AB Ülkeleri ve Türkiye İşgücü Piyasasında Histeri Etkisi: RATCHET Modeli Analizi

Yıl 2014, Cilt: 22 Sayı: 22, - , 01.09.2014

İbrahim Tokatlıoğlu , Fahriye Öztürk , Hakan Ardor

https://doi.org/10.17233/se.27320

Cited By: 6

Öz

Çalışmada Türkiye’de dâhil seçilmiş 15 AB üyesi ülke işgücü piyasasında histeri etkisinin varlığı araştırılmıştır. Bu amaca yönelik olarak Ratchet modeli kullanılmıştır. AB üye ülkeler için yapılan çalışmada Arellano-Bond dinamik panel veri modeli ile tahmin yapılmıştır. Yapılan analizler sonucunda AB üyesi seçilmiş 15 ülkede Ratchet ve histeri etkisinin olduğu ancak zayıf bir seyir izlediği bulunmuştur. Doğal işsizlik oranı cari işsizlik oranını bir tepe noktasından başka bir tepe noktasına doğru ilerlerken takip etmekte ancak bu tepe noktasında kalıcılık göstermemekte ve cari işsizlik oranları düştüğünde doğal işsizlik oranı da düşmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

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