Tarımsal Desteklerin Tarımsal İhracat Üzerindeki Etkisi

Öz

Bu çalışma tarımsal desteklerin Türk tarımsal ihracatı üzerindeki etkisini, krizleri de göz önünde bulundurarak ele almaktadır. 1986-2019 dönemleri için yıllık veriler kullanılarak, tarımsal ihracat üzerindeki etkiyi görmek için ARDL sınır testi, krizleri analiz etmek için de yapısal kırılma testi uygulanmaktadır. Ampirik bulgular tarımsal ihracatın, tarımsal destek ve kişi başına GSYİH ile pozitif ilişkili olduğunu, reel döviz kuru ve kriz dönemi ile ise negatif ilişkili olduğunu göstermektedir. Yapısal kırılma testi sonuçları, 2000-2002 dönemi için anlamlı olmamakla birlikte, tarımsal ihracat üzerinde negatif etkisinin olduğunu göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Tarımsal Destek
• Tarımsal İhracat
• Sürdürülebilirlik
• Ekonomik Kriz
• Yapısal Kırılma Testi

Impact of Agricultural Supports on the Agricultural Export

Öz

This paper aims to analyze the impact of agricultural supports on Turkish agricultural export by taking the crises into consideration. By using annual data for the 1986-2019 period, ARDL bound test is implemented for the impact on agricultural export and structural break test for the crises. The empirical results reveal that while agricultural export has a positive relationship with agricultural support and GDP per capita, negative relationship with real exchange rate and the crisis period. Structural break test shows the importance of 2000-2002 period on the export, however that period is not significant, it has a negative impact on the agricultural export.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Agricultural Export
• Agricultural Support
• Sustainability
• Economic Crisis
• Structural Break Test

Kaynakça

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