Economic Analysis of Crime: An Application on Turkey and European Countries

Öz

The crime creates important threats for societies and economies in terms of both microeconomic and macroeconomic theory. From the microeconomic perspective, the effects of variables such as income, unemployment, education, and inequality on crime are investigated while macroeconomic analyses focus on the negative effects of crime on economic growth since it decreases competitiveness, deters foreign investors, and increases inefficient public expenditures. This study analyses socioeconomic determinants of crime and the impact of crime on economic growth by using panel data techniques for the data of 25 European countries in which Turkey as well is included for the period 1993-2012. Empirical results indicate that income, education and welfare level rises decrease crime while unemployment, price level and inequality increase it. In addition, empirical results confirm that the crime has a negative impact on economic growth.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Crime Economics
• Crime Models
• Economic Growth
• Panel Data

Suçun İktisadi Analizi: Türkiye ve Avrupa Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Uygulama

Öz

Suç hem mikro iktisadi açıdan hem de makro iktisadi açıdan toplumlar ve ekonomiler için önemli tehditler içermektedir. Mikro analizlerde gelir, işsizlik, eğitim, eşitsizlik gibi değişkenlerin suç üzerindeki etkileri araştırılmaktadır. Makro analizlerde ise suçun rekabet gücünü azaltacağı, yabancı yatırımcıları caydıracağı, özel ve kamu fonlarının suç önlemeye yönelik verimsiz alanlara aktarılmasına sebep olacağı değerlendirilmektedir. Bu çalışma Türkiye’nin dahil edildiği 25 Avrupa ülkesinde, suçun sosyoekonomik belirleyicilerini ve ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisini analiz etmektedir. Elde edilen sonuçlar gelir, eğitim, refah düzeyinin suçları negatif; işsizlik, fiyat artışı ve eşitsizliğin ise suçları pozitif etkilediğini göstermektedir. Ayrıca, sonuçlar suçun ekonomik büyüme üzerinde negatif etkiye sahip olduğunu doğrulamaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Suç Ekonomisi
• Suç Modelleri
• Ekonomik Büyüme
• Panel Veri

Kaynakça

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