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ANTROPOSEN KRİZİNİ AŞMAK: CO2 EMİSYONUNU ETKİLEYEN DEĞİŞKENLER ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ

Yıl 2022, , 1013 - 1035, 27.12.2022
https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2022.042

Öz

Sınırsız birikim, büyüme ve tüketim merkezli sistemin olumsuz etkileri hemen her alanda görülmektedir. Bu etkilerin en önemlilerinden biri de doğada gerçekleşen yıkımdır. Çevre, bir taraftan fırtınalar ve seller şeklinde gerçekleşen aşırı yağışlar diğer taraftan aşırı kuraklık tehdidi ile yüz yüzedir. Doğaya yapılan müdahaleler insanlık tarihinin her döneminde var olmakla birlikte bunun en yüksek seviyelere eriştiği dönem kapitalizm ile temsil edilir. Kapitalizmle birlikte Antroposen çağı başlamış, 1945’ten sonra çevresel tahribat en yüksek seviyelere ulaşmıştır. Bu çalışmada öncelikle Antroposen çağı ele alınmıştır. Ardından Antroposen çağının göstergesi olan karbondioksit emisyonu (CO2) ile büyüme, ticari açıklık, küreselleşme, sanayileşme, enerji tüketimi ve yerel malzeme tüketimi arasındaki ilişki incelenmiştir. Çalışmada dünyada en fazla CO2 salınımını gerçekleştiren ilk beş ülkenin (Çin, ABD, Hindistan, Rusya ve Japonya) 1992-2018 yılları arasındaki verileri kullanılmıştır. Yapılan panel veri analizinde ticari açıklık hariç bütün bağımsız değişkenlerin farklı oranlarda CO2’yi arttırdığı sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Buradan hareketle CO2 salınımını azaltmaya yönelik politika önerilerinde bulunulmuştur.

Kaynakça

  • Aghayev, S. (2011). Azerbaycan'da fiyatlar genel düzeyi ve döviz kuru ilişkisi. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 29(1). 1-19.
  • Alola, A. A., Akadiri, S. S., and Usman, O. (2021). Domestic material consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in the EU‐28 countries: Implications for environmental sustainability targets. Sustainable Development, 29(2), 388-397.
  • Angus, I. (2021). Antroposen’le yüzleşmek fosil kapitalizm ve dünya sisteminin krizi. Çeviren Nuray Onuk. Marx-21 Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Bai, J., and Ng, S. (2004). A Panic attack on unit roots and cointegration. Econometrica, 72(4), 1127-1177.
  • Breitung, J. (2001). The local power of some unit root tests for panel data. in Nonstationary panels, panel cointegration, and dynamic panels. Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Breitung, J., and Das, S. (2005). Panel unit root tests under cross‐sectional dependence. Statistica Neerlandica, 59(4), 414-433.
  • Breuer, J. B., McNown, R., and Wallace, M. S. (2001). Misleading inferences from panel unit‐root tests with an illustration from purchasing power parity. Review of International Economics, 9(3), 482-493.
  • Breusch, T. S., and Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Crutzen, J.P. (2002). Geology of mankins, Nature, 415(6867). 23.
  • Dowd, D. (2004). Capitalism and its economics: A critical history. Pluto Press.
  • Engle, R. F., and Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 251-276.
  • Ewing, J. A. (2017). Hollow ecology: Ecological modernization theory and the death of nature. Journal of World-Systems Research, 23(1), 126-155.
  • Foster, J. B., Holleman, H. and Clark, B. (2019). Imperialism in the anthropocene. https://monthlyreview.org/2019/07/01/imperialism-in-the-anthropocene/ (Erişim Tarihi: 03.03.2022).
  • Güler, A., ve Özyurt, H. (2011). Merkez bankası bağımsızlığı ve reel ekonomik performans: Panel ardl analizi. Ekonomi Bilimleri Dergisi, 3(2), 11-20.
  • Hadri, K. (2000). Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data. The Econometrics Journal. 3(2). 148-161.
  • Hadri, K., and Kurozumi, E. (2012). A simple panel stationarity test in the presence of serial correlation and a common factor. Economics Letters, 115(1), 31-34.
  • Hartley, D. (2016). Anthropocene, Capitalocene, and the problem of culture. in Anthropocene or capitalocene, 154-65.
  • Harvey, D. (2020). Anti-capitalist politics in the time of COVID-19. Jacobin Magazine, 20.
  • Hickel, J. (2020). Less is more: How degrowth will save the World, Random House Press.
  • Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., and Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53-74.
  • Koçbulut, Ö., ve Altıntaş, H. (2016). İkiz açıklar ve Feldstein-Horioka Hipotezi: OECD ülkeleri üzerine yatay kesit bağımlılığı altında yapısal kırılmalı panel eşbütünleşme analizi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, (48), 145-174.
  • Lengefeld, M. (2020). Nuclear weapons and the treadmill of destruction in the making of the anthropocene. Journal of World-Systems Research, 26(2), 203-230.
  • Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1-24.
  • Li, M. (2020), Anthropocene, emissions budget, and the structural crisis of the capitalist world system, Journal of World System Research, 26(2). 288-317.
  • Maddala, G. S., & Wu, S. (1999). A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61(S1), 631-652.
  • Marx, K. (1976). Capital: A critique of political economy. Vol. I., Penguin Books, London.
  • OECD (2022), Material consumption (indicator). doi: 10.1787/84971620-en (Erişim Tarihi 11.01. 2022)
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. P. (1999). Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621-634.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), (1229), 1-40.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., and Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias‐adjusted LM test of error cross‐section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Pesaran, M. H., and Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Reese, S., and Westerlund, J. (2016). Panicca: Panic on cross‐section averages. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31(6), 961-981.
  • Roubini, N. (2020). Coronavirus pandemic has delivered the fastest, deepest economic shock in history. The Guardian, 25(March). Saad-Filho, A. (2020). From COVID-19 to the end of neoliberalism. El Trimestre Económico, 87(348), 1211-1229.
  • Sklair, L. (2020). World revolution or rocialism, community by community, in the anthropocene?. Journal of World System Research, 25(2). 297-305.
  • Smith, C. L., Hooks, G., and Lengefeld, M. (2020). Treadmills of production and destruction in the Anthropocene. Journal of World-Systems Research, 26(2), 231-262.
  • Smith, L. V., Leybourne, S., Kim, T. H., and Newbold, P. (2004). More powerful panel data unit root tests with an application to mean reversion in real exchange rates. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19(2), 147-170.
  • Sommer, J. M., and Hargrove, A. (2020). Power and politics in the world-system. Journal of World Systems Research, 26(2), 263-287.
  • Steffen, W., Crutzen, P. J., and McNeill, J. R. (2007). The Anthropocene: are humans now overwhelming the great forces of nature. Ambio-Journal of Human Environment Research and Management, 36(8), 614-621.
  • Steffen, W., Persson, Å., Deutsch, L., Zalasiewicz, J., Williams, M., Richardson, K., and Svedin, U. (2011). The Anthropocene: From global change to planetary stewardship. Ambio, 40(7), 739-761.
  • Westerlund, J., and Hosseinkouchack, M. (2016). Modified CADF and CIPS panel unit root statistics with standard chi‐squared and normal limiting distributions. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 78(3), 347-364.
  • Weston, D. (2014). The political economy of global warming: The terminal crisis. Routledge Press.
  • World Bank Open Data, https://data.worldbank.org/indicator
  • Zhu, H. M., You, W. H., & Zeng, Z. F. (2012). Urbanization and CO2 emissions: A semi-parametric panel data analysis. Economics Letters, 117(3), 848-850.

OVERCOME THE ANTHROPOCENE CRISIS: A PANEL DATA ANALYSIS ON VARIABLES AFFECTING CO2 EMISSIONS

Yıl 2022, , 1013 - 1035, 27.12.2022
https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2022.042

Öz

The negative effects of the unlimited accumulation, growth and consumption-centered system are observed in almost every field. One of the most important of these effects is the destruction of nature. The environment is faced with the threat of excessive precipitation in the form of storms and floods on the one hand, and extreme drought on the other. Although the interventions to nature exist in every period of human history, the period when this reaches the highest levels is represented by capitalism. The Anthropocene era started with capitalism, and after 1945, this destruction reached its highest levels. In this study, first of all, the Anthropocene age examined. Then, the relationship between carbon dioxide emission (CO2), which is indicator of the Anthropocene age, and growth, trade openness, globalization, industrialization, energy consumption and local material consumption was examined. In the study, the data of the top five countries (China, USA, India, Russia and Japan) that released the highest CO2 emissions between 1992 and 2018 were used. In the panel data analysis, it was concluded that all independent variables, except trade openness, increased CO2 at different rates. From this point of view, policy proposals have been made to reduce CO2 emissions.

Kaynakça

  • Aghayev, S. (2011). Azerbaycan'da fiyatlar genel düzeyi ve döviz kuru ilişkisi. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 29(1). 1-19.
  • Alola, A. A., Akadiri, S. S., and Usman, O. (2021). Domestic material consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in the EU‐28 countries: Implications for environmental sustainability targets. Sustainable Development, 29(2), 388-397.
  • Angus, I. (2021). Antroposen’le yüzleşmek fosil kapitalizm ve dünya sisteminin krizi. Çeviren Nuray Onuk. Marx-21 Yayınları, İstanbul.
  • Bai, J., and Ng, S. (2004). A Panic attack on unit roots and cointegration. Econometrica, 72(4), 1127-1177.
  • Breitung, J. (2001). The local power of some unit root tests for panel data. in Nonstationary panels, panel cointegration, and dynamic panels. Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Breitung, J., and Das, S. (2005). Panel unit root tests under cross‐sectional dependence. Statistica Neerlandica, 59(4), 414-433.
  • Breuer, J. B., McNown, R., and Wallace, M. S. (2001). Misleading inferences from panel unit‐root tests with an illustration from purchasing power parity. Review of International Economics, 9(3), 482-493.
  • Breusch, T. S., and Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Crutzen, J.P. (2002). Geology of mankins, Nature, 415(6867). 23.
  • Dowd, D. (2004). Capitalism and its economics: A critical history. Pluto Press.
  • Engle, R. F., and Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 251-276.
  • Ewing, J. A. (2017). Hollow ecology: Ecological modernization theory and the death of nature. Journal of World-Systems Research, 23(1), 126-155.
  • Foster, J. B., Holleman, H. and Clark, B. (2019). Imperialism in the anthropocene. https://monthlyreview.org/2019/07/01/imperialism-in-the-anthropocene/ (Erişim Tarihi: 03.03.2022).
  • Güler, A., ve Özyurt, H. (2011). Merkez bankası bağımsızlığı ve reel ekonomik performans: Panel ardl analizi. Ekonomi Bilimleri Dergisi, 3(2), 11-20.
  • Hadri, K. (2000). Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data. The Econometrics Journal. 3(2). 148-161.
  • Hadri, K., and Kurozumi, E. (2012). A simple panel stationarity test in the presence of serial correlation and a common factor. Economics Letters, 115(1), 31-34.
  • Hartley, D. (2016). Anthropocene, Capitalocene, and the problem of culture. in Anthropocene or capitalocene, 154-65.
  • Harvey, D. (2020). Anti-capitalist politics in the time of COVID-19. Jacobin Magazine, 20.
  • Hickel, J. (2020). Less is more: How degrowth will save the World, Random House Press.
  • Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., and Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53-74.
  • Koçbulut, Ö., ve Altıntaş, H. (2016). İkiz açıklar ve Feldstein-Horioka Hipotezi: OECD ülkeleri üzerine yatay kesit bağımlılığı altında yapısal kırılmalı panel eşbütünleşme analizi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, (48), 145-174.
  • Lengefeld, M. (2020). Nuclear weapons and the treadmill of destruction in the making of the anthropocene. Journal of World-Systems Research, 26(2), 203-230.
  • Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108(1), 1-24.
  • Li, M. (2020), Anthropocene, emissions budget, and the structural crisis of the capitalist world system, Journal of World System Research, 26(2). 288-317.
  • Maddala, G. S., & Wu, S. (1999). A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61(S1), 631-652.
  • Marx, K. (1976). Capital: A critique of political economy. Vol. I., Penguin Books, London.
  • OECD (2022), Material consumption (indicator). doi: 10.1787/84971620-en (Erişim Tarihi 11.01. 2022)
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. P. (1999). Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621-634.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., and Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), (1229), 1-40.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., and Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias‐adjusted LM test of error cross‐section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Pesaran, M. H., and Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Reese, S., and Westerlund, J. (2016). Panicca: Panic on cross‐section averages. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31(6), 961-981.
  • Roubini, N. (2020). Coronavirus pandemic has delivered the fastest, deepest economic shock in history. The Guardian, 25(March). Saad-Filho, A. (2020). From COVID-19 to the end of neoliberalism. El Trimestre Económico, 87(348), 1211-1229.
  • Sklair, L. (2020). World revolution or rocialism, community by community, in the anthropocene?. Journal of World System Research, 25(2). 297-305.
  • Smith, C. L., Hooks, G., and Lengefeld, M. (2020). Treadmills of production and destruction in the Anthropocene. Journal of World-Systems Research, 26(2), 231-262.
  • Smith, L. V., Leybourne, S., Kim, T. H., and Newbold, P. (2004). More powerful panel data unit root tests with an application to mean reversion in real exchange rates. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 19(2), 147-170.
  • Sommer, J. M., and Hargrove, A. (2020). Power and politics in the world-system. Journal of World Systems Research, 26(2), 263-287.
  • Steffen, W., Crutzen, P. J., and McNeill, J. R. (2007). The Anthropocene: are humans now overwhelming the great forces of nature. Ambio-Journal of Human Environment Research and Management, 36(8), 614-621.
  • Steffen, W., Persson, Å., Deutsch, L., Zalasiewicz, J., Williams, M., Richardson, K., and Svedin, U. (2011). The Anthropocene: From global change to planetary stewardship. Ambio, 40(7), 739-761.
  • Westerlund, J., and Hosseinkouchack, M. (2016). Modified CADF and CIPS panel unit root statistics with standard chi‐squared and normal limiting distributions. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 78(3), 347-364.
  • Weston, D. (2014). The political economy of global warming: The terminal crisis. Routledge Press.
  • World Bank Open Data, https://data.worldbank.org/indicator
  • Zhu, H. M., You, W. H., & Zeng, Z. F. (2012). Urbanization and CO2 emissions: A semi-parametric panel data analysis. Economics Letters, 117(3), 848-850.
Toplam 45 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Yeliz Sarıöz Gökten 0000-0002-6900-9017

Esra Koçak 0000-0002-3362-4149

Kerem Gökten 0000-0002-1876-2412

Yayımlanma Tarihi 27 Aralık 2022
Kabul Tarihi 1 Aralık 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022

Kaynak Göster

APA Sarıöz Gökten, Y., Koçak, E., & Gökten, K. (2022). ANTROPOSEN KRİZİNİ AŞMAK: CO2 EMİSYONUNU ETKİLEYEN DEĞİŞKENLER ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ. Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 13(26), 1013-1035. https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2022.042

KAÜİİBFD, Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergi Yayıncılığı'nın kurumsal dergisidir.

KAÜİİBFD 2022 yılından itibaren Web of Science'a dahil edilerek, Clarivate ürünü olan Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI) uluslararası alan endeksinde taranmaya başlamıştır. 

2025 Haziran sayısı makale kabul ve değerlendirmeleri devam etmektedir.