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Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria

Cilt: 12 Sayı: 2 25 Aralık 2025
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Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria

Öz

This article examines the enduring impact of the Arab Spring on Sudan and Algeria, focusing on the dynamics that have rendered their revolutionary trajectories “unfinished.” Building on the theoretical frameworks of civil-military relations, authoritarian resilience, and counterrevolution, the study situates both cases within the broader post-2011 political landscape of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The analysis highlights how structural legacies of post-colonial state formation, entrenched military influence, and regional geopolitical rivalries shaped the course of these uprisings. In Sudan, the fall of Omar al-Bashir in 2019 initiated a fragile civilian–military partnership, ultimately derailed by the 2021 coup, which reignited authoritarian consolidation. In Algeria, the Hirak movement forced the resignation of Abdelaziz Bouteflika but confronted a military establishment determined to preserve its dominance. Comparative insights reveal that in both contexts, militaries acted as decisive arbiters, constraining democratic transitions through tutelary roles and institutional autonomy. External actors also reinforced authoritarian resilience by supporting counterrevolutionary forces. The article concludes that the Sudanese and Algerian cases illustrate the limits of popular mobilization in dismantling entrenched praetorian systems, underscoring the need to reassess democratization theories in light of persistent authoritarian structures in the MENA region.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Arab Spring, Counterrevolution, Middle East, Democratization, Authoritarian Resilience

Kaynakça

  1. Aktürk, Ş., & Cherkaoui, T. (2024). The Arab Spring: Patterns and predictions. Ş. Aktürk & T. Cherkaoui (eds.), The Arab Spring: Past, present, and future (pp. 16-33). İstanbul: TRT World Research Centre.
  2. Al-Ansari, S. (2020). The role of youth in the Arab Spring: Case study of Yemen. Arab Studies Quarterly, 42(3), 224-240. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-86468-2_26.
  3. Alfeel, K. O. (2020). Economic liberalization policies and their impact on civil-military relations: Selected Arab cases. Siyasat Arabiya, 8(44), 36-56.
  4. Amin, S. (2011). Primavera Árabe?. Temporalis, 10(20), 221-252. https://doi.org/10.22422/2238-1856.2010v10n20p221-252.
  5. Arab Center for Research & Policy Studies (2020). Algeria 2019: From the Hirak movement to elections reports. https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep24409?seq=1 Accessed May 26, 2025.
  6. Attir, M. O. (2020). The Libyan revolution conflict roots and implications. Beirut: Arab Center for Research & Policy Studies.
  7. Bakir, A. (2024). Revisiting the Arab Uprisings on their 10th anniversary: Reflections on the internal dynamics and foreign interventions. Ş.Aktürk & T. Cherkaoui (eds.), The Arab Spring: Past, present, and future (pp. 125-152). İstanbul: TRT World Research Centre.
  8. Barany, Z. (2016). How armies respond to revolutions and why. UK: Princeton University Press.
  9. Bellin, E. (2004). The robustness of authoritarianism in the Middle East: Exceptionalism in comparative perspective. Comparative Politics, 36(2), 139-157. https://doi.org/10.2307/4150140
  10. Bellin, E. (2012). Reconsidering the robustness of authoritarianism in the Middle East: Lessons from the Arab Spring. Comparative Politics, 44(2), 127-149. https://doi.org/10.5129/001041512798838021

Kaynak Göster

APA
Özkan, M., & Horma, E. M. (2025). Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi, 12(2), 1-26. https://doi.org/10.26513/tocd.1763136
AMA
1.Özkan M, Horma EM. Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi. 2025;12(2):1-26. doi:10.26513/tocd.1763136
Chicago
Özkan, Metin, ve Ettah M. Horma. 2025. “Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria”. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi 12 (2): 1-26. https://doi.org/10.26513/tocd.1763136.
EndNote
Özkan M, Horma EM (01 Aralık 2025) Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi 12 2 1–26.
IEEE
[1]M. Özkan ve E. M. Horma, “Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria”, Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi, c. 12, sy 2, ss. 1–26, Ara. 2025, doi: 10.26513/tocd.1763136.
ISNAD
Özkan, Metin - Horma, Ettah M. “Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria”. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi 12/2 (01 Aralık 2025): 1-26. https://doi.org/10.26513/tocd.1763136.
JAMA
1.Özkan M, Horma EM. Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi. 2025;12:1–26.
MLA
Özkan, Metin, ve Ettah M. Horma. “Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria”. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi, c. 12, sy 2, Aralık 2025, ss. 1-26, doi:10.26513/tocd.1763136.
Vancouver
1.Metin Özkan, Ettah M. Horma. Unfinished Revolutions: The Long Shadow of the Arab Spring in Sudan and Algeria. Türkiye Ortadoğu Çalışmaları Dergisi. 01 Aralık 2025;12(2):1-26. doi:10.26513/tocd.1763136