sanayi verileri kullanılarak gecikmesi dağıtılmış otoregresif yaklaşımı ile analiz edilmiştir. Üçer aylık veriler ile yapılan analizler sonucunda, uzun dönemde istihdam üzerinde dış ticaretin anlamlı bir etkiye sahip olmadığı, kısa dönemde ise hem ihracatın hem de ithalatın istihdam üzerinde pozitif ve anlamlı etkiye sahip oldukları görülmüştür

Anahtar Kelimeler

Dış Ticaret, İstihdam, ARDL

Employment Impact of Foreign Trade in Manufacturing Industry of Turkey

Öz

In this study, employment impact of foreign trade was investigated using Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach with manufacturing industry data of Turkey for the period of 1988:1-2007:3. Results of this study showed that while trade had no significant impact on employment in the long run, both exports and imports had positive and significant impact on employment in the short run for the period of analyzed

Anahtar Kelimeler

Foreign Trade, Employment, ARDL

Kaynakça

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