Ekonomide Yapısal Dönüşüm Ekolojik Ayak İzini Azaltabilir Mi? E7 Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Analiz / Can Structural Transformation in the Economy Reduce Ecological Footprint? An Analysis on E7 Countries

Öz

Küresel iklim değişikliğinin ve artan çevresel bozulmanın büyük bir bölümü insan faaliyetlerinden kaynaklanmaktadır. Dolaysıyla insanoğlunun küresel geleceği ve toplumsal refahının korunup geliştirilebilmesi için ekolojik ayak izinin küçültülmesi gerekmektedir. Ekonomik yapılarda meydana gelen dönüşümün çevresel kalite üzerinde etkileri bulunuyor olsa da bu konu yeterince araştırılmamıştır. Bu amaçla E7 ülkelerinin ekonomik yapılarında meydana gelen yapısal dönüşümün ekolojik ayak izi üzerindeki etkileri incelenmiştir. Çalışmada 1992-2017 yıllarını içeren panel veri kullanılmıştır. Veriler arasındaki ilişkinin test edilmesi için sırasıyla homojenlik testi Durbin-Hausman eş bütünleşme testi, yapısal kırılmalı eşbütünleşme testi yapılmıştır. Uzun dönem eş bütünleşme katsayıları AMG tahmincisi ve CCE-MG tahmincisi ile tahmin edilmiştir. Yapılan eşbütünleşme testleri serilerin birlikte hareket ettiklerini yani uzun dönemde eşbütünleşik olduklarını göstermiştir. Elde edilen uzun dönem katsayıları ise E7 ülkelerinde meydana gelen yapısal dönüşümün ekolojik ayak izini küçülterek sürdürülebilir kalkınmayı desteklediğini ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Ekolojik Ayak İzi
• Yapısal Dönüşüm
• Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma
• E7 ülkeleri
• Panel Eşbütünleşme Testi

Can Structural Transformation in the Economy Reduce Ecological Footprint? An Analysis on E7 Countries / Ekonomide Yapısal Dönüşüm Ekolojik Ayak İzini Azaltabilir Mi? E7 Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Analiz

Abstract

Human activities are responsible for a major portion of global climate change and environmental degradation. As a result, in order to maintain and promote the global future and social welfare of humans, it is vital to lessen the ecological footprint. Despite changes in economic structures having an impact on environmental quality, this issue has received insufficient attention. For this purpose, the effects of the structural transformation in the economic models of the E7 countries on the ecological footprint were examined. Panel data from 1992 to 2017 were used in this study. The homogeneity test, Durbin-Hausman cointegration test, and cointegration test with structural break were used to test the relationship between the data. The AMG estimator and CCE-MG method were used to calculate long-run cointegration coefficients. The cointegration tests revealed that the series behave in harmony, indicating that they are cointegrated over time. The long-term coefficients show that structural change in E7 countries promotes sustainable development by reducing the ecological footprint

Keywords

• Ekolojik Ayak İzi
• Yapısal Dönüşüm
• Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma
• E7 ülkeleri
• Panel Eşbütünleşme Testi

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