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AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION-INCOME RELATIONSHIP in TURKEY: AN APPLICATION on NUTS-2 REGIONS

Yıl 2021, Sayı: 2, 177 - 192, 29.04.2021
https://doi.org/10.51551/verimlilik.665384

Öz

Purpose: As known, increase in added value and productivity in agriculture in a region increases the agricultural production and income level. Considering that with Turkey's productive farmland, the work to be done in this area is expected to contribute to the country's prosperity. The main purpose of this study is to test the relationship between per capita GDP and agricultural production using econometric methods for the 2009-2017 period in NUTS-2 Regions in Turkey.

Methodology: In this study, Panel Data (Pooled Least Squares, Fixed Effects and Random Effects) methods are used to test the relationship between agricultural production and GDP per capita.

Findings: In Level-2 Regions, GDP per capita increases as agricultural production value, electricity consumption and education level increase in the period of 2009-2017.

Originality: Due to the limited number of studies testing the agricultural production-income relationship using Panel Data Method in Nuts-2 regions, this study is thought to contribute to the relevant literature.

Kaynakça

  • ATEŞ, E. (2020), Organik Tarım İle Tarımsal GSYİH İlişkisi: Bir Panel Veri Analizi, 13. Uluslararası Güncel Araştırmalarla Sosyal Bilimler Kongresi, 6-8 Kasım, İstanbul.
  • ARELLANO, M. (1987), Computing Robust Standart Errors for Within Group Estimators, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 49 (4), 431-434.
  • AREMU, Y. S. (2014), Role of Agriculture in Economic Growth & Development: Nigeria Perspective, MPRA Paper No. 55536.
  • ASTERIOU, D. ve HALL, S. G. (2011), Applied Econometrics, Palgrave Macmillan, Hampshire.
  • AWOKUSE, T. O. ve XIE, R. (2015), Does Agriculture Really Matter for Economic Growth in Developing Countries? Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, 63 (1), 77-99.
  • AWOKUSE, T. O. (2009), Does Agriculture Really Matter for Economic Growth in Developing Countries? https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/7130483.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 19.06.2018).
  • BALESTRA, P. ve KRISHNAKUMAR, J. (2008), Fixed Effects Models and Fixed Coefficients Models, Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics The Econometrics of Panel Data Fundamentals and Recent Developments in Theory and Practice, Springer, Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
  • BALTAGI, B. (2005), Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, John Wiley & Sons, West Sussex.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. (2011), Econometrics, Springer, Verlag Berlin Heidelber.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. ve WU, P. X. (1999), Unequally Spaced Panel Data Regressions with AR (1) Disturbances, Econometric Theory, 15 (06): 814-823.
  • BÁRCENA, A., BERDEGUÉ, J. ve OTERO, M. (2019), The Outlook for Agriculture and Rural Development in the Americas: A Perspective on Latin America and the Caribbean 2019-2020, ECLAC, FAO, IICA. – San Jose, C.R.: IICA, 2.
  • BAYANER, A. (2016), Tarımsal Ar-Ge ve Ekonomik Büyüme, TURKTOB Dergisi, 19, 9-13.
  • BHARGAVA, A., FRANZINI, L. ve NARENDRANATHAN, W. (1982), Serial Correlation and the Fixed Effects Model, The Review of Economic Studies, 49 (4), 533-549.
  • CAO, K. H. ve BIRCHENALL, J. A. (2013), Agricultural Productivity, Structural Change and Economic Growth in Post-Reform China, Journal of Development Economics, 104, 165-180.
  • CLARK, C. (1940), The Conditions of Economic Progress, Macmillan, London.
  • CHENERY, H. B. (1967), Foreign Assistance and Economic Development, in Capital Movements and Economic Development (pp. 268-292), Palgrave Macmillan, London.
  • DANG, G. ve PHENG, L. S. (2015), Theories of Economic Development and Infrastructure Investments in Developing Economies, Springer Science+Business Media, Singapore.
  • DIAO, X. (2010), Economic Importance of Agriculture for Sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction: Findings from a Case Study of Ghana, http://www.oecd.org/agriculture/agricultural-policies/46341169.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 02.07.2018).
  • DUMITRESCU, E. I. ve HURLIN, C. (2012), Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels, Economic Modelling, 29 (4), 1450-1460.
  • DOĞAN, A. (2009), Ekonomik Gelişme Sürecine Tarımın Katkısı: Türkiye Örneği, Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 9 (17), 365-392.
  • DOĞAN, Z., ARSLAN, S. ve BERKMAN, A. N. (2015), Türkiye’de Tarım Sektörünün İktisadi Gelişimi ve Sorunları: Tarihsel Bir Bakış, Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 8 (1), 29-41.
  • DOĞAN, S. (2018), Türkiye İçin Tarımın Önemi, http://www.tesav.org.tr/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/son-türkiye-için-tarımın-önemi-ve-tarıma-bakış-sami-doğanın-sunuşu.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 28.06.2018).
  • DOMAR, E. D. (1947), Expansion and Employment, The American Economic Review, 37 (1), 34–55.
  • DOLUN, L. ve ATİK, A. H. (2006), Kalkınma Teorileri ve Modern Kalkınma Bankacılığı Uygulamaları, Türkiye Kalkınma Bankası, Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Müdürlüğü, Ankara.
  • FAO, (2002), World Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030, Summary Report, http://www.fao.org/3/a-y3557e.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • FISHER, A. G. B. (1939), Production, Primary, Secondary and Tertiary, Economic Record, 15, 24-38.
  • FISZBEIN, M. (2013), Agricultural Diversification and Economic Development: Evidence from US History, https://editorialexpress.com/cgi-bin/conference/download.cgi?db_name=NEUDC2013&paper_id=446, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • FROOT, K. A. (1989), Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Cross-Sectional Dependence and Heteroskedasticity in Financial Data, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 24 (3), 333-355.
  • HARROD, R. F. (1948), Towards a Dynamic Economics, Some Recent Developments of Economic Theory and Their Application to Policy, Macmillan, London.
  • HAUSMAN, J. (1978), Specification Tests in Econometrics, Econometrica, 46 (6), 1251-1271.
  • HOECHLE, D. (2007), Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence, The Stata Journal, 7 (3), 281-312.
  • HSIAO, C. (2007), Panel Data Analysis-Advantages and Challenges, Test, 16 (1), 1-22.
  • JOHANSEN, S. (1992), Cointegration in Partial Systems and the Efficiency of Single-Equation Analysis, Journal of Econometrics, 52 (3), 389-402.
  • KUZNETS, S. (1973), Modern Economic Growth: Findings and Reflections, The American Economic Review, 63 (3), 247-258.
  • LEWIS, W. A. (1954), Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour, The Manchester School, 22 (2), 139-191.
  • LOIZOU, E., KARELAKIS, C., GALANOPOULOS, K. ve MATTAS, K. (2019), The Role of Agriculture as a Development Tool for a Regional Economy. Agricultural Systems, 173, 482-490.
  • MALIKOV, N., QINETI, A. ve PULATOV, A. (2016), Agriculture and Economic Development in Uzbekistan, International Scientific Days, Nitra.
  • MIHNENOKA, A. ve SAULĪTIS, J. (2013), Evaluating the Significance of Structural Changes within National Economy for Economic Growth of Latvia Using the Econometric Model, Economics and Business 23: 62-70.
  • OLABANJI E., FAKILE, A., URHIE, E. S. ve ODUNATAN, E. (2017), Agricultural Output and Economic Growth in Nigeria, Journal of African Research in Business & Technology, 516093.
  • ÖZKAYA, Y. (2018), Hevsel Bahçelerinde Sürdürülebilir Tarım Açısından Yerel Tohumun Önemi, Assenat, M., (Ed), Les jardins de I’Hevsel, Paradis Intranquilles içinde, Institut français d’études anatoliennes.İstanbul.
  • OYAKHILOMEN, O. ve ZIBAH, R. G. (2014), Agricultural Production and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Implication for Rural Poverty Alleviation, Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture 53 (3): 207-223.
  • ROGERS, W. H. (1993), Regression Standard Errors in Clustered Samples, Stata Technical Bulletin, 13, 19-23.
  • ROSTOW, W. W. (1960), The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • STUDENMUND, A. H. (2017), Using Econometrics: A Practical Guide, Pearson, Boston.
  • STRAUSS-KAHN, V. (2004), The Role of Globalization in within-Industry Shift Away from Unskilled Workers in France, Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics, The University of Chicago Press, London.
  • SUL, D. (2019), Panel Data Econometrics: Common Factor Analysis for Empirical Researchers. Routledge. London.
  • TIFFIN, R. ve IRZ, X. (2006), Is Agriculture the Engine of Growth?, Agricultural Economics, 35 (1), 79-89.
  • TSAKOK I. ve GARDNER B. (2007), Agriculture in Economic Development: Primary Engine of Growth or Chicken and Egg?, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 89 (5), 1145-1151.
  • TURAN, Z. (2018), Türkiye’de Tarımsal Mal Ticaretinin ve Hayvancılığın Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi (1990-2014), International Journal of Disciplines Economics & Administrative Sciences Studies, 4 (8), 200-209.
  • TÜRKİYE İHRACATÇILAR MECLİSİ, (2017), Tarım Raporu 2016 http://www.tim.org.tr/files/downloads/Raporlar/Tarim_Raporu_2017.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • TÜİK, (2018), Temel İstatistikler, http://www.tuik.gov.tr/UstMenu.do?metod=temelist, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • VAN ARENDONK, A. (2015), The Development of the Share of Agriculture in GDP and Employment, Master Thesis, Science in Management Economics and Consumer Studies, Wageningen University, Gelderland.
  • WALD, A. (1943), Tests of Statistical Hypotheses Concerning Several Parameters When the Number of Observations is Large, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society, 54 (3), 426-482.
  • YILMAZER, M. (2002), İnsani Kalkınma Politikaları ve Türkiye Üzerine Bir Deneme, Yayımlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Aydın.
  • ZORTUK, M. ve KARACAN, S. (2016), Agricultural Development and Economic Growth Relationship in Transition Countries from an Empirical Perspective, Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Afro-Avrasya Özel Sayısı, 102-110.

TÜRKİYE’DE TARIMSAL ÜRETİM-GELİR İLİŞKİSİ: DÜZEY-2 BÖLGELERİ ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA

Yıl 2021, Sayı: 2, 177 - 192, 29.04.2021
https://doi.org/10.51551/verimlilik.665384

Öz

Amaç: Bir bölgede tarımda katma değer ve verimlilik artışı tarımsal üretimi ve gelir düzeyini artırmaktadır. Türkiye’nin verimli tarım arazilerine sahip olduğu düşünüldüğünde, bu alanda yapılacak çalışmaların ülke refahına katkıda bulunacağı beklenmektedir. Bu çalışmanın temel amacı, Türkiye İstatistiki Bölge Birimleri Sınıflandırması'na göre Düzey-2 Bölgeleri kapsamında, 2009-2017 dönemi için tarımsal üretim ile kişi başına GSYH arasındaki ilişkinin ekonometrik yöntemler kullanılarak test edilmesidir.

Yöntem: Bu çalışmada, tarımsal üretim ile kişi başına GSYH arasındaki ilişkinin test edilmesinde Panel Veri (Havuzlanmış En Küçük Kareler, Sabit Etkiler ve Rassal Etkiler) yöntemleri kullanılmıştır.


Bulgular:
Düzey-2 Bölgelerinde, 2009-2017 döneminde tarımsal üretim değeri, elektrik tüketimi ve eğitim düzeyi arttıkça kişi başına GSYH artmaktadır.


Özgünlük:
Düzey-2 bölgelerinde tarımsal üretim-gelir ilişkisini Panel Veri Yöntemi kullanarak test eden çalışmaların kısıtlı olması sebebiyle, bu çalışmanın ilgili literatüre katkı sunabileceği düşünülmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • ATEŞ, E. (2020), Organik Tarım İle Tarımsal GSYİH İlişkisi: Bir Panel Veri Analizi, 13. Uluslararası Güncel Araştırmalarla Sosyal Bilimler Kongresi, 6-8 Kasım, İstanbul.
  • ARELLANO, M. (1987), Computing Robust Standart Errors for Within Group Estimators, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 49 (4), 431-434.
  • AREMU, Y. S. (2014), Role of Agriculture in Economic Growth & Development: Nigeria Perspective, MPRA Paper No. 55536.
  • ASTERIOU, D. ve HALL, S. G. (2011), Applied Econometrics, Palgrave Macmillan, Hampshire.
  • AWOKUSE, T. O. ve XIE, R. (2015), Does Agriculture Really Matter for Economic Growth in Developing Countries? Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, 63 (1), 77-99.
  • AWOKUSE, T. O. (2009), Does Agriculture Really Matter for Economic Growth in Developing Countries? https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/7130483.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 19.06.2018).
  • BALESTRA, P. ve KRISHNAKUMAR, J. (2008), Fixed Effects Models and Fixed Coefficients Models, Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics The Econometrics of Panel Data Fundamentals and Recent Developments in Theory and Practice, Springer, Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
  • BALTAGI, B. (2005), Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, John Wiley & Sons, West Sussex.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. (2011), Econometrics, Springer, Verlag Berlin Heidelber.
  • BALTAGI, B. H. ve WU, P. X. (1999), Unequally Spaced Panel Data Regressions with AR (1) Disturbances, Econometric Theory, 15 (06): 814-823.
  • BÁRCENA, A., BERDEGUÉ, J. ve OTERO, M. (2019), The Outlook for Agriculture and Rural Development in the Americas: A Perspective on Latin America and the Caribbean 2019-2020, ECLAC, FAO, IICA. – San Jose, C.R.: IICA, 2.
  • BAYANER, A. (2016), Tarımsal Ar-Ge ve Ekonomik Büyüme, TURKTOB Dergisi, 19, 9-13.
  • BHARGAVA, A., FRANZINI, L. ve NARENDRANATHAN, W. (1982), Serial Correlation and the Fixed Effects Model, The Review of Economic Studies, 49 (4), 533-549.
  • CAO, K. H. ve BIRCHENALL, J. A. (2013), Agricultural Productivity, Structural Change and Economic Growth in Post-Reform China, Journal of Development Economics, 104, 165-180.
  • CLARK, C. (1940), The Conditions of Economic Progress, Macmillan, London.
  • CHENERY, H. B. (1967), Foreign Assistance and Economic Development, in Capital Movements and Economic Development (pp. 268-292), Palgrave Macmillan, London.
  • DANG, G. ve PHENG, L. S. (2015), Theories of Economic Development and Infrastructure Investments in Developing Economies, Springer Science+Business Media, Singapore.
  • DIAO, X. (2010), Economic Importance of Agriculture for Sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction: Findings from a Case Study of Ghana, http://www.oecd.org/agriculture/agricultural-policies/46341169.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 02.07.2018).
  • DUMITRESCU, E. I. ve HURLIN, C. (2012), Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels, Economic Modelling, 29 (4), 1450-1460.
  • DOĞAN, A. (2009), Ekonomik Gelişme Sürecine Tarımın Katkısı: Türkiye Örneği, Sosyal Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 9 (17), 365-392.
  • DOĞAN, Z., ARSLAN, S. ve BERKMAN, A. N. (2015), Türkiye’de Tarım Sektörünün İktisadi Gelişimi ve Sorunları: Tarihsel Bir Bakış, Niğde Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 8 (1), 29-41.
  • DOĞAN, S. (2018), Türkiye İçin Tarımın Önemi, http://www.tesav.org.tr/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/son-türkiye-için-tarımın-önemi-ve-tarıma-bakış-sami-doğanın-sunuşu.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 28.06.2018).
  • DOMAR, E. D. (1947), Expansion and Employment, The American Economic Review, 37 (1), 34–55.
  • DOLUN, L. ve ATİK, A. H. (2006), Kalkınma Teorileri ve Modern Kalkınma Bankacılığı Uygulamaları, Türkiye Kalkınma Bankası, Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Müdürlüğü, Ankara.
  • FAO, (2002), World Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030, Summary Report, http://www.fao.org/3/a-y3557e.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • FISHER, A. G. B. (1939), Production, Primary, Secondary and Tertiary, Economic Record, 15, 24-38.
  • FISZBEIN, M. (2013), Agricultural Diversification and Economic Development: Evidence from US History, https://editorialexpress.com/cgi-bin/conference/download.cgi?db_name=NEUDC2013&paper_id=446, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • FROOT, K. A. (1989), Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Cross-Sectional Dependence and Heteroskedasticity in Financial Data, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 24 (3), 333-355.
  • HARROD, R. F. (1948), Towards a Dynamic Economics, Some Recent Developments of Economic Theory and Their Application to Policy, Macmillan, London.
  • HAUSMAN, J. (1978), Specification Tests in Econometrics, Econometrica, 46 (6), 1251-1271.
  • HOECHLE, D. (2007), Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence, The Stata Journal, 7 (3), 281-312.
  • HSIAO, C. (2007), Panel Data Analysis-Advantages and Challenges, Test, 16 (1), 1-22.
  • JOHANSEN, S. (1992), Cointegration in Partial Systems and the Efficiency of Single-Equation Analysis, Journal of Econometrics, 52 (3), 389-402.
  • KUZNETS, S. (1973), Modern Economic Growth: Findings and Reflections, The American Economic Review, 63 (3), 247-258.
  • LEWIS, W. A. (1954), Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour, The Manchester School, 22 (2), 139-191.
  • LOIZOU, E., KARELAKIS, C., GALANOPOULOS, K. ve MATTAS, K. (2019), The Role of Agriculture as a Development Tool for a Regional Economy. Agricultural Systems, 173, 482-490.
  • MALIKOV, N., QINETI, A. ve PULATOV, A. (2016), Agriculture and Economic Development in Uzbekistan, International Scientific Days, Nitra.
  • MIHNENOKA, A. ve SAULĪTIS, J. (2013), Evaluating the Significance of Structural Changes within National Economy for Economic Growth of Latvia Using the Econometric Model, Economics and Business 23: 62-70.
  • OLABANJI E., FAKILE, A., URHIE, E. S. ve ODUNATAN, E. (2017), Agricultural Output and Economic Growth in Nigeria, Journal of African Research in Business & Technology, 516093.
  • ÖZKAYA, Y. (2018), Hevsel Bahçelerinde Sürdürülebilir Tarım Açısından Yerel Tohumun Önemi, Assenat, M., (Ed), Les jardins de I’Hevsel, Paradis Intranquilles içinde, Institut français d’études anatoliennes.İstanbul.
  • OYAKHILOMEN, O. ve ZIBAH, R. G. (2014), Agricultural Production and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Implication for Rural Poverty Alleviation, Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture 53 (3): 207-223.
  • ROGERS, W. H. (1993), Regression Standard Errors in Clustered Samples, Stata Technical Bulletin, 13, 19-23.
  • ROSTOW, W. W. (1960), The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • STUDENMUND, A. H. (2017), Using Econometrics: A Practical Guide, Pearson, Boston.
  • STRAUSS-KAHN, V. (2004), The Role of Globalization in within-Industry Shift Away from Unskilled Workers in France, Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the Economics, The University of Chicago Press, London.
  • SUL, D. (2019), Panel Data Econometrics: Common Factor Analysis for Empirical Researchers. Routledge. London.
  • TIFFIN, R. ve IRZ, X. (2006), Is Agriculture the Engine of Growth?, Agricultural Economics, 35 (1), 79-89.
  • TSAKOK I. ve GARDNER B. (2007), Agriculture in Economic Development: Primary Engine of Growth or Chicken and Egg?, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 89 (5), 1145-1151.
  • TURAN, Z. (2018), Türkiye’de Tarımsal Mal Ticaretinin ve Hayvancılığın Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi (1990-2014), International Journal of Disciplines Economics & Administrative Sciences Studies, 4 (8), 200-209.
  • TÜRKİYE İHRACATÇILAR MECLİSİ, (2017), Tarım Raporu 2016 http://www.tim.org.tr/files/downloads/Raporlar/Tarim_Raporu_2017.pdf, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • TÜİK, (2018), Temel İstatistikler, http://www.tuik.gov.tr/UstMenu.do?metod=temelist, (Erişim Tarihi: 25.06.2018).
  • VAN ARENDONK, A. (2015), The Development of the Share of Agriculture in GDP and Employment, Master Thesis, Science in Management Economics and Consumer Studies, Wageningen University, Gelderland.
  • WALD, A. (1943), Tests of Statistical Hypotheses Concerning Several Parameters When the Number of Observations is Large, Transactions of the American Mathematical Society, 54 (3), 426-482.
  • YILMAZER, M. (2002), İnsani Kalkınma Politikaları ve Türkiye Üzerine Bir Deneme, Yayımlanmamış Doktora Tezi, Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Aydın.
  • ZORTUK, M. ve KARACAN, S. (2016), Agricultural Development and Economic Growth Relationship in Transition Countries from an Empirical Perspective, Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Afro-Avrasya Özel Sayısı, 102-110.
Toplam 55 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Efe Can Kılınç

Nazan Şahbaz Kılınç

Yayımlanma Tarihi 29 Nisan 2021
Gönderilme Tarihi 26 Aralık 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Kılınç, E. C., & Şahbaz Kılınç, N. (2021). TÜRKİYE’DE TARIMSAL ÜRETİM-GELİR İLİŞKİSİ: DÜZEY-2 BÖLGELERİ ÜZERİNE BİR UYGULAMA. Verimlilik Dergisi(2), 177-192. https://doi.org/10.51551/verimlilik.665384

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