TURKEY, GLOBAL (IM)BALANCES and INCLUSIVE GROWTH

Öz

Beside the literature using parameters such like financial dept, debt burden or financial openness in order to identify the inclusiveness path of an economy, the interrelation among “global imbalances” and “inclusive growth” approaches, which were also emerged at the same period, has not been recognised yet. In this study, these two approaches viewed independently with the aim of determining their intersection axis, and Turkey’s growth path has been evaluated in terms of inclusiveness and global imbalances while considering regional trade dynamics too. It is proven beside current account balance variable, complementary indicators affacted by geography such as defense, security, or immigration movements mustn’t be underestimated.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Inclusive growth,Global Imbalances,Global Economy,Regional Economy

TÜRKİYE, GLOBAL CARİ DENGE(SİZLİK)LER ve KAPSAYICI BÜYÜME

Öz

Global cari dengesizlikler” ve “kapsayıcı büyüme” kavramları eş-zamanlı yükselirken, iki yaklaşım arasındaki ilişki doğrudan incelenmemiştir. Oysa finansal derinlik, borç yükü, finansal açıklık gibi parametreler üzerinden büyümenin kapsayıcılığını değerlendiren pek çok çalışma vardır. Bu çalışmada “cari denge(sizlik)ler” ve “kapsayıcı büyüme” literatürü bağımsızca değerlendirilip yaklaşımların ortak kümesi çözümlenmiş; “global denge(sizlik)ler ile “kapsayıcı büyüme”nin yakın ilişkili olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmış; Türkiye ekonomisi için kapsayıcı büyüme-cari denge(sizlik)ler ilişkisi bölgesel ticaretin dağılımı da dikkate alınarak çözümlenmiştir. Çalışmada cari hesap dengesinin yanında göç, güvenlik ve savunma benzeri değişkenlerin de ülke coğrafyalarına bağlı olarak kapsayıcılık üzerinde etkili olduğu görülmüştür.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Kapsayıcı büyüme,Global Cari Dengesizlikler,Küresel Ekonomi,Bölgesel Ekonomi.

Kaynakça

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