Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri

Serkan Öztürk; Hamdi Alkan

doi:10.53433/yyufbed.1433478

TR EN

Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri

Öz

Hakkari (Türkiye), depremsellik ve tektonizma olarak Güneydoğu Anadolu Bölgesinin en aktif illerinden bir tanesidir. Aletsel ve tarihsel dönemde, Hakkari ili ve civarında bulunan bu fay ve fay zonları birçok yıkıcı/hasar verici deprem üretmiştir. Son yıllarda Aralık 2023 (Mw=4.7) ve Şubat 2024’de (Mw=4.3) meydana gelen depremler, bu bölgedeki güncel depremselliğin önemli göstergelerindendir. Analizlerden elde edilen bulgulara göre, bölgede ortalama b-değeri 0.880.09 olup en düşük b-değerleri Yüksekova-Şemdinli Fay Zonu civarında gözlenmiştir. Buna ek olarak, pozitif Coulomb gerilme değişimleri Hakkari ili ve civarında KB-GD ve KD-GB yönlü olarak ortaya çıkmıştır. Diğer taraftan, seçilen bölge için Mw=5.0 büyüklüğündeki bir depremin tekrarlama zamanı ~16 yıldır. Ayrıca, Mw=5.0 büyüklüğündeki bir depremin 10, 16 ve 20 yılda oluşma olasılıkları ise sırasıyla ~%45, ~%62 ve ~%69 olarak hesaplanmıştır. Sonuç olarak, bu çalışmada hesaplanan sismotektonik parametrelerin birlikte değerlendirilmesi ile Hakkari ili ve civarının güncel sismik tehlike potansiyeli ortaya çıkarılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

b-değeri, Deprem olasılığı, Gerilme, Hakkari, Tekrarlama periyodu, Z-değeri

Current Earthquake Potential of Hakkari and its Surroundings, Southeast Anatolia, Türkiye: Region-Time-Magnitude Analyses

Öz

Hakkari, Türkiye, is one of the most active provinces of the Southeast Anatolian Region in terms of seismicity and tectonism. During the instrumental and historical period, these fault systems in the Hakkari region have produced many destructive/damaging earthquakes. The earthquakes that occurred in December 2023 (Mw=4.7) and February 2024 (Mw=4.3) in recent years are important indicators of current seismicity in this region. According to the results obtained from the analyses, the average b-value in the study region is 0.88±0.09 and the lowest b-values are observed around the Yüksekova-Şemdinli Fault Zone. In addition, positive Coulomb stress changes have been observed in and around Hakkari in NW-SE and NE-SW directions. On the other hand, the return period of an earthquake with a magnitude of Mw=5.0 for the selected region is ~16 years. Also, the occurrence probabilities of an earthquake with a magnitude of Mw=5.0 in 10, 16 and 20 years is calculated as ~45%, 62% and ~69%, respectively. In conclusion, the current seismic hazard potential of Hakkari province and its surroundings has been revealed with the combination of seismotectonic parameters calculated in this study.

Anahtar Kelimeler

b-value, Earthquake probability, Hakkari, Return period, Stress, Z-value

Kaynakça

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Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

Türkçe

Konular

Sismoloji

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yazarlar

Serkan Öztürk
0000-0003-1322-5164
Türkiye

Hamdi Alkan ^*
0000-0003-3912-7503
Türkiye

Yayımlanma Tarihi

31 Ağustos 2024

Gönderilme Tarihi

7 Şubat 2024

Kabul Tarihi

25 Mayıs 2024

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2024 Cilt: 29 Sayı: 2

DOI

https://doi.org/10.53433/yyufbed.1433478

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA28DL36EY

APA

Öztürk, S., & Alkan, H. (2024). Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi, 29(2), 648-664. https://doi.org/10.53433/yyufbed.1433478

AMA

1.Öztürk S, Alkan H. Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri. YYUFBED. 2024;29(2):648-664. doi:10.53433/yyufbed.1433478

Chicago

Öztürk, Serkan, ve Hamdi Alkan. 2024. “Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri”. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi 29 (2): 648-64. https://doi.org/10.53433/yyufbed.1433478.

EndNote

Öztürk S, Alkan H (01 Ağustos 2024) Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi 29 2 648–664.

IEEE

[1]S. Öztürk ve H. Alkan, “Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri”, YYUFBED, c. 29, sy 2, ss. 648–664, Ağu. 2024, doi: 10.53433/yyufbed.1433478.

ISNAD

Öztürk, Serkan - Alkan, Hamdi. “Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri”. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi 29/2 (01 Ağustos 2024): 648-664. https://doi.org/10.53433/yyufbed.1433478.

JAMA

1.Öztürk S, Alkan H. Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri. YYUFBED. 2024;29:648–664.

MLA

Öztürk, Serkan, ve Hamdi Alkan. “Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri”. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi, c. 29, sy 2, Ağustos 2024, ss. 648-64, doi:10.53433/yyufbed.1433478.

Vancouver

1.Serkan Öztürk, Hamdi Alkan. Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri. YYUFBED. 01 Ağustos 2024;29(2):648-64. doi:10.53433/yyufbed.1433478

Cited By

September 25, 2024 Yumrukaya-Tatvan (Bitlis, Türkiye) earthquake and a seismo-tectonic evaluation of its impact on the earthquake hazard in the region

Gümüşhane Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi

https://doi.org/10.17714/gumusfenbil.1699056

Hakkari ve Civarının (Güneydoğu Anadolu, Türkiye) Güncel Deprem Potansiyeli: Bölge-Zaman-Magnitüd Analizleri

Öz

Anahtar Kelimeler

Current Earthquake Potential of Hakkari and its Surroundings, Southeast Anatolia, Türkiye: Region-Time-Magnitude Analyses

Öz

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

Konular

Bölüm

Yazarlar

Yayımlanma Tarihi

Gönderilme Tarihi

Kabul Tarihi

Yayımlandığı Sayı

DOI

IZ

Kaynak Göster

Cited By

September 25, 2024 Yumrukaya-Tatvan (Bitlis, Türkiye) earthquake and a seismo-tectonic evaluation of its impact on the earthquake hazard in the region