NET ULUSLARARASI TURİZM GELİRLERİ VE GSYİH: KÜMÜLATİF TOPLAMLAR YAKLAŞIMI

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 3, 35 - 54, 29.09.2018

Mehmet Tevfik İzgi Oğuzhan Özçelebi , Dündar Murat Demiröz

Öz

Özet

 

Amaç: Uluslararası turizm aktivitesinin artmasının ekonomik
büyümeye neden olduğu kabul edilmektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de net uluslararası
turizm gelirleri ile GSYİH arasındaki etkileşimin hangi kanallardan
işleyebileceğinin ortaya konulmasıdır.

 

Yöntem: Toda
ve Yamamoto (1995) ve Hatemi-J (2012) testleri kullanılarak, net uluslararası turizm
gelirleri ile GSYİH arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi karşılıklı olarak analiz
edilmiştir. Geliştirilen pozitif ve negatif kümülatif toplamlar yardımıyla, net
turizm gelirleri ile GSYİH arasındaki etkileşimde asimetrinin rolü her iki
nedensellik testi ile dikkate alınmıştır.

 

Bulgular ve Sonuç: Net uluslararası turizm gelirlerindeki
artışın GSYİH büyümesine katkı yapacağı bulunmuş iken, net uluslararası turizm
gelirlerindeki düşüş GSYİH’ı düşürmemektedir. Turizm sektörünün büyümesinin
yabancı turistlerin harcamalarından ziyade turizm yatırımları eliyle
sağlandığını ortaya konulmuştur. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Net uluslararası turizm gelirleri, GSYİH, nedensellik analizi, kümülatif toplamlar

Kaynakça

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