Research Article

Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model

Volume: 8 Number: 1 July 31, 2023
TR EN

Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model

Abstract

The negativities brought by climate change, which is among the crisis agendas today, directly affect the cities. According to the UN, the rate of urbanization in the world is increasing rapidly. It is estimated that it will reach 6.4 billion in 2050. The UrbClim model is also used to project future climate in cities. For the province of Erzurum, where the climate negatively affects living things, the climate data of the city for the first 10 days of July 2016, 2017, and 2018 were analyzed using the UrbClim model. This study, it is aimed to analyze the exemplary cities with cold climates in the world, which will set an example in the determination of climate change and support sustainable and livable urbanization, use energy efficiently, and to produce climate adaptation strategies at the point related to landscape.

Keywords

Future climate change, UrbClim, planting design, global climate model, Erzurum

Supporting Institution

Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye, TÜBİTAK 1001-TOVAG

Project Number

Project No: 119O479

Thanks

A simplified version of the work was only orally presented at the “3rd International Conference on Climate Change 1st to 3rd June 2022, Bali, Indonesia.” Authors present their special thanks to “The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye, TÜBİTAK 1001-TOVAG under Project No: 119O479 and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) for sharing their data free of charge.

References

  1. Arnfield, A. J. (2003). Two decades of urban climate research: a review of turbulence, exchanges of energy and water, and the urban heat island. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 23(1), 1-26.
  2. Arellano Ramos, B., Roca Cladera, J. & García Haro, A. (2020). The cooling effect of urban parks in the metropolitan region of Barcelona: the sample of Viladecans, Gavà, and Castelldefels urban continuous. In Planning post carbon cities: 35th PLEA conference on passive and low energy architecture, A Coruña, 1st-3rd September 2020: proceedings (pp. 570-575). Universidade da Coruña.
  3. Anonymous. (2021a). Erzurum Geography: Erzurum Accessed date: April 4, 2021, from https://www.erzurum.bel.tr/IcerikDetay-cografi_ozellikleri/1046/I.html
  4. Anonymous. (2021b). Erzurum provincial directorate of Population. Accessed date: April 4, 2021, from https://www.nufusu.com/il/erzurum-nufusu
  5. Blake, R., Grimm, A., Ichinose, T., Horton, R., Gaffin, S., Jiong, S., Bader, D. & Cecil, D. W. (2011). Urban climate: Processes, trends, and projections. In Rosenzweig, C., Solecki, W. D., Hammer, S. A., and Mehrotra, S. (eds.), Climate Change and Cities: First Assessment Report of the Urban Climate Change Research Network (43–81). Cambridge University Press.
  6. Caluwaerts, S., Hamdi, R., Top, S., Lauwaet, D., Berckmans, J., Degrauwe, D., ... & Termonia, P. (2020). The urban climate of Ghent, Belgium: A case study combining a high-accuracy monitoring network with numerical simulations. Urban Climate, 31, 100565.
  7. De Ridder, K. & Schayes, G. (1997). The IAGL land surface model. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 36(2), 167–182.
  8. De Ridder, K., Lauwaet, D. & Maiheu, B. (2015a). UrbClim – A fast urban boundary layer climate model. Urban Climate, 12, 21–48.
  9. De Ridder, K., Lauwaet, D. & Maiheu, B. (2015b). https://urban-climate.be/c/urbclimDescription/
  10. Frustaci, G., Pilati, S., Lavecchia, C. & Montoli, E. M. (2022). High-resolution gridded air temperature data for the urban environment: The Milan data set. Forecasting, 4(1), 238-261.
APA
Yılmaz, S., Bilge, C., & Irmak, M. (2023). Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications, 8(1), 112-122. https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1256724
AMA
1.Yılmaz S, Bilge C, Irmak M. Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model. JASA. 2023;8(1):112-122. doi:10.30785/mbud.1256724
Chicago
Yılmaz, Sevgi, Cihad Bilge, and Mehmet Irmak. 2023. “Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City With the UrbClim Model”. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications 8 (1): 112-22. https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1256724.
EndNote
Yılmaz S, Bilge C, Irmak M (July 1, 2023) Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications 8 1 112–122.
IEEE
[1]S. Yılmaz, C. Bilge, and M. Irmak, “Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model”, JASA, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 112–122, July 2023, doi: 10.30785/mbud.1256724.
ISNAD
Yılmaz, Sevgi - Bilge, Cihad - Irmak, Mehmet. “Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City With the UrbClim Model”. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications 8/1 (July 1, 2023): 112-122. https://doi.org/10.30785/mbud.1256724.
JAMA
1.Yılmaz S, Bilge C, Irmak M. Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model. JASA. 2023;8:112–122.
MLA
Yılmaz, Sevgi, et al. “Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City With the UrbClim Model”. Journal of Architectural Sciences and Applications, vol. 8, no. 1, July 2023, pp. 112-2, doi:10.30785/mbud.1256724.
Vancouver
1.Sevgi Yılmaz, Cihad Bilge, Mehmet Irmak. Determining the Climate Future Projection of Erzurum City with the UrbClim Model. JASA. 2023 Jul. 1;8(1):112-2. doi:10.30785/mbud.1256724