G7 ve E7 Ülkelerinde Vergi Politikası Dalgalanmalarının Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkisi: Panel ARDL Analizi

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 32 Sayı: 62, 523 - 550, 28.10.2024

M. Taylan Yavuzer , Hakan Hotunluoğlu

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2024.04.24

Öz

Bu çalışmada, G7 ve E7 ülkelerinde vergi politikasının ve vergi politikası dalgalanmalarının ekonomik büyümeye etkisi, 2001-2020 dönemi için, Panel ARDL yöntemiyle analiz edilmiştir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, E7 ülkelerinde hem vergi politikasının hem de vergi politikası dalgalanmalarının ekonomik büyümeye etkisi pozitiftir. G7 ülkelerinde ise, vergi politikasının ekonomik büyümeye etkisi pozitif iken, vergi politikası dalgalanmalarının ekonomik büyümeye etkisi negatiftir. Bu durum G7 ülkelerinin politika dalgalanmalarından, E7 ülkelerine kıyasla, daha fazla etkilendiğini göstermektedir. 2008 krizinin dikkate alındığı modelde, E7 ülkelerinin hata düzeltme terimi etkilenmemiş iken, G7 ülkelerinin hata düzeltme terimi negatif yönde etkilenmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Maliye Politikası, Vergi Politikası Dalgalanmaları, G7 Ülkeleri, E7 Ülkeleri, Panel ARDL Analizi

The Effect of Tax Policy Fluctuations on Economic Growth in G7 and E7 Countries: Panel ARDL Analysis

Öz

This study analysed the effect of tax policy and tax policy fluctuations on economic growth in G7 and E7 countries with the Panel ARDL method for the 2001-2020 period. According to the findings, tax policy and policy fluctuations positively affect economic growth in E7 countries. In G7 countries, while the effect of tax policy on economic growth is positive, the impact of tax policy fluctuations on economic growth is negative. It shows that G7 countries are more affected by policy fluctuations than E7 countries. In the model with the 2008 crisis, while the error correction term of E7 countries was not affected, the error correction term of G7 countries was negatively affected.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Fiscal Policy, Tax Policy Fluctuations, G7 Countries, E7 Countries, Panel ARDL Analysis

Kaynakça

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