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Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values

Cilt: 30 Sayı: 1 29 Nisan 2025
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Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values

Öz

In this study, two of the most commonly used zero-truncated regression models for modeling positive count data, namely Zero Truncated Poisson and Zero Truncated Negative Binomial, are compared with the classical Poisson and Negative Binomial regression models. The role of the mean of the dependent variable in model selection is examined. Simulations were first conducted using different mean values for the dependent variable, followed by a comparison of model performances using two different real data sets. The real data sets were constructed using crime data published by Turkish Statistical Institude (TSI). AIC, BIC, and residual plots were utilized to determine the most suitable model. The study found that zero-truncated models perform better when the mean of the dependent variable is below 5, compared to classical models.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Negative binom, Poisson, Zero truncated negative binom, Zero truncated poisson

Destekleyen Kurum

The financial support provided by the Scientific Research Projects Council of Van Yüzüncü Yıl University under project number FDK-2019-7987.

Teşekkür

The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support provided by the Scientific Research Projects Council of Van Yüzüncü Yıl University under project number FDK-2019-7987.

Kaynakça

  1. Agresti, A. (1997). Categorical data analysis. John Wiley & Sons.
  2. Burnham, K. P., & Anderson, D. R. (2002). Model selection and multimodel inference: A practical information-theoretic approach (2nd ed.). Springer.
  3. Cox, R. (1983). Some remarks on overdispersion. Biometrika, 70(2), 269-274.
  4. Coxe, S., West, S. G., & Aiken, L. S. (2009). The analysis of count data: A gentle introduction to Poisson regression and its alternatives. Journal of Personality Assessment, 91(2), 121-136. https://doi.org/10.1080/00223890802634175
  5. Creel, M. D., & Loomis, J. B. (1990). Theoretical and empirical advantages of truncated count data estimators for analysis of deer hunting in California. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72(2), 434-441. https://doi.org/10.2307/1242345
  6. Draper, N. R., & Smith, H. (1998). Applied regression analysis (3rd ed.). Wiley.
  7. Hilbe, J. M. (2011). Negative binomial regression (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press.
  8. Hilbe, J. M. (2014). Modeling count data. Cambridge University Press.
  9. Jansakul, N., & Hinde, J. P. (2002). Score tests for zero-inflated Poisson models. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 40(1), 75-96. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-9473(01)00104-9
  10. Khoshgoftaar, T. M., Gao, K., & Szabo, R. M. (2005). Comparing software fault predictions of pure and zero-inflated Poisson regression models. International Journal of Systems Science, 36(11), 707-715. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207720500159995

Kaynak Göster

APA
Kara, R., & Yeşilova, A. (2025). Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi, 30(1), 102-112. https://doi.org/10.53433/yyufbed.1590611
AMA
1.Kara R, Yeşilova A. Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values. YYUFBED. 2025;30(1):102-112. doi:10.53433/yyufbed.1590611
Chicago
Kara, Rıdvan, ve Abdullah Yeşilova. 2025. “Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values”. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi 30 (1): 102-12. https://doi.org/10.53433/yyufbed.1590611.
EndNote
Kara R, Yeşilova A (01 Nisan 2025) Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi 30 1 102–112.
IEEE
[1]R. Kara ve A. Yeşilova, “Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values”, YYUFBED, c. 30, sy 1, ss. 102–112, Nis. 2025, doi: 10.53433/yyufbed.1590611.
ISNAD
Kara, Rıdvan - Yeşilova, Abdullah. “Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values”. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi 30/1 (01 Nisan 2025): 102-112. https://doi.org/10.53433/yyufbed.1590611.
JAMA
1.Kara R, Yeşilova A. Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values. YYUFBED. 2025;30:102–112.
MLA
Kara, Rıdvan, ve Abdullah Yeşilova. “Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values”. Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi, c. 30, sy 1, Nisan 2025, ss. 102-1, doi:10.53433/yyufbed.1590611.
Vancouver
1.Rıdvan Kara, Abdullah Yeşilova. Zero Truncated Models in Regression Analysis: An Examination of Their Advantages on Small Mean Values. YYUFBED. 01 Nisan 2025;30(1):102-1. doi:10.53433/yyufbed.1590611