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Brexit Sonrası Avrupa Birliğinde Alman-Fransız Rekabeti

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 18 Sayı: 71, 129 - 149, 26.10.2021
https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.947537

Öz

İkinci Dünya Savaşı’ndan sonra Avrupa’nın istikrarının temellerinden birini Birleşik Krallık’ın, Fransa ve
Almanya arasındaki güç dengesi oluşturmaktaydı. Birleşik Krallık’ın 1973’te Avrupa Toplulukları’na (AT)
katılması, söz konusu dengeyi, AT’nin kurumsal çerçevesi içine taşımıştı. Bu bağlamda, Britanya’nın Birlikten
ayrılması Avrupa Birliği’nin (AB) merkezinde siyasi ve finansal anlamda büyük boşluklar oluşmasına yol
açabilir. Brexit gerçekleşirken, Birliğe hangi ülkenin / ülkelerin yön vereceği sorusu etrafında bir gerilimin ve
güç dengesizliği endişesinin işaretleri ortaya çıkmaktadır. Britanya’nın AB’den ayrılmasının, Almanya ve Fransa
arasındaki farkları açığa çıkaracağı şeklinde yorumlar yapılmaktadır. Brexit sonrası dönemde AB’nin geleceğine
ilişkin; Fransız liderliği, Alman liderliği ve Fransız-Alman ortaklığı şeklinde ifade edilebilecek üç ana senaryonun
öne çıkabileceği tartışılmaktadır.

Kaynakça

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The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 18 Sayı: 71, 129 - 149, 26.10.2021
https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.947537

Öz

A significant foundation of European stability after World War II has been the balance of power between the United
Kingdom (UK), France, and Germany. The UK’s accession to the European Communities (EC) in 1973 had
carried that ‘balance’ into the EC’s institutional framework. In this regard, the UK’s withdrawal from EU structures
may lead to an important political and financial vacuum at the center of the Union. In the wake of Brexit, indications
of anxiety and concerns about power imbalances have emerged around the question of which country or counties
will steer the Union. There exit fresh post-Brexit assessments that indicate that the UK’s departure from the EU
may catalyze the differences between Germany and France. This paper will discuss three essential scenarios for the
EU’s political and economic future direction, namely, French leadership, German leadership, and a Franco-German
partnership, for the post-Brexit period.

Kaynakça

  • Ahmari, Sohrab (2020). “Two losses for trans-Atlantic twits: Brexit finally happens, impeachment collapses”, New York Post, 30 January, https://nypost.com/2020/01/30/two-losses-for-transatlantic-twits-brexitfinally-happens-impeachment-collapses/ (Accessed 12 May 2020).
  • Baczynska, Gabriela (2020). “Missing you already - how Brexit tilts EU political alliances”, Reuters, 20 January, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-dynamics/missing-you-already-how-brexit-tilts-eupolitical-alliances-idUSKBN1ZR1BM (Accessed 14 May 2020).
  • Balfour, Rosa (2020). “The European Union after Brexit: reform or shrivel”, Encompass, https://encompasseurope.com/comment/the-european-union-after-brexit-reform-or-shrivel, (Accessed 12 May 2020).
  • Balmer, Crispian (2010). “Economic governance divides France and Germany”, Reuters, 19 May, https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-france-germany-governance-analysis/economic-governance-divides-franceand-germany-idUKTRE64I5X620100519 (Accessed 8 October 2020).
  • Bechev, Dimitar (2019). “Did Macron kill the EU enlargement dream?”, Al Jazeera, 23 October, https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2019/10/23/did-macron-kill-the-eu-enlargement-dream (Accessed 14 December 2020).
  • Billon-Galland, Alice and Quencez, Martin (2017). “Can France and Germany Make PESCO Work as a Process Toward EU Defence?”, The German Marshall Fund of the United States, p. 2.
  • Boffey, Daniel (2020). “EU summit collapses as leaders struggle to fill € 75 bn Brexit hole”, The Guardian, 21 February, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/21/eu-leaders-at-odds-over-filling-brexitshortfall (Accessed 18 May 2020).
  • Bosotti, Aurora (2019). “Brexit to Shatter Franco-German alliance as sparks fly between Merkel and Macron”, Express, 27 November, https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1209811/Brexit-news-UK-common-EUbudget-Germany-France-Angela-Merkel-Emmanuel-Macron-latest (Accessed 14 May 2020).
  • Bosotti, Aurora (2019). “EU on the Brink? Brexit to worsen ‘Critical Tension’ between France and Germany”, Express, 10 May, https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/1124897/Brexit-news-France-Germanyeurozone-UK-EU-withdrawal-Theresa-May-deal-latest (Accessed 23 May 2020).
  • Brattberg, Erik, Brudzińska, Kinga and Bernardo Pires De Lima (25 March 2020). “Contending European Views on a New Post-Brexit Balance”, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, https://carnegieendowment.org/2020/03/25/contending-european-views-on-new-post-brexit-balance-pub-81354 (Accessed 14 May 2020).
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  • “Brexit brief: How others see it” (2016). Economist, 30 April, https://www.economist.com/britain/2016/04/30/how-others-see-it (Accessed 21 February 2021).
  • “Brexit: the impact on the UK and the EU” (2015). Global Counsel, https://brexit.hypotheses.org/files/2017/01/Global-Counsel_Impact_of_Brexit.pdf (Accessed 08 December 2020).
  • Brozowski, Alexandra (15 February 2020). “In Munich, Macron presents EU reform as answer to ‘weakening West’”, EURACTIV, https://www.euractiv.com/section/future-eu/news/in-munich-macron-presentseu-reform-as-answer-to-weakening-west/ (Accessed 15 December 2020).
  • Bulmer, Simon (2018). “Germany and the European Union: Post-Brexit Hegemon”, Insight Turkey, Vol. 20, No.3, p. 11-28.
  • Bulmer, Simon and Paterson, William E. (2013). “Germany as the EU’s reluctant hegemon? Of economic strength and political constraints”, Journal of European Public Policy, Vol. 20, No. 10, p. 1387-1405.
  • Bulmer, Simon and Paterson, William E. (2019). German Power and the European Union: Europe’s reluctant hegemon?. London, Red Globe Press, p.118.
  • Chazan, Guy, Barker, Alex and Mallet, Victor (2019). “Brexit pressures expose cracks in Franco-German relationship”, Financial Times, 11 April, https://www.ft.com/content/78f8f660-5c45-11e9-9dde7aedca0a081a (Accessed 14 May 2020).
  • Chrisafis, Angelique (2019). “Macron criticized by US and Germany over NATO ‘brain death’ claims”, The Guardian, 7 November, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/nov/07/macron-warns-of-natobrain-death-as-us-turns-its-back-on-allies (Accessed 12 December 2020).
  • Cole, Alistair and Drake, Helen (2000). “The Europeanization of the French polity: continuity, change and adaptation”, Journal of European Public Policy, Vol. 7, No. 1, p. 26- 43.
  • Cole, Alistair (2001). Franco-German relations. New York, Routledge, pp. 115, 116.
  • Common Foreign and Security Policy, EUR-Lex, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=LEGISSUM:a19000&from=DE (Accessed 21 February 2021).
  • Common Security and Defence Policy Missions, United Kingdm Parliament, London. https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld201516/ldselect/ldeucom/97/9714.htm#_idTextAnchor149 (Accessed 12 December 2020).
  • Connolly, Kate (2017). “German election: Merkel wins fourth term but far-right Afd surges to third”, The Guardian, 24 September, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/24/angela-merkel-fourthterm-far-right-afd-third-german-election (Accessed 12 December 2020).
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  • James, Harold (2012). Making the European Monetary Union: The Role of the Committee of Central Bank Governors and the Origins of the European Central Bank, Cambridge MA, Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.
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  • Ladrech, Robert (2001). “Europeanization and French social democracy”, Journal of Southern Europe and the Balkans, Vol. 3, No. 1, p. 37-47.
  • Lees, Charles (2018). “The ‘Alterative for Germany’: The rise of right-wing populism at the heart of Europe”, Politics, Vol. 38, No 3, p. 295-310.
  • “Macron admits to Franco-German splits on key issues” (2019). Euractiv, 26 April, https://www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/macron-admits-to-franco-german-splits-on-key-issues/ (Accessed 12 May 2020).
  • Mahony, Honor (2003). “EU governments to tackle defence issues” EU Observer, 16 October, https://euobserver.com/news/13052 (Accessed 29 September 2020).
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  • Marcussen, Martin and Rocher, Klaus (2000). “The social construction of ‘Europe’: lifecycles of nation-state identities in France, Germany and Great Britain”, Bo Sträth (ed.), Europe and the other and Europe as the other, Brussels, Peter Lang, p. 325-359.
  • Mitchell, Ian and Anderson, Michael (28 October 2016). “Beyond Brexit: How will EU Overseas Development Assistance Be Affected?”, Center for Global Development, https://www.cgdev.org/blog/beyondbrexithow-will-eu-overseas-development-assistance-be-affected (Accessed 14 April 2020).
  • One Currency for One Europe: The road to the Euro (2007). European Commission, Bruxelles. https://ec.europa. eu/economy_finance/publications/pages/publication6730_en.pdf (Accessed 21 February 2021).
  • Pornschlegel, Sophie (13 January 2020) “Rebooting Franco-German cooperation”, European Policy Centre, https://www.epc.eu/en/Publications/Rebooting-Franco-German-cooperation~2e0540 (Accessed 11 October 2020).
  • Possible impacts of Brexit on EU development and humanitarian policies (2017). European Parliament, Bruxelles. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2017/578042/EXPO_STU(2017) 578042_EN.pdf (Accessed 04 October 2020).
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  • Rutten, Maartje (2001). “From St.Malo to Nice- European defence: core documents”, Institute for Security Studies, https://www.iss.europa.eu/sites/default/files/EUISSFiles/cp047e.pdf , p. 8 (Accessed 29 September 2020).
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  • The New European Consensus on Development: Our World, Our Dignity, Our Future (2017). European Commission, Bruxelles. https://ec.europa.eu/international-partnerships/system/files/european-consensus-ondevelopment-final-20170626_en.pdf (Accessed 4 October 2020).
  • The Treaty of Rome (1957). European Parliament, Bruxelles. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/aboutparliament/en/in-the-past/the-parliament-and-the-treaties/treaty-of-rome (Accessed 18 December 2020).
  • Treaty on European Union (2016). EUR-Lex, https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex%3A 12016M002 (Accessed 02 October 2020).
  • UK Mission to the United Nations (New York). GOV.UK, https://www.gov.uk/world/uk-mission-to-the-unitednations-new-york (Accessed 21 February 2021).
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  • Van Dorpe, Simon (2020). “EU’s Franco-German axis will stutter without Brits, says Vestager”, Politico, 31 January, https://www.politico.eu/article/eus-franco-german-axis-will-stutter-without-the-brits-saysvestager/ (Accessed 23 May 2020).
  • Walt, Stephen M. (2020). “Europe’s Post-Brexit Future is Looking Scary”, Foreign Policy, 6 February, https:// foreignpolicy.com/2020/02/06/europes-post-brexit-future-is-looking-scary/ (Accessed 18 April 2020).
  • Zalan, Eszter (2016). “Germany reluctant to lead Europe in case of Brexit”, EUObserver, 23 June, https:// euobserver.com/political/133946 (Accessed 18 May 2020).
Toplam 80 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Çağatay Özdemir 0000-0001-9477-9761

Yayımlanma Tarihi 26 Ekim 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 18 Sayı: 71

Kaynak Göster

APA Özdemir, Ç. (2021). The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union. Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi, 18(71), 129-149. https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.947537
AMA Özdemir Ç. The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union. uidergisi. Ekim 2021;18(71):129-149. doi:10.33458/uidergisi.947537
Chicago Özdemir, Çağatay. “The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union”. Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi 18, sy. 71 (Ekim 2021): 129-49. https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.947537.
EndNote Özdemir Ç (01 Ekim 2021) The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union. Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi 18 71 129–149.
IEEE Ç. Özdemir, “The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union”, uidergisi, c. 18, sy. 71, ss. 129–149, 2021, doi: 10.33458/uidergisi.947537.
ISNAD Özdemir, Çağatay. “The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union”. Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi 18/71 (Ekim 2021), 129-149. https://doi.org/10.33458/uidergisi.947537.
JAMA Özdemir Ç. The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union. uidergisi. 2021;18:129–149.
MLA Özdemir, Çağatay. “The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union”. Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi, c. 18, sy. 71, 2021, ss. 129-4, doi:10.33458/uidergisi.947537.
Vancouver Özdemir Ç. The Franco-German Rivalry in the Post-Brexit European Union. uidergisi. 2021;18(71):129-4.