Risk Assessment in Paddy Rice Cultivation: The Case of Gihanga, Burundi.

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 39 Sayı: 2, 434 - 445, 27.08.2025

Thierry Keringingo , Zuhal Karakayacı

https://doi.org/10.15316/selcukjafsci.1645008

Öz

This study was carried out in the Imbo plain of the Gihanga region in Burundi. The primary objective of this research is to analyze the main risks associated with rice production. To achieve the study's objectives, face-to-face surveys were conducted using the KoboCollect application. Once the surveys were completed, a statistical analysis was carried out using SPSS 25, and the Fine-Kinney method has been used to assess the severity of the identified risks. The results reveal that rice cultivation is predominant in Gihanga, with an average production of 3,878.95 kg per enterprise and per year. The average area allocated for rice cultivation was 1.4 hectares. The risks observed in the examined farms, with severity values exceeding 400, include drought, lack of agricultural insurance, plant diseases, inadequate irrigation infrastructure, and limited access to quality inputs. Major challenges identified include difficulties in accessing financial resources, insufficient agricultural oversight, and poor water management. On the other hand, in Imbo, it was found that the semi-intensive production system of small farms neither weakened nor strengthened their competitive advantage. It is imperative to consider agricultural risks when making production decisions, and the formulation of policies aimed at developing the rice sector is strongly recommended.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Risk Analysis , Fine-Kinney Method , Agricultural Enterprises

Çeltik Yetiştiriciliğinde Risk Değerlendirilmesi: Gihanga Örneği, Burundi.

Öz

Bu çalışma Burundi'nin Gihanga bölgesindeki Imbo ovasında yürütülmüştür. Bu
araştırmanın amacı pirinç üretiminde karşılaşılan başlıca riskleri analiz etmektir. Çalışmanın
amaçlarına ulaşabilmek için KoboCollect uygulaması kullanılarak anket yüz yüze yapılmış,
anketler tamamlandıktan sonra SPSS 25 programı ile istatistiksel analiz yapılmış ve ayrıca
risklerin şiddet derecesini değerlendirmek amacıyla Fine-Kenney yöntemi kullanılmıştır.
Sonuçlar Gihanga'da pirinç ekiminin baskın olduğunu, işletme başına ortalama üretimin 3.878,95
kg/yıl olduğunu ortaya konulmuştur. Çeltik için kullanılan alan ortalama 1,4 ha. İncelenen
işletmelerde kuraklık, tarım sigortasının olmaması, bitki hastalıkları, yetersiz sulama altyapısı ve
kaliteli girdiler 400'den büyük şiddet değeri ile gözlenen risklerdir. Finansal kaynaklara erişimin
zorluğu, yetersiz tarımsal denetim ve suyun kontrolünün zayıf olması başlıca handikapları
oluşturmaktadır. Öte yandan, İmbo'da küçük çiftliklerin yarı-yoğun üretim sisteminin rekabet
gücünü zayıflattığı ya da güçlendirdiği görülmemiştir. Üretim kararları alınırken tarımsal
risklerin göz önünde bulundurulması öncelikli olup, pirinç sektörünün geliştirilmesine yönelik
politikaların belirlenmesi önemle tavsiye edilmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Risk Analizleri , Fine-Kinney Yöntemi , Tarım İşletmeleri

Kaynakça

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