Türkiye’de Finansal Gelişme ve Enerji Tüketimi İlişkisi: Bir Zaman Serisi Kanıtı

Öz

Bu çalışma, finansal gelişme ile enerji tüketimi arasındaki ilişkiyi Türkiye örneğinde 1980-2015 döneminde ekonomik büyüme ve kentleşmeyi enerji tüketimi modeline dahil ederek incelemektedir. ARDL sınır testi, yapısal kırılmalar altında finansal gelişme, ekonomik büyüme, kentleşme ve enerji tüketimi arasında bir uzun dönem ilişkisinin varlığını göstermektedir. DOLS tahmin sonuçlarına göre; enerji tüketimi sırasıyla kentleşme ve finansal gelişme tarafından belirlenmektedir. Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik analizi, finansal gelişmeden enerji tüketimine doğru işleyen bir nedenselliğin varlığını göstermektedir. İlaveten, ekonomik büyüme ve kentleşmeden enerji tüketimine doğru işleyen bir nedenselliğe rastlanmamıştır. Sonuçlar, Türkiye için bazı politika eğilimleri ortaya koyabilmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Finansal Gelişme,Enerji Tüketimi,Yapısal Kırılma,ARDL,Nedensellik,Türkiye

The Link between Financial Development and Energy Consumption in Turkey: A Time Series Evidence

Öz

This paper examines the relationship between financial development and energy consumption in case of Turkey during the period 1980-2015 by adding economic growth and urbanization to the energy consumption specification. The ARDL bounds test indicates the existence of a long run relationship among financial development, economic growth, urbanization and energy consumption under the structural breaks. The DOLS estimation results reveal that energy consumption is determined by urbanization and financial develoment, respectively. The Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis indicates the presence of a causality running from financial development to energy consumption. In addition, a causality running from economic growth and urbanization to energy consumption is not found. The results can exhibit some policy implications for Turkey.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Financial Development,Energy Consumption,Structural Break,ARDL,Causality,Turkey

Kaynakça

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