Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 80 - 90, 30.06.2021

Fatma İdil Baktemur

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Ajmi, A. N., Aye, G. C., Balcilar, M. & Gupta, R. (2015). Causality between Exports and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests, The Journal of Developing Areas, 49(2), 163–181.
  • Awokuse T.O. & Christopoulos, D. K. (2009). Nonlinear dynamics and the export-output growth nexus, Econ. Model,184-190.
  • Aytaç, A. (2017). Ekonomik Büyüme – İhracat İlişkisi: 2001-2016 Türkiye Örneği, Sosyal Bilimler Araştırma Dergisi, 6(4) , 214-222.
  • Bahramian, P. & Saliminezhad, A. (2019). On the relationship between export and economic growth: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach for Turkey, The Journal of International Trade Economic Development, 29(1), 131–145.
  • Balassa B. (1978). Exports and Economic Growth: Further Evidence, Journal of Development Economics, 5(2), 181–189.
  • Balassa B. (1985). Exports, Policy Choices, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries After the 1973 Oil Shock, Journal of Development Economics, 18(1), 23–35.
  • Beckerman, W. (1965). Demand, exports and growth, in The Britain Economy in 1975, (Eds) W. Beckerman and Associates, The National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Series 23, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 44-72.
  • Bilas, V., Bošnjak, M. & Franc S. (2015). Examining the export-led growth hypothesis: The case of Croatia, Our Economy, 61(3), 22–31.
  • Bilgin, C. & Şahbaz, A. (2009). Türkiye’de Büyüme ve İhracat Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkileri, Gaziantep Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 8(1), 177-198.
  • Brock, W., Dechert, D., Sheinkman, J. & LeBaron B. (1996). A test for independence based on the correlation dimension, Econometric Reviews, 15(3), 197–235.
  • Camarero, M. & Ordonez J. (2012). Nonlinear adjustment in the real dollar– euro exchange rate: The role of the productivity differential as a fundamental, Economic Modelling, 29, 444–449.
  • Çetin, R. & Ackrill R. (2018). Exports, imports, growth and causality: a study of Slovakia, Post-Communist Economies, 30(3), 395-404.
  • Diks, C. & Panchenko V. (2006). A New Statistic And Practical Guidelines For Nonparametric Granger Causality Testing, Journal Of Economic Dynamics And Control, 30(9), 1647-1669.
  • Dura, Y. C., Beser, M. K. & Acaroğlu H. (2017). Türkiye'nin İhracata Dayalı Büyümesinin Ekonometrik Analizi/Econometric Analysis Of Turkey's Export-Led Growth, Ege Akademik Bakis, 17(2), 295-309.
  • Edwards, S. (1993). Openness, Trade Liberalization, and Growth in Developing Countries, Journal of Economic Literature, 31, 1358-96.
  • Giles, J. A. & Williams C. L. (2000). Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Non-Causality Results, (Part I). Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 9:3, 261-337.
  • Greenaway, D. & Sapsford D. (1994). What Does Liberalisation Do for Exports and Growth?, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 130(1), 152–174.
  • Grossman G. M. & Helpman E. (1991). Trade, Knowledge Spillovers, and Growth, European Economic Review, 35 (2–3), 517–526.
  • Gurgul, H. & Lach L. (2010). International Trade and Economic Growth in the Polish Economy, Operations Research and Decisions, 3–4, 5–29.
  • Helpman, E. & Krugman, P. R. (1985). Market Structure and Foreign Trade: Increasing Returns, Imperfect Competition, and the International Economy, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
  • Jin, J. C. (2002). Exports and Growth: is the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Provincial Economies?, Applied Economics, 34, 63-76.
  • Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y. & Snell, A. (2003). Testing For A Unit Root In The Nonlinear STAR Framework, Journal Of Econometrics, 112(2), 359-379.
  • Korkmaz, S. & Aydın A. (2015). Türkiye’de Dış Ticaret-Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Nedensellik Analizi, Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 10(3), 47-76.
  • Krueger A. O. (1980). Trade Policy As An Input to Development. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Lancaster K. (1980). Intra-industry Trade Under Perfect Monopolistic Competition, Journal of International Economics, 10(2), 151–175.
  • Lee, C. H. & Huang, B. N. (2002). The relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in East Asia Countries: A Multivariate Threshold Autoregressive Approach, Journal of Economic Development, 27(2), 45–68.
  • Lim, S.Y. & Ho, C. M. (2013). Nonlinearity in Asean-5 export-led growth model: Empirical evidence from nonparametric approach, Economic Modelling, 32, 136-145.
  • Mangir F. (2012). Export and Economic Growth in Turkey: Cointegration and Causality Analysis, Economics, Management, and Financial Markets, 7(1), 67.
  • McKinnon R. I. (1964). Foreign Exchange Constraints in Economic Development and Efficient Aid Allocation, The Economic Journal, 74 (294), 388–409.
  • Mishu, A. A., Chowdhury, S. & Zayed, N. M. (2020). An Analysis of the Causal Relationship Among Economic Growth, Export and Import in Bangladesh, Int J Fam Busi Manag, 4(1), 1-5.
  • Prebisch, R. (1950). The economic development of Latin America and its principal problems. NY: United Nations.
  • Shihab, R.A., Soufan, T. & Khaliq, S. A. (2014). The Causal Relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in Jordan, International Journal of Business and Social Science, 5, 302-308.
  • Singer, H. W. (1950). The Distribution of Gains Between Investing and Borrowing Countries, Amer. Econ. Rev., 40(2), 473-85.
  • Vernon, R. (1966). International investment and international trade in the product cycle, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80, 290-307.

TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 80 - 90, 30.06.2021

Fatma İdil Baktemur

Öz

İhracat ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi kalkınma ekonomisinde önemli bir konuma sahiptir. Nedensellik ihracattan büyümeye doğru bulunduğunda ihracata dayalı büyüme, nedensellik büyümeden ihracata doğru bulunduğunda ise büyümeye dayalı ihracat hipotezleri geçerli olmaktadır. Bu çalışmada Türkiye’de ihracat ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi, serilerin doğrusal olmamasından dolayı, Diks ve Panchenko (2006) doğrusal olmayan nedensellik testi ile araştırılmıştır. Veriler 2003Q1-2020Q3 dönemini kapsamaktadır. Serilerin doğrusal olmadığının ve birim köklü olduğunun bulunmasının ardından nedensellik testi uygulanmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, ihracattan büyümeye doğru tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi bulunmuştur. Buna göre ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezi geçerlidir ve ihracatın ekonomik büyüme için önemli bir faktör olduğu söylenebilmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

ihracat ekonomik büyüme doğrusal olmama nedensellik

Kaynakça

  • Ajmi, A. N., Aye, G. C., Balcilar, M. & Gupta, R. (2015). Causality between Exports and Economic Growth in South Africa: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Tests, The Journal of Developing Areas, 49(2), 163–181.
  • Awokuse T.O. & Christopoulos, D. K. (2009). Nonlinear dynamics and the export-output growth nexus, Econ. Model,184-190.
  • Aytaç, A. (2017). Ekonomik Büyüme – İhracat İlişkisi: 2001-2016 Türkiye Örneği, Sosyal Bilimler Araştırma Dergisi, 6(4) , 214-222.
  • Bahramian, P. & Saliminezhad, A. (2019). On the relationship between export and economic growth: A nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach for Turkey, The Journal of International Trade Economic Development, 29(1), 131–145.
  • Balassa B. (1978). Exports and Economic Growth: Further Evidence, Journal of Development Economics, 5(2), 181–189.
  • Balassa B. (1985). Exports, Policy Choices, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries After the 1973 Oil Shock, Journal of Development Economics, 18(1), 23–35.
  • Beckerman, W. (1965). Demand, exports and growth, in The Britain Economy in 1975, (Eds) W. Beckerman and Associates, The National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Series 23, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 44-72.
  • Bilas, V., Bošnjak, M. & Franc S. (2015). Examining the export-led growth hypothesis: The case of Croatia, Our Economy, 61(3), 22–31.
  • Bilgin, C. & Şahbaz, A. (2009). Türkiye’de Büyüme ve İhracat Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkileri, Gaziantep Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 8(1), 177-198.
  • Brock, W., Dechert, D., Sheinkman, J. & LeBaron B. (1996). A test for independence based on the correlation dimension, Econometric Reviews, 15(3), 197–235.
  • Camarero, M. & Ordonez J. (2012). Nonlinear adjustment in the real dollar– euro exchange rate: The role of the productivity differential as a fundamental, Economic Modelling, 29, 444–449.
  • Çetin, R. & Ackrill R. (2018). Exports, imports, growth and causality: a study of Slovakia, Post-Communist Economies, 30(3), 395-404.
  • Diks, C. & Panchenko V. (2006). A New Statistic And Practical Guidelines For Nonparametric Granger Causality Testing, Journal Of Economic Dynamics And Control, 30(9), 1647-1669.
  • Dura, Y. C., Beser, M. K. & Acaroğlu H. (2017). Türkiye'nin İhracata Dayalı Büyümesinin Ekonometrik Analizi/Econometric Analysis Of Turkey's Export-Led Growth, Ege Akademik Bakis, 17(2), 295-309.
  • Edwards, S. (1993). Openness, Trade Liberalization, and Growth in Developing Countries, Journal of Economic Literature, 31, 1358-96.
  • Giles, J. A. & Williams C. L. (2000). Export-Led Growth: A Survey of the Empirical Literature and Some Non-Causality Results, (Part I). Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 9:3, 261-337.
  • Greenaway, D. & Sapsford D. (1994). What Does Liberalisation Do for Exports and Growth?, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 130(1), 152–174.
  • Grossman G. M. & Helpman E. (1991). Trade, Knowledge Spillovers, and Growth, European Economic Review, 35 (2–3), 517–526.
  • Gurgul, H. & Lach L. (2010). International Trade and Economic Growth in the Polish Economy, Operations Research and Decisions, 3–4, 5–29.
  • Helpman, E. & Krugman, P. R. (1985). Market Structure and Foreign Trade: Increasing Returns, Imperfect Competition, and the International Economy, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
  • Jin, J. C. (2002). Exports and Growth: is the Export-Led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Provincial Economies?, Applied Economics, 34, 63-76.
  • Kapetanios, G., Shin, Y. & Snell, A. (2003). Testing For A Unit Root In The Nonlinear STAR Framework, Journal Of Econometrics, 112(2), 359-379.
  • Korkmaz, S. & Aydın A. (2015). Türkiye’de Dış Ticaret-Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Nedensellik Analizi, Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 10(3), 47-76.
  • Krueger A. O. (1980). Trade Policy As An Input to Development. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Lancaster K. (1980). Intra-industry Trade Under Perfect Monopolistic Competition, Journal of International Economics, 10(2), 151–175.
  • Lee, C. H. & Huang, B. N. (2002). The relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in East Asia Countries: A Multivariate Threshold Autoregressive Approach, Journal of Economic Development, 27(2), 45–68.
  • Lim, S.Y. & Ho, C. M. (2013). Nonlinearity in Asean-5 export-led growth model: Empirical evidence from nonparametric approach, Economic Modelling, 32, 136-145.
  • Mangir F. (2012). Export and Economic Growth in Turkey: Cointegration and Causality Analysis, Economics, Management, and Financial Markets, 7(1), 67.
  • McKinnon R. I. (1964). Foreign Exchange Constraints in Economic Development and Efficient Aid Allocation, The Economic Journal, 74 (294), 388–409.
  • Mishu, A. A., Chowdhury, S. & Zayed, N. M. (2020). An Analysis of the Causal Relationship Among Economic Growth, Export and Import in Bangladesh, Int J Fam Busi Manag, 4(1), 1-5.
  • Prebisch, R. (1950). The economic development of Latin America and its principal problems. NY: United Nations.
  • Shihab, R.A., Soufan, T. & Khaliq, S. A. (2014). The Causal Relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in Jordan, International Journal of Business and Social Science, 5, 302-308.
  • Singer, H. W. (1950). The Distribution of Gains Between Investing and Borrowing Countries, Amer. Econ. Rev., 40(2), 473-85.
  • Vernon, R. (1966). International investment and international trade in the product cycle, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80, 290-307.
Toplam 34 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Fatma İdil Baktemur 0000-0003-2455-5898

Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Haziran 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Baktemur, F. İ. (2021). TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 5(1), 80-90.
AMA Baktemur Fİ. TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. Haziran 2021;5(1):80-90.
Chicago Baktemur, Fatma İdil. “TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ”. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 5, sy. 1 (Haziran 2021): 80-90.
EndNote Baktemur Fİ (01 Haziran 2021) TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 5 1 80–90.
IEEE F. İ. Baktemur, “TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ”, Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 5, sy. 1, ss. 80–90, 2021.
ISNAD Baktemur, Fatma İdil. “TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ”. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 5/1 (Haziran 2021), 80-90.
JAMA Baktemur Fİ. TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2021;5:80–90.
MLA Baktemur, Fatma İdil. “TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ”. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, c. 5, sy. 1, 2021, ss. 80-90.
Vancouver Baktemur Fİ. TÜRKİYE’DE İHRACAT İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ DOĞRUSAL OLMAYAN NEDENSEL İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ. Osmaniye Korkut Ata Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2021;5(1):80-9.
 Kapak Resmi İndir