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MALİYE POLİTİKASI UYGULAMALARINA DİNAMİK DEĞERLEME YAKLAŞIMI

Yıl 2010, Sayı: 78, 111 - 127, 01.09.2010

Öz

Dinamik değerleme, maliye politikasının bütçesel etkilerini tahmin ederken ortaya çıkması muhtemel tüm iktisadi etkilerin hesaba alınmasını ifade eden bir kavramdır. Temellerini dinamik genel denge modellerinden alan dinamik değerleme özellikle vergi reformlarının muhtemel etkilerini değerlendirme amacına yönelik olarak kullanılmaktadır. Bu çalışma, dinamik değerleme kavramı ve sürecini, dinamik değerlemeye yönelik olumlu ve olumsuz görüşlere ve kuramsal arka plana da yer vererek açıklamayı ve dinamik değerlemenin Türkiye’deki bütçeleme sürecinde kullanılabilirliğini değerlendirmeyi amaçlamaktadır

Kaynakça

  • Adam, Stuart, Antoine Bozio (2009), “Dynamic Scoring”, OECD Journal on Budgeting, Vol. 2009/2.
  • Auerbach Alan J., Laurance J. Kotlikoff (1987), Dynamic Fiscal Policy, Cambridge University Press, New York.
  • Auerbach, Alan J. (2005), “Dynamic Scoring: Introduction to the Issues”, American Economic Review, Vol.95 (2).
  • Ballard, Charles A., Don Fullerton, John B. Shoven, John Whalley (1962), A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation, NBER Volume, University of Chicago Press.
  • BUMKO (2010a), “Bütçe Hazırlama Süreci” http://www.bumko.gov.tr/TR/Genel/BelgeGoster.aspx?F6E10F88924 33CFFAAF6AA849816B2EF3D203AAAB91E0915 (24.11.2011)
  • BUMKO (2010b), “Parlamento Bütçe Yetkilileri Toplantısına İlişkin Toplantı Raporu” Bütçe Politikası ve Uluslararası İlişkiler Dairesi, Rapor No: YD.TOPLANTI-2010/1.
  • Diamond, John W., Edward A., Hermena Hancock (2006), “Issues and Problems in Dynamic Scoring and Conventional Scoring”, http://www.house.gov/budget_republicans/hearings/diamond06091 3.htm (18.09.2010)
  • Fullerton, Donald, John B. Shoven, John Walley (1983), “Replacing the U.S. Income Tax with a Progressive Consumption Tax”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 20.
  • Harberger, Arnold J. (1962), “The Incidence of the Corporate Income Tax”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 70.
  • Holtz-Eakin, Douglas (2005), “Dynamic Scoring”, Taxation and Tax Policy, Joseph J. Cordes, Robert D. Ebel, Jane G. Grabelle (Der.), The Urban Institute Press, Washington.
  • Homma, Masaaki (1977), “A Comparative Static Analysis of Tax Incidence”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol.8 (1).
  • Leeper, Eric M., Shu-Chun Susan Yang (2006) “Dynamic Scoring: Alternative Financing Schemes”, NBER Working Paper Series No: 12103.
  • Mankiw, N. Gregory, Matthew Weinzierl (2006), “Dynamic Scoring: A Back of the Envelope Guide”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol.90.
  • Mauskopf, Eileen, Dave Reifschneider (1997), “Dynamic Scoring, Fiscal Policy and the Short-Run Behavior of the Macroeconomy”, National Tax Journal, Vol.50 (3).
  • Penner, Rudolph G. (2003), “The Dynamics of Scoring: A Congressional Tale” The Milken Institute Review, Vol. Third Quarter 2003.
  • Prante, Gerald (2006), “Bernanke on Dynamic Scoring, Fiscal Discipline and the Benefits of a Stable Tax Code” The Tax Foundation - Tax Policy Blog, http://www.taxfoundation.org/blog/printer/1462.html (04.09.2010)
  • Rahman, M. Salfur (2008), “Should Dynamic Scoring be done with Heterogeneous Agent-Based Models? Challenging the Conventional Wisdom”, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, No:2008-023.
  • Reyling, J. R. (2006), “Dynamic Scoring: Increasing Prosperity Through GDP Growth”, (30.08.2010)
  • http://users.rcn.com/reyling/DynamicScoring4.pdf
  • Scarf, Herbert E. (1967), “The Core of an N Person Game,” Econometrica, Vol. 35.
  • Scarf, Herbert E. (1973), The Computation of Economic Equilibria, Yale University Press, New Haven and London.
  • Shoven, John B. (1976), “The Incidence and Efficiency Effects of Taxes on Income from Capital”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol.84.
  • Shoven, John B., J. Whalley (1972), “A General Equilibrium Calculation of the Effects of Differential Taxation of Income from Capital in the U.S.”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol.1
  • Yentürk, Nurhan (2009), Çok Yıllı Bütçe ve Orta Vadeli Mali Plan İzleme Kılavuzu, İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi, STK Eğitim ve Araştırma Birimi, Bütçe İzleme Dizisi, No: 2, İstanbul.

DYNAMIC SCORING APPROACH TO FISCAL POLICY IMPLEMENTATIONS

Yıl 2010, Sayı: 78, 111 - 127, 01.09.2010

Öz

Dynamic scoring refers to the concept that taking account the entire possible economic effects when estimating the budgetary effects of fiscal policy. Based on the dynamic general equilibrium models, dynamic scoring is especially employed for evaluating the possible effects of tax reforms. By enclosing its theoretical background with positive and negative views, this study aims to explain the concept and the process of dynamic scoring and assess the usability of dynamic scoring in the budget process in Turkey

Kaynakça

  • Adam, Stuart, Antoine Bozio (2009), “Dynamic Scoring”, OECD Journal on Budgeting, Vol. 2009/2.
  • Auerbach Alan J., Laurance J. Kotlikoff (1987), Dynamic Fiscal Policy, Cambridge University Press, New York.
  • Auerbach, Alan J. (2005), “Dynamic Scoring: Introduction to the Issues”, American Economic Review, Vol.95 (2).
  • Ballard, Charles A., Don Fullerton, John B. Shoven, John Whalley (1962), A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation, NBER Volume, University of Chicago Press.
  • BUMKO (2010a), “Bütçe Hazırlama Süreci” http://www.bumko.gov.tr/TR/Genel/BelgeGoster.aspx?F6E10F88924 33CFFAAF6AA849816B2EF3D203AAAB91E0915 (24.11.2011)
  • BUMKO (2010b), “Parlamento Bütçe Yetkilileri Toplantısına İlişkin Toplantı Raporu” Bütçe Politikası ve Uluslararası İlişkiler Dairesi, Rapor No: YD.TOPLANTI-2010/1.
  • Diamond, John W., Edward A., Hermena Hancock (2006), “Issues and Problems in Dynamic Scoring and Conventional Scoring”, http://www.house.gov/budget_republicans/hearings/diamond06091 3.htm (18.09.2010)
  • Fullerton, Donald, John B. Shoven, John Walley (1983), “Replacing the U.S. Income Tax with a Progressive Consumption Tax”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 20.
  • Harberger, Arnold J. (1962), “The Incidence of the Corporate Income Tax”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 70.
  • Holtz-Eakin, Douglas (2005), “Dynamic Scoring”, Taxation and Tax Policy, Joseph J. Cordes, Robert D. Ebel, Jane G. Grabelle (Der.), The Urban Institute Press, Washington.
  • Homma, Masaaki (1977), “A Comparative Static Analysis of Tax Incidence”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol.8 (1).
  • Leeper, Eric M., Shu-Chun Susan Yang (2006) “Dynamic Scoring: Alternative Financing Schemes”, NBER Working Paper Series No: 12103.
  • Mankiw, N. Gregory, Matthew Weinzierl (2006), “Dynamic Scoring: A Back of the Envelope Guide”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol.90.
  • Mauskopf, Eileen, Dave Reifschneider (1997), “Dynamic Scoring, Fiscal Policy and the Short-Run Behavior of the Macroeconomy”, National Tax Journal, Vol.50 (3).
  • Penner, Rudolph G. (2003), “The Dynamics of Scoring: A Congressional Tale” The Milken Institute Review, Vol. Third Quarter 2003.
  • Prante, Gerald (2006), “Bernanke on Dynamic Scoring, Fiscal Discipline and the Benefits of a Stable Tax Code” The Tax Foundation - Tax Policy Blog, http://www.taxfoundation.org/blog/printer/1462.html (04.09.2010)
  • Rahman, M. Salfur (2008), “Should Dynamic Scoring be done with Heterogeneous Agent-Based Models? Challenging the Conventional Wisdom”, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, No:2008-023.
  • Reyling, J. R. (2006), “Dynamic Scoring: Increasing Prosperity Through GDP Growth”, (30.08.2010)
  • http://users.rcn.com/reyling/DynamicScoring4.pdf
  • Scarf, Herbert E. (1967), “The Core of an N Person Game,” Econometrica, Vol. 35.
  • Scarf, Herbert E. (1973), The Computation of Economic Equilibria, Yale University Press, New Haven and London.
  • Shoven, John B. (1976), “The Incidence and Efficiency Effects of Taxes on Income from Capital”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol.84.
  • Shoven, John B., J. Whalley (1972), “A General Equilibrium Calculation of the Effects of Differential Taxation of Income from Capital in the U.S.”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol.1
  • Yentürk, Nurhan (2009), Çok Yıllı Bütçe ve Orta Vadeli Mali Plan İzleme Kılavuzu, İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi, STK Eğitim ve Araştırma Birimi, Bütçe İzleme Dizisi, No: 2, İstanbul.
Toplam 24 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Research Article
Yazarlar

İlter Ünlükaplan Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Eylül 2010
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2010 Sayı: 78

Kaynak Göster

APA Ünlükaplan, İ. (2010). MALİYE POLİTİKASI UYGULAMALARINA DİNAMİK DEĞERLEME YAKLAŞIMI. Sayıştay Dergisi(78), 111-127.