Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

İŞLEM HACMİ İLE HİSSE SENEDİ GETİRİLERİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN İNCELENMESİ: BANKA HİSSELERİNE DAYALI BİR ANALİZ

Yıl 2017, , 457 - 482, 30.06.2017
https://doi.org/10.20875/makusobed.324146

Öz











This study examines the relationship between stock
returns and trading volume for 10 deposit banks traded on  Borsa İstanbul. A quantile regression is used
to investigate the contemporaneous relationship between the variables, and
Hatemi-J (2012) test is employed to investigate the asymmetric causality
between the variables.  Results show
that, in most cases, the Noisy Traders Hypothesis is valid for bank stocks,
meaning that investors’ buying and selling decisions about bank shares are
based not on fundamental economic analysis or indicators, but rather on
previous movements in the stock price.



Kaynakça

  • Al-Saad, Khalid-Moosa, Imad (2008),“Asymmetry in the Price–Volume Relation: Evidence based on Individual Company Stocks Traded in an Emerging Stock Market”, Applied Financial Economics Letters, Cilt.4, Sayı.2, (151-155).
  • Ane, Thierry-Ureche Rangua, Loredana (2008),“Does Trading Volume Really Explain Stock Return Volatility ?”, International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, Cilt.18, Sayı.3, (216-235).
  • Baklacı, Hasan-Kasman Adnan (2006),“An Emprical Analysis of Trading Volume and Return Volatility Relationship in theTurkishStock Market”, Ege AcademicReview, Cilt.16,Sayı.2, (115-125).
  • Baur, Dirk (2013),“The Structure and Degree of Dependence: A Quantile Regression Approach”, Journal of Banking & Finance,Cilt.37, Sayı.3, (786–798).
  • Bayrakdaroğlu, Ali-Nazlıoğlu, Şaban (2009),“Hisse Senedi Fiyat-Hacim İlişkisi: İMKB’de İşlem Gören Bankalar için Doğrusal ve Doğrusal Olmayan Granger Nedensellik Analizi”, İktisat, İşletme ve Finans Dergisi, Cilt.24, Sayı.277, (85-109).
  • Bhar, Ramaprasad-Hamori, Shigeyuki (2005),“Causality in Variance and the Type of Traders in Crude Oil Futures”, Energy Economics, Cilt.27, Sayı.3, (527-539).
  • Blume, Lawrence-Easley, David-O’Hara, Maureen (1994),“Market Statistics and Technical Analysis: The Role of Volume”, Journal of Finance, Cilt.49, Sayı.1, (153-181).
  • Bohl, Martin-Henke, Harald (2003), “Trading Volume and Stock Market Volatility: The Polish Case”, International Review of Financial Analysis, Cilt.12, Sayı.5, (513–525).
  • Boyacıoğlu, Melek Acar-Güvenek, Burcu-Alptekin, Volkan (2009), “Getiri Volatilitesi ile İşlem Hacmi Arasındaki İlişki: İMKB’de Ampirik Bir Çalışma”, Mufad Journal, Cilt.48, (200-215).
  • Buchinsky, Moshe (1995),“Estimating the Asymptotic Covariance Matrix for Quantile Regression Models: A Monte Carlo Study”, Journal of Econometrics, Cilt.68, Sayı.2, (303–338).
  • Campbell, John-Grossman, Sanford-Wang, Jiang (1993), “Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Cilt.108, Sayı.4, ( 905-939).
  • Chen, Shiu-Sheng (2012), “Revisiting the Empirical Linkages Between Stock Returns and Trading Volume”, Journal of Banking& Finance, Cilt.36, Sayı.6,(1781-1788).
  • Chevapatrakul, Thanaset (2015),“Monetary Environments and Stock Returns: International Evidence based on the Quantile Regression Technique”, International Review of Financial Analysis, Cilt.38, (83-108).
  • Chevapatrakul,Thanaset(2014),“Monetary Environments and Stock Returns Revisited: A Quantile Regression Approach”, Economics Letters, Cilt.123, Sayı.2, (122–126).
  • Chuang, Chia Chang-Kuan, Chung Ming-Lin, Hsin Yi (2009),“Causality in Quantiles and Dynamic Return-Volume Relations”, Journal of Banking & Finance, Cilt.33, Sayı.7, (1351-1360).
  • Chuang, Wen-Liu, Hsiang Hsi-Susmel, Rauli (2012),“The Bivariate GARCH Approach to Investigating the Relation Between Stock Returns, Trading Volume, and Return Volatility”, Global Finance Journal, Cilt.23, Sayı.1, (1–15).
  • Ciner, Cetin (2015),“Time Variation in Systematic Risk, Returns and Trading Volume: Evidence from Precious Metals Mining Stocks”,International Review of Financial Analysis,Cilt.41, (277-283).
  • Clark, Peter (1973),“A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Process”, Econometrica, Cilt.41, Sayı.1,(135-155).
  • Copeland, Thomas (1976),“A Model of Asset Trading under the Assumption of Sequential Information Arrival”, Journal of Finance, Cilt.31, Sayı.4,(1149-1168).
  • Çukur, Sadık-Gümrah, Ümit-Gümrah, Meltem Üstün (2012), “Istanbul Menkul Kıymetler Borsasında Hisse Senedi Getirileri ve İşlem Hacmi İlişkisi”, Niğde Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, Cilt.5, Sayı.1, (20-35).
  • De Long, Bradford-Shleifer, Andrei-Summers, Lawrence-Waldman, Robert (1990),“Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Speculation”, Journal of Finance, Cilt.45, Sayı.2, (379-395).
  • Doornik, Jurgen-Hansen, Henrik (2008),“An Omnibus Test for Univariate and Multivariate Normality”, Oxford Bulletion of Economicsand Statistics, Cilt.70, Sayı.1, (927-939).
  • Elmas, Bekir-Temurlenk, Sinan (2009),“Hisse Senedi Fiyatı-İşlem Hacmi Arasındaki Granger Nedensellik : İMKB’de Hisse Bazlı Bir Analiz”, İMKB Dergisi, Cilt.11, Sayı.43, (1-12).
  • Elmas, Bekir -Yıldırım, Murat (2010),“Kriz Dönemlerinde Hisse Senedi Fiyatı ile İşlem Hacmi İlişkisi: İMKB’de İşlem Gören Bankacılık Sektör Hisseleri Üzerine Bir Uygulama”, Atatürk Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, Cilt.24, Sayı.2, (37-45).
  • Epps, Thomas-Epps, Mary Lee (1976),“The Stochastic Dependence of Security Price Changes and Transaction Volumes: Implication for the Mixture-of-Distribution Hypothesis”, Econometrica, Cilt.44, Sayı.2, (305-321).
  • Fama, Eugene (1970), “Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Emprical Work”, Journal of Finance, Cilt.25, Sayı.2, (383-417).
  • Gallant, Ronald-Rossi, Peter-Tauchen, George (1992),“Stock Prices and Volume”, Review of Financial Studies, Cilt.5, Sayı.2, (199-242).
  • Gebka, Bartosz-Wohar, Mark (2013), “Causality between Trading Volume and Returns: Evidence from Quantile Regressions”, International Review of Economicsand Finance, Cilt.27, (144-153).
  • Gerlach, Richard-Chen, Cathy-Lin, Doris-Huang, Ming Hsiang (2006),“Asymmetric Responses of International Stock Markets to Trading Volume”, Physica A, Cilt.360, Sayı.2, (422-444).
  • Gündüz, Lokman-Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser (2014), “Stock Price and Volume Relation in Emerging Markets”, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Cilt.41, Sayı.1, (29-44).
  • Hacker, Scott-Hatemi-J.Abdulnasser (2005),“A Multivariate Test for ARCH Effects”, Applied Economic Lettres, Cilt.12, Sayı.7, (411-417).
  • Hammoudeh, Shawkat-Nguyen, Duc Khuong-Sousa, Ricardo (2014),“Energy Prices and CO2 Emission Allowance Prices: A Quantile Regression Approach”, Energy Policy, Cilt.70, (201–206).
  • Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser (2012),“Asymmetric Causality Tests with an Application”, Empirical Economics, Cilt.43, Sayı.1, (1447-456).
  • Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser-Uddin,Gazi Salah (2012),“Is the Causal Nexus of Energy Utilization and Economic Growth Asymmetric in the US ?”, Economic Systems,Cilt.36, Sayı.3, (461–469).
  • Hicmstra, Craig-Jones, Jonathan (1994),“Testing for Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality in the Price Volume Relationship”, Journal of Finance, Cilt.49, Sayı.5, (1639-1664).
  • Jennings, Robert-Starks, Laura-Fellingham, John (1981),“An Empirical Model of Asset Trading with Sequential Information Arrival”, Journal of Finance, Cilt.36, Sayı.1, (143-161).
  • Kang, Hsin Hong-Liu,Shu Bing (2014),“The Impact of the 2008 Financial Crisis on Housing Prices in China and Taiwan: A Quantile Regression Analysis”, Economic Modelling, Cilt.42, (356–362).
  • Karpoff, Jonathan (1987), “The Relationship between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey”, Journal of Finance and Quantitative Analysis, Cilt.22, Sayı.1, (109-126).
  • Koenker, Roger-Bassett, Gilbert (1982),“Robust Tests for Heteroscedasticity based on Regression Quantiles”, Econometrica, Cilt.50, Sayı.1, (43–61).
  • Koenker, Roger-Bassett, Gilbert (1978), “Regression Quantiles”, Econometrica, Cilt.46, Sayı.1, (33-50).
  • Lee, Bong Soo-Rui, Oliver (2002),“The Dynamic Relationship Between Stock Returns and Trading Volume: Domestic and Cross-Country Evidence”, Journal of Banking & Finance, Cilt.26, Sayı.1, (51-78).
  • Lee, Chien Chiang-Zeng, Jhih Hong (2011),“The Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Stock Market Activities: Asymmetric Effect with Quantile Regression”, Mathematics and Cumputers in Simulation, Cilt.81, Sayı.9, (1910-1920).
  • Lee, Bong Soo-Li, Ming Yuan Leon (2012), “Diversification and Risk-Adjusted Performance: A Quantile Regression Approach”, Journal of Banking & Finance, Cilt.36, Sayı.7, (2157–2173).
  • Lucey, Brian (2006), “Does Volume Provide Information ?. Evidence from the Irish Stock Market”, Applied Financial Economics Letters, Cilt.1, Sayı.2, (105-109).
  • Mensi, Walid-Hammoudeh, Shawkat-Reboredo, Juan Carlos-Nguyen, Duc Khuong (2014), “ Do Global Factors Impact BRICS Stock Markets? A Quantile Regression Approach, Emerging Markets Review, Cilt.19, (1–17).
  • Moosa, Imad-Silvapulle, Param (2000), “ The Price-Volume Relationship in the Crude Oil Future Market: Some Results based on Linear and Nonlinear Causality Testing”, International Review of Economics and Finance, Cilt.9, Sayı.1,(11-30).
  • Ong, Marcus Alexander (2015), “An Information Theoretic Analysis of Stock Returns, Volatility and Trading Volumes. Applied Economics, Cilt.47, Sayı.36, (1-15).
  • Rashid, Abdul (2007),“Stock Prices and Trading Volume: An Assessment for Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality”, Journal of Asian Economics, Cilt.18, Sayı.4, (595-612).
  • Schwert, William (1989),“Tests for Unit-Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation”, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics,Cilt.7, Sayı.2, (147-159).
  • Taş, Oktay-Tokmakçıoğlu, Kaya-Çevikcan, Gökben (2016), “Borsa Istanbul’da Pay Senedi Getirileri ile İşlem Hacmi Arasındaki İlişki”, Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, Cilt. 18, Sayı.1, (11-30).
  • Toda, Hiro-Yamamoto, Taku (1995), “Statistical Inference in Vector Autoregressions with Possibly Integrated Processes”, Journal of Econometrics, Cilt.66, Sayı.1, (225-250).
  • Umutlu, Göknur (2008),“İşlem Hacmi ve Fiyat Değişkenleri Arasındaki Nedensellik ve Dinamik İlişkiler: İMKB’de Bir Ampirik İnceleme”, Gazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, Cilt.10, Sayı.1, (231-246).
  • Vu, Huong-Holmes, Mark- Lim, Steven-Tran, Tuyen (2014),“Exports and Profitability: A Note from Quantile Regression Approach”, Applied Economics Letters, Cilt.21, Sayı.6, (442–445).
  • Yılancı,Veli-Bozoklu, Şeref (2014),“Türk Sermaye Piyasasında Fiyat ve İşlem hacmi İlişkisi : Zamanla Değişen Asimetrik Nedensellik Analizi”, Ege Akademik Bakış , Cilt.14, Sayı.2, (211-220).
  • Yörük, Nevin-Erdem, Cumhur-Erdem, Meziyet Sema (2006), “Testing for Linear and Nonlinear Granger Causality in the Stock Price-Volume Relation: Turkish Banking Firms Evidence”, Applied Financial Economics Letters, Cilt.2, Sayı.3, (165-171).
Toplam 55 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Önder Büberkökü

Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Haziran 2017
Gönderilme Tarihi 29 Haziran 2017
Kabul Tarihi 17 Nisan 2017
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2017

Kaynak Göster

APA Büberkökü, Ö. (2017). İŞLEM HACMİ İLE HİSSE SENEDİ GETİRİLERİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN İNCELENMESİ: BANKA HİSSELERİNE DAYALI BİR ANALİZ. Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Journal of Social Sciences Institute, 9(19), 457-482. https://doi.org/10.20875/makusobed.324146